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  1. #761
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 30th March, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Gold Bullish Forces Decelerate By Awakening U.S Dollar, Awaiting Further Data


    Gold has entered the 6th bullish consolidation session and has been jailed with 200-pips price action. The yellow metal plunged to 1248.30 low today after a long struggle with 1250 handle, and yesterday, XAUUSD couldn't overcome the 1255 hitch which still supports the bullish trend. On Tuesday, gold peeked to 1258.47 high, keeping a tight range between Monday's 1261.10 high, as U.S index sank to 98.65 2017 low, and markets expected gold to jet ride for higher levels giving the circumstances.

    Gold bullish forces were tackled by positive U.S CB consumer confidence which sparked USD bearish levels and U.S index showed a minor recovery today with 99,89 high, postponing gold sky trip for another session as U.S releases today unemployment claims, but the main focus will be on the GDP as analysts tend to relate it directly to U.S fed policy and their in take. U.S GDP today will set the tone for next FOMC members speech with the possibility of hawkish or dovish tone regarding next interest hikes, and traders has to take U.S data today as articular as well gold levels will.

    Note: Keep in mind that releasing Article 50 with the French coming election could provoke uncertainties around EU, and gold prices could rally as traders tend to turn to XAUUSD as a sacred haven metal instead of currencies.

    Fundamentals:

    USD - Unemployment Claims today at 1:30 PM GMT.

    USD - Final GDP q/q today 1:30 at 1:30 PM GMT.

    Technical:

    Trend: Bullish Sideways

    Resistance levels : R1 1263.71, R2 1275.94, R3 1284.24

    Support levels : S1 1244.48, S2 1236.62, S3 1225.25

    Remark: The market remains bullish and calls for additional attacks towards R1 although U.S index has showed vital signs. A break above R1 which is considered articular which projects intensive bullish waves towards R3 level due to previous retracements and setbacks from R1. Staying within Monday's range keeps bullish forces in action as well as the trend. A penetration for S2 levels, signals a beginning for bearish trend and closing below S3, market to consider gold downward. U.S economic data not to be missed today in corelation with U.S Index levels which impacts gold levels directly.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

  2. #762
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 30th March, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Copper Technical Overview


    Trend : Sideways Up

    Daily Pp : 266.6

    Resistance levels : R1 : 269.30 , R2 270.51 , R3 273

    Support levels: S1 264.45 , S2 260.90 , S3 258.60

    Comment: The rebounds this week are triggering short term reversal, signaling for rallies to 273. Trade is poised to extend rallies today. Any corrective dips that show a sideways day will provide a staging level for rallies. The trend reversal point is 260.91, and a close below is needed to reverse back to negative trade.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

  3. #763
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 31st March, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Silver Retreats Temporary As US Index Inches higher


    Although silver suffered -15-pips loss yesterday over mix US Data with positive GDP 2.1% being in main focus, XAGUSD sustained the bullish trend despite recovering U.S Index peeking to 100.46 high, 9-pips below 50 SMA D1, after two weeks dwelling below 99. Negative unemployment claims with 3K narrow difference on 261K previous sessions, analysts took it as neutral despite the overall outcome. But what really energized U.S index was the GDP, paving the scenario content for next FOMC meeting next Wednesday, and market took it as a sign of possible hawkish tone where FOMC releases the statement. Markets started placing bets against odds of U.S Fed meeting, and the process of pricing the market is already in action. Currently, silver trades 18.09 after tumbling to 18.04 early this morning.

    U.S Index is confined with 17-pips price action and its expected to keep that thin due to further U.S Data coming today with PCE and Personal spending in the main frame with, and the result could tackle the tone of FOMC members Dudley and Kashkari. GDP, PCE, Personal Spending, CPI, and inflation are the basis that central banks focus on whenever there is an interest rate decision.

    Finally, metals drop on strong US GDP data which increases bets on Fed rate hike decision. FOMC members Dudley and Kashkari will talk today and will give clues on future monetary policy.

    Note: Kashkari was the only FOMC member who waved a red card in last the U.S Fed meeting where 0.25% took action.


    Fundamentals:

    1- USD - Core PCE Price Index m/m today at 1:30 PM GMT.

    2- USD - Personal Spending m/m today at 1:30 PM GMT.

    3- USD- FOMC members Dudley and Kashkari speeches today.


    Technical:

    Bullish Sideways

    Resistance levels : R1 18.04, R2 18.30, R3 18.55

    Support levels : S1 18.04, S2 17.83, S3 17.55.

