EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook: January 18, 2013

[B]DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON EUR/USD

Last Update At [/B]
18 Jan 2013 01:41GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Up

Daily Indicators
Bearish divergences

21 HR EMA
1.3353

55 HR EMA
1.3330

Trend Hourly Chart
Up

Hourly Indicators
Rising

13 HR RSI
58

14 HR DMI
+ve

Daily Analysis
Possible resumption of upmove

Resistance
1.3486 - Feb 29 high
1.3430 - Equality projection of 1.2876-1.3308 fm 1.2998
1.3404 - Mon’s high

Support
1.3334 - Y’day’s NY sup
1.3315 - Y’day’s Asian res
1.3257 - Thur’s low

EUR/USD - 1.3394 … Despite y’day’s brief drop fm 1.3315 to 1.3270 in Asia, failure to penetrate Wed’s low of 1.3267 triggered profit-taking. Price jumped on rally in eur/yen in Europe as well as good demand at Spanish auction n euro rallied to 1.3378 in NY morning n later to 1.3387 b4 easing.

Y’day’s rally strongly suggests the correction fm Mon’s 10-month high of 1.3404 has ended at 1.3257 on Wed n as long as 1.3307/15 (prev. res, now sup) holds, bullishness remains for MT uptrend fm last year’s low of 1.2042 (Jul) to retrace LT intermediate decline fm 1.4940 (May 11’) to resume n abv 1.3404 wud extend gain to 1.3430 (equality projection of 1.2876-1.3308 fm 1.2998) n then twds 1.3486/91 (Feb 29 high n natural 50% r of 1.4940-1.2042 respectively). Look ing ahead, a breach of 1.3486 wud encourage for further headway to 1.3550 n 1.3791 (equality measurement of 1.2042-1.3172 projected fm 1.2661) in Q1.

Today, buying euro on dips is favoured in anticipation of further rise but profit shud be taken as hourly oscillators have already displayed ‘bearish divergences’ n a correction is due later. Below 1.3307 wud risk 1.3257/70.