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Old 07-17-2008, 10:20 AM
DailyFx's Avatar
FX Analyst
FX-Men Honorary Member
 

Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 9,391
Default Euro SSI Extreme Eases After The Currency Fails To Take 1.60

EUR/USD Ratio: -1.39
Signal: Bullish









EURUSD – Speculative positioning in EURUSD normalized after a significant dollar rebound marked the end of a dramatic run on 1.60. Since last Friday – when the Speculative Sentiment Index Ratio hit a near 10-month low -3.17 – the pair’s bullish advance was steadily tempered with the extreme sentiment reading capitulating. However, even with the pair coming back from what would ended up being a major double touch, retail traders are showing little confidence in the range after many suffered a run on stops and took quick profits on remaining positions when they edged back into the green. Today, the euro’s SSI reading stands at -1.39 with 58% of the group short. This reading happens to sustain a steadily diminishing, weekly trend following the -1.71 figure from last Thursday and the -2.48 print from two week’s ago. The indicator’s details confirm the ratio’s move back to parity. Long positions were a modest 0.5% weaker than yesterday, but a significant 26.6% stronger than last week. Showing the lack of interest in the pull back, shorts were only 0.6% above Wednesday’s levels and 6.6% weaker than last Thursday. Overall, the dramatic price action hasn’t drawn many volatility seekers as open interest has grown only 4.3% over the week and now stands 3.1% above the monthly average.
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