Ehm, just saying. Does the flaming solve any issue for some?
Donāt throw stones to me now please! :51:
What you can see if you glue long enough with ANY chart:
If the sentiment is bullish and a bullish news comes out, the price rockets.
If the sentiment is bearish and a bullish news comes out, the price keeps at level.
If the sentiment is bullish and bearish news comes out, the price is flat as well.
If the sentiment is bearish and bearish news comes out, price drops like rocks.
You can combine any other variables like relative prices regarding in value to it and get a better picture.
So yes, news can āigniteā a move, but almost never in isolation. It does just deliver the acceleration for the move in the direction what was planned before the news comes out. More often than not. Why? Because most traders reacting to news are dumb money traders. They are panicking and do the dirty work for those who work with their long term edge. This is just a broad simplified model of my own reception. For sure the market does something else every now and then.
However, that is evidence, that news are not a factor in driving anything in the markets with highest importance. There are news free Mondays where prices rocket or drop as well. Then there are news coming out and price is flat.
Plus then, who is smart money? Smart money is those who make a lot of money in the markets, and I give any warranty that those with mechanical systems like for instance the turtles didnāt trade by news. Those who did in their group performed worst!
I am not saying news are completely unimportant, but itās just one piece of the picture and itās definitely not the most important piece. News are made. They almost never come out of nowhere for a random reason. Those who use news in isolation for their trading could be successful, but I guess itās really a bumpy way to make money. Because you trade almost ever with the herd. Iām not speaking regarding those who use technicals to fade the news.