    Remark : Silver still to be considered bullish although XAGUSD trading near sensitive support levels that could provoke bearish forces. Staying within 29th price actions support silver bullish forces and a break above R2 alerts for larger bullish wave towards S3 level. A break below S2 level alerts for a beginning of a trend reversal, and below S3, market to consider silver bearish.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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    Quote Originally Posted by FxGrow Support View Post
    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 31st March, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Silver Retreats Temporary As US Index Inches higher


    Although silver suffered -15-pips loss yesterday over mix US Data with positive GDP 2.1% being in main focus, XAGUSD sustained the bullish trend despite recovering U.S Index peeking to 100.46 high, 9-pips below 50 SMA D1, after two weeks dwelling below 99. Negative unemployment claims with 3K narrow difference on 261K previous sessions, analysts took it as neutral despite the overall outcome. But what really energized U.S index was the GDP, paving the scenario content for next FOMC meeting next Wednesday, and market took it as a sign of possible hawkish tone where FOMC releases the statement. Markets started placing bets against odds of U.S Fed meeting, and the process of pricing the market is already in action. Currently, silver trades 18.09 after tumbling to 18.04 early this morning.

    U.S Index is confined with 17-pips price action and its expected to keep that thin due to further U.S Data coming today with PCE and Personal spending in the main frame with, and the result could tackle the tone of FOMC members Dudley and Kashkari. GDP, PCE, Personal Spending, CPI, and inflation are the basis that central banks focus on whenever there is an interest rate decision.

    Finally, metals drop on strong US GDP data which increases bets on Fed rate hike decision. FOMC members Dudley and Kashkari will talk today and will give clues on future monetary policy.

    Note: Kashkari was the only FOMC member who waved a red card in last the U.S Fed meeting where 0.25% took action.


    Fundamentals:

    1- USD - Core PCE Price Index m/m today at 1:30 PM GMT.

    2- USD - Personal Spending m/m today at 1:30 PM GMT.

    3- USD- FOMC members Dudley and Kashkari speeches today.


    Technical:

    Bullish Sideways

    Resistance levels : R1 18.04, R2 18.30, R3 18.55

    Support levels : S1 18.04, S2 17.83, S3 17.55.

    Remark : Silver still to be considered bullish although XAGUSD trading near sensitive support levels that could provoke bearish forces. Staying within 29th price actions support silver bullish forces and a break above R2 alerts for larger bullish wave towards S3 level. A break below S2 level alerts for a beginning of a trend reversal, and below S3, market to consider silver bearish.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
    I have made some profits in trading Silver as it came below 18.25 and now i am holding to my trades for the next week also.

    The analysis that you are giving is very good and helps me in my trading. I am always waiting for the latest tech updates before plunging into the markets
    Last edited by John Sanders; 04-02-2017 at 10:43 PM.

  5. #765
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 03rd April, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Aussie Slips on Negative Data Ahead of RBA Rate Decision


    Australian Dollar opened Asian trading session with negative Retails Sales -0.1% compared to 0.4$ on previous sessions and plunged 49-pips at 0.7591 low. On the other hand, U.S Index shifted the downtrend and instead, a significant recovery +$1.84 since last week and the Index clocked 100.49 today, ahead of local ISM Manufacturing PMI which will either confirm the bullish trend, or the Index will hit a bump. Currently AUD/USD 0.7604, with efforts to withhold the 0.78 level as USD pressures the Aussie.

    AUD/USD is trading thin today with 49-pips as price action, and it's expected to extend narrow ahead of Australian Trade Balance, followed by RBA's interest decision tomorrow early. Although forecasts highly bet that RBA wont wave the changing card and to leave it at current 1.5%, which leaves traders more anticipated on what will Lowe has to say on behalf of RBA preceded by local Trade balance. Analysts will try to decipher words out of Lowe with hawkish or dovish tone regarding the economic outlook and monetary policy supported by the result of trade balance.

    Fundamentals:

    1- USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI today at 2:00 PM GMT.

    2- AUD - Trade Balance tomorrow at 1:30 AM GMT.

    3- AUD - RBA Interest Rate Decision tomorrow at 4:30 AM GMT.

    4- AUD- Lowe, Gov of RBA speech tomorrow at 9:15 AM GMT.

