Hedging

Thank you, Jason, for that really helpful answer!

Yes, I know what you mean… I have a hunch that using hedging at the beginning of entering a long-term

trade (position trading is what I am becoming specialised in) in a congestion phase would act as my ‘fee’

for insuring that my choice of bias was correct… It is something I want to trial for this use specifically,

nothing else.

Jason,

I logged into My FXCM but I cannot seem to find an option for ‘Hedging’ that I can change; I just tried

to open two opposing trades on my other (demo) FXCM account and when I opened the sell position

on the same pair it just closed the buy posiiton, so hedging is clearly not set up.

Could you help me find the tab/settings area where I can facilitate this?

Thank you IMMENSELY!

I can understand in the case of operating in different time frames how it would make sense to be able to use hedge accounting (and all we’re talking about here is an accounting method). I’m talking about something like holding a long-term trend position and trading around that with shorter-term positions on a different strategy. From a strategy monitoring perspective I can see the value.

What hedging will not do in any way, shape, or form is change your net performance, however. Anything you would do as a hedge trade could be replicated in a non-hedge fashion. That’s a simple mathematical truth.

Hi PMH,

If I understand what you said correctly, then this does not seem like a good reason to hedge.

You said you want to use “hedging at the beginning of entering a long-term trade” as insurance. This is not insurance. The mathematical effect is simply that you put off making a decision on the market direction and pay the spread an extra time (on your second trade) for your trouble.

To prove this, I will walk you through the two possible outcomes. For my example, let’s assume you are bullish on cable and want to place a long term trade buying 100k GBP/USD at 1.2800. That means, according to your hedging plan, you would go long 100k GBP/USD in one trade 1.2800 and short 100k GBP/USD at 1.2800 in another trade. (I’m ignoring the bid/ask spread to keep this example simple but note the sell price on your second trade would probably end up being a bit lower than the buy price on your first trade.)

[B]Scenario 1[/B]: GBP/USD goes up 50 pips in your favor and is now trading at 1.2850. That means you are floating a 50 pip profit on Trade 1, and a 50 pip loss on Trade 2. Therefore your Net P/L at this point is 0 pips. (Again this ignores the spread.) Since your idea of buying GBP/USD seems to be working so far, you decide to close your short trade. This locks in your 50 pip loss on that Trade 2 which on a 100k short equates to $500. You are now net long 100k on Trade 1. Suppose GBP/USD then goes up to 1.3800. You close the trade for a 1000 pip profit. That equates to $10,000 on Trade 1. But remember you have to subtract the $500 loss from Trade 2. That means your P/L overall is $9500. That’s equivalent to 950 pips on a 100k GBP/USD trade. That means, even though you took profit at 1.3800, it was as if you initially bought 100k GBP/USD at 1.2850, not 1.2800. That means the whole time you were hedged from 1.2800 to 1.2850 was as if you had no trade open at all.

[B]Scenario 2[/B]: GBP/USD goes against you dropping 50 pips and is now trading at 1.2750. That means you are floating a 50 pip loss on Trade 1, and a 50 pip profit on Trade 2. Therefore your Net P/L at this point is 0 pips. (Again this ignores the spread.) Since your idea of buying GBP/USD seems not to be working, you decide to close both your long trade and your short trade. This locks in your 50 pip loss on Trade 1 and your 50 pip profit on Trade 2. You lose $500 on Trade 1 and that is offset with a $500 profit on Trade 2. That means the whole time you were hedged from 1.2800 to 1.2750 was as if you had no trade open at all.

The question then becomes: If you are unsure when you first get a buy signals for GBP/USD at 1.2800, why not simply watch the market without placing a trade at 1.2800 and wait to see if the price rises to 1.2850 before buying 100k GBP/USD there? If the price instead falls to 1.2750, then you don’t place a trade at all.

It’s my pleasure, PMH

It sounds like you have an FXCM US demo. Note that US regulations prohibit hedging. To set up a demo that let’s you hedge like your real FXCM UK account, use this link.

Quite right, Rhodytrader

Yes, this is why many of our clients use hedging, and I just thought of another application: Suppose I have an EUR-denominated trading account, but I am long term bearish on the Euro. If my account balance is 50,000 Euros then I can short 50k EUR/USD and hold that trade as a long term hedge against a falling Euro. That way I am free to place other trades in EUR/USD without having to worry about whether they will cancel out.

Hello Jason,

thank you for that!

