That's an excellent analysis topchess! Bravo!
I agree with you that Jean Claude "Van Dame" Trichet will most likely leave the market guessing - kinda like trying to figure out what's inside a wrapped gift. He's probably doing this on purpose because it's Christmas time. Hohohoho!
Of course, I'm sure some Europeans would love for him to hint of more future rate hikes since it would cause the euro to appreciate further. This would mean a bigger discount when shopping in the US. You gotta love touching down in NY and everything is instantly 33% off!