    Technical Overview:

    Trend: Bullish Sideways

    Resistance levels: R1 0.7641, R2 0.7674, R3 0.7719, 0.7764

    Support levels : S1 0.7582, S2 0.7540, S3 0.7496, S4 0.7458

    Remark : Market to consider AUD/USD bullish despite early losses due to U.S Dollar bullish trend. Trade is poised with expectations of low action as market awaits vital Australian economic news tomorrow, market should kick with high volatility on Australian Trade balance and Lowe speech. A break S1 level signals a beginning of trend reversal and only a close below S2, market to consider the pair bearish.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

  6. #766
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 05th April, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    EUR/USD Steadies Ahead of local Data, Eyes on FOMC Meeting


    Last week, EUR/USD witnessed an intensive decline and the pair plunged to 1.0649 on Friday after peeking to 1.0906 last Monday. This week, the pair was confined with 50-pips as price action and prolonged the third consolidation consecutive session with a weekly high at 1.0685. Although U.S Dollar has awakened with a 100.59 high yesterday, market is showing some immunity by other currency rivals due to overall political uncertainties and economies are shifting courses at a high pace, add to that, mixed data leaving markets confused and cautious trading.

    According to the analysts at Danske Bank, if we are close to a peak in inflation and they are right that the pricing of hikes in the Eurozone will prove premature, EUR/USD should stay under pressure in coming months and fall back towards 1.05 as close-to-neutral positioning in the cross makes room for a revival in relative rates. Eurozone still has many obstacles to overcome before the whole image is drawn, especially the French coming elections and Frexit is already on tongues.

    This week, currency majors traded narrow as analysts awaits FOMC meeting minutes today and U.S NFP this Friday which should create higher volatility despite a negative or positive outcome especially EUR/USD. Local EURO services PMI is expected to have minor volatility. The main focus will be on tonight's FOMC meeting with eyes and ears focused on every word, trying to decipher messages, and the process of pricing the market could start all over again and FOMC members will do their best of avoid this scenario.

    Fundamentals:

    1- EUR - Final Services PMI today at 7:00 AM GMT.

    2- USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes today at 6:00 PM GMT.

    3- USD - Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday at 12:30 PM GMT.

    Remark : U.S Data is heavy this week, but market poised and tied with FOMC meeting and NFP result, which leaves other data less significant.

    Technical Overview:

    Trend: Bearish / Sideways

    Resistance levels : R1 1.0712, R2 1.0771, R3 1.0826, R4 1.0877

    Support levels : S1 1.0632, S2 1.0589, S3 1.0532, S4 1.0478

    Summary: Overall, the pair remains under pressure by strong U.S Index and market to consider EUR/USD bearish. But economic data this week will determine the trend further more. A penetration for S1 level will increase further selloffs and wash towards S2. A break below S2 level warns for additional intensive declines towards S3&S4. Any close below 1.07 is negative. Rallies that stay capped by 1.0800 should maintain bear forces. Closing above R3 level, traders to take it as sign for shifting trend course and above R4, uptrend is 100% confirmed. Be careful from setbacks as a first test on S&R levels due to high volatility.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

  7. #767
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 05th April, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Crude Oil Surges Over Fears Of Supply Tightening, Eyes on U.S Inventories


    Fundamentals:

    Crude oil level rallied yesterday +$1.41, and added +$0.14 today clocking a high 51.47, with expectation of additional gains, ahead of U.S Crude Inventories today. Oil bullish forces accelerated yesterday over signs of a gradual tightening in global oil inventories and on concerns about a supply outage at a field in the United Kingdom's North Sea that feeds into an international benchmark price.

    Another contributor (Iraq), entered the field on Sunday pledging to a full compliance with oil cut deal as OPEC chief hinted. Iraq has assured OPEC that it will fully comply with an agreement to cut oil supply in order to curb crude prices and the deal as a whole is encouraging, OPEC Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo said on Sunday in Baghdad. Iraq's compliance stands now at 98 percent, the nation's oil minister Jabar al-Luaibi told reporters, after addressing a conference in the Iraqi capital, also attended by Barkindo. General compliance with supply cuts by the oil producers was 86 percent in January and 94 percent in February and the market is already balancing, he added.

    On the other hand, the OPEC amd Non-OPEC deal for additional six months extension is cooked on a low steam and under the table which leaked optimism to the market as traders are anticipating it. Such deal, if struck, could accelerate rising price pace of crude oil despite U.S increased Shale drilling.

    Conclusion: Currently OPEC with above fundamentals have the upper hand, and markets should expect oil prices to climb back to Feb 2017 average $53 bp.

    Note: Look forward for U.S crude inventories today at 2:30 PM GMT which will give new perspectives for oil levels depending on the outcome.

