With the NFA officially hiking the minimum capital requirement to $5 million (
http://www.nfa.futures.org/news/new...?ArticleID=1942) all eyes are now on the CFTC. Look for two things:
1) Some kind of formal statement by either the CFTC or the NFA in which CFTC signs off on the NFA proposal (or the unlikely prospect of the CFTC rejecting it.)
2) The new updated CFTC Adjusted Net Capital Report which will be published here:
Financial Data for FCMs
The next updated adjusted net capital report will be particularly revealing. All the firms on this report will have had several months since the proposal was issued to start increasing their reported net capital. While no firm is required to hike their capital yet it will be very telling to see which firms have begun to prepare for the inevitable and which firms continue to hold their cards close to their vest. At this point any firm that isn’t ponying up the dough to capitalize themselves on these reports is really begging the question: is this firm destined to be strapped into the forex dealer electric chair? Or will they get a stay of execution?
My advice to the firms in the Dead Pool is simple: put up the money now and save everyone the trouble of guessing whether or not you will be here a few months from now. If your company capital is tied up and not available at the moment, well, tell the public what it is tied up in and specifically why you are not reporting it. Customers who open accounts with forex brokers are required to detail their own private financial holdings. In light of the seriousness of the capitalization issue, I think forex brokers should be held to the same standard.