I think I did.not explain myself fully: I would never want to buy and sell AT THE SAME PRICE… The idea is that I can buy or sell something long-term but, in case of a temporary retracement later, I can add a short-term test position in the opposite direction and if the initial trend resumes I can lock in some profit, or if it reverses then I can close the original.trade.

This would help in choppy markets… I do not operate signals nor do I day-trade, so the only way for me to “monitor” an instrument is to be involved in trading it.

:slight_smile:

So, in answer to my original question: where can I alter the hedging functionality on My FXCM?

Thank you but this is my original fxcm demo account from.Sep.2012, with all my trading.history, so I.will.keep.it… What about hedging on my live (UK) acccount? Sorry if I keep banging on about this :slight_smile:

No trouble. You have a live FXCM UK account, so hedging is enabled.

This sounds quite a bit like what Jason mentioned early on in the thread as not being a good idea - using hedging as a kind of temporary stop. In other words, you worry that the trend you’re playing has ended, but you don’t want to just exit the position because the market might turn back around.

Basically, it’s two fears in one: a) Fear of giving back your gains, and b) fear of missing out.

The problem here is that putting on the hedge position freezes your account in position just as if you’d exited the trade. If you then take the hedge off at a profit (retracement has continued) then it’s just like putting the original trend trade back on again at that point.

That’s the perfect outcome.

The less perfect ones are:

  1. The market keeps going against your initial and you eventually have to close it out. At this point you need to decide whether to keep on the hedge position, which essentially is the same as making a new trade. Because you’ve had both the long and short on up to this point you won’t have made any net profit, and because you put on the second trade you’ve had to pay an extra spread.

  2. The market reverses back in the direction of your original trade to the point where it puts your hedge position in a loss. This means you’ve missed out on some of the original trend because you were effectively net flat. Plus you had to pay an extra spread for putting on the hedge.

If the hedge position is entered based on a separate strategy from the one you’re using for your longer term trade, fine. If, however, you’re looking to use it to manage your longer term position it is not going to provide any net benefit. In fact, it will almost certainly cost you money.

The better way to go is to refine your exit strategy.

Rhodytrader is spot on, PMH

From what you have described, it seems like you are looking to hedge not because you have two different strategies, but because you have a lack of conviction about one strategy. Don’t take our word for it:

Or this:

Trade. Or trade not. There is no hedge. :smiley:

Thank you Jason and Rhody.

The trend trading I do require periods of long drawdown (essentially it is long term investing): during this time, shorter-term retracements on the same instrument can be used to increase account balance (not equity, balance)by using counter-trend, shorter-term.trades. I am testing this method.with shorter term.trades on a trading contest demo.at present, and it has some worth. Also, I would.not call opening trades.and countertrades on the same pair hedging, but technically that is what it is called; however,keeping a long term position open at times does require some measures especially where a position is unscaleable (e.g. minimum position size). I will start using this function as it makes a lot of sense.to me and it definitely must be practised.

Interesting thoughts from another forum:

Hedge a losing position? @ Forex Factory

Perhaps if you positioned yourself correctly and/or extricated yourself sensibly in the first place instead of hanging on doggedly to toxic trades you wouldn’t need to adopt this practice in the first place.

The proper scenario to job a position (which is kind of what you’re describing) is to come at it from a position of strength, ie: face the right way first with your longer-term entry & job counter moves back against the winning position until the pullback/retrace exhausts.

Yes, that makes perfect sense to me.

However, I have to try this for myself, so I started doing that yesterday. I will report back in Forextown.

Thanks to all for your comments :slight_smile:

PS: I started using this technique today and it is working fine. Again, I do not know any more than the next trader, so I am testing things carefully - all traders have to test new things, nothing stays the same, so there is no one strategy that lasts forever.

Thank you to FXCM for allowing bi-directional trading (there, I avoided the ‘h’ word) on their UK accounts!

I wish you all the best with your strategy, PMH. And to be clear, it’s not hedging I have anything against. It’s a tool, just like a stop or a limit. You and I simply have differing views on how best to use this tool. But without different perspectives there would be no trading. :57:

Very magnanimous, Jason!

Long-term trading is not for everyone, and of course it is better for quality of life but if you want

quick results…ah, what are those, again ? ;p

I have not forgotten your admonishment (see much, much earlier on my 2013 Forextown thread) about

overleveraging, though, and this is how I am where I am… Thank you so much for your

guidance, advice, patience, and occasional bell-ringing :slight_smile:

… and exactly that’s the point. Price moves up & down, so it might be that you could close one position while price goes in one direction and, hopefully, you close the other when price reverses. That could net a “double” win or, while you get panicked, a double loss.