    Technical Overview:

    Resistance levels: R1 51.65, R2 52.60, R3 53.52

    Support levels : S1 50.86, S2 49.60, S3 48.41

    Comment: The market has turned short-term bullish and calls for a larger bull wave up around R2&R3 levels. Stable action above 51.0 sustains bullish forces and boosts additional hikes. A slip below S1 cautions for near term correction, but only a close below S2 alerts for a trend reversal action and below S3, down-trend is confirmed. R1 level is sensitive as a psychological reminder of 2017 early rallies.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

  8. #768
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 06th April, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Silver Technical Overview Ahead of U.S Data


    Silver technical overview

    Trend : Bullish

    Resistance levels: R1 18.40 , R2 18.50, R3 18.73

    Support levels: S1 18.19, S2 18.03, S3 17.74

    Comment : The market is staying bullish with yesterday's bounce calling for another push higher. However, trade is pressed up against the previous downturn levels at R1&R2. A close over 18.55 is needed for a larger bull drive to R3 level. Be careful for a stall a stall against R1 and possible back off into flagging congestion. A slip through S2 level cautions for near term selling. A close under S3 is a signal for short term reversing turnover. Keep an eye on U.S Data today and tomorrow which will impact silver levels instantly. Be careful from setbacks as a first test on S&R due to high volatility. Only long positions above or below S&R is a confirmation for levels failure.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

  9. #769
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 06th April, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Gold Bull Forces Remain Under Pressure, U.S Data Will Decide


    Gold has postponed breaking the 1260 level for the third consecutive session and for the 8th time in 2017, XAUUSD has built a higher wall being impossible to penetrate. Yesterday, the yellow metal plunged to 1243.75 dramatically over ADP Non-Farm Employment Change with an upbeat 263K while forecasts were 184K. Markets awaited FOMC meeting yesterday with expectations about a precise or clear figure about coming hikes with date, but details were left unspoken, as a result, market reacted negatively and U.S Index shed -$0.69 after peeking to 100.95 earlier. Currently gold trades 1245.30 intraday, with agitated volatility.

    The same scenario has been repeated where gold reaches the climax of 1259, then fades aggressively as if the market is on an autopilot mood or Déjà vu. Today and tomorrow, U.S Data will decide once and for all, gold's destination. A break above 1261 will fuel gold bullish candles with fury, whilst, a failure to break above, market could witness pressured selling and gold will plunge below 1245 as a reminder of recent scenarios.

    On the other hand, other keys could provoke gold inclines including Trump's political continuous tension with China and doubts about his leadership, North Korea declarations of launching nuclear missile as a test arousing uncertainties, French coming elections with Frexist as what happened on Brexit, markets might head to gold a safe haven substitute when doubts creap into the market.

    Fundamentals:

    1- USD - Unemployment Claims today at 12:30 PM GMT.

    2- USD - Non-Farm Payrolls NFP tomorrow at 12:30 PM GMT.

    Technical Overview:

    Trend : Bullish Sideways

    Resistance levels: R1 1260.05, R2 1267.40, R3 1280.30

    Support levels: S1 1249.80, S2 1242.26, S3 1236.75

    Comment: Gold levels will be determined depending on U.S Data outcome. As for technical, staying above 1250 rekindles bull forces. A break above R1 with long positions should fuel larger bull hikes towards R2&R3 level. Yesterday's spike rebound has trade positioned for rallies as a restore of confidence. Any penetration for S1 level holds congestion with a reminder of aggressive selloffs towards S2 level. Closing below S2 is a signal for trend reversal and market to consider gold bearish. Expectations of high volatility during economic data release and traders to be careful from setbacks as recent behavior when gold tests support and resistance levels.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

  10. #770
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    FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 07th April, 2017
    By FxGrow Investment Research Desk

    Gold Rockets With Fury Over Trump's Attack Decision


    Gold inaugurated early trading at 1255.45 low and clocked a 1269.28 Dec-2016-Fresh highs with +$18.83 price action. Yesterday, Trump hinted that U.S military forces are considering the option of a possible attack on Syrian lands, but no one took his words seriously. Trump had to prove everyone wrong, and the prohibited occured, an attack on Al-Shayrat airfield on Syrian Territories with Tomhauk missiles, but this is not the end of the story.

    There are confirmed details that Russian military forces were at Al-Shayrat airfield base which should create further tension between U.S and Russia, and the biggest beneficiary was gold where markets and traders will consider XAUUSD as a safe haven alternative.

    This is not the end of gold bullish ride, and tails will extend further political tension supporting gold bullish forces. The first resistance failed at 1260, the second was tested successfully at 1267 with a minor correction, currently the yellow metal is trading 1263 intraday. Expectations that gold will dilate and extend further gains during the coming hours even though U.S Index is strong 100.68 high today. Gold tends to tweet comfortably despite U.S Dollar performance when economic and political uncertainties creeps into market. Gold next destination is 1275>1280 in case R2 level 1267 fails.

    Remark: Although markets are awaiting U.S NFP data today at 12:30 PM GMT, NFP could have a minor affect on gold due to the above political fundamentals.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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