EURJPY Elliott Wave View

EURJPY Elliott Wave View: Pullback in progress

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that the pair has ended the cycle from 2/24 low (118.18) and the instrument is pulling back to correct that cycle before turning higher again. Primary wave ((5)) is currently in progress higher and the rally from Primary wave ((4)) low at 118.18 is unfolding as an ending diagonal Elliott wave structure where Intermediate wave (1) ended at 122.88. The subdivision of Intermediate wave (2) pullback is proposed to be in a double three Elliottwave structure where Minor wave W ended at 121.59 and Minor wave X bounce is in progress.

The subwaves of Minor W looks to be in a zigzag Elliott wave structure, and if the subwaves of Minor Y later also takes the form of a zigzag, then this is a special structure of a double three where the subwave of both wave W and Y unfolds as a zigzag and we can call this structure a double zigzag. Near term, while Minor wave X bounce fails below 122.88 high, pair should turn lower in Minor wave Y of (2) towards 119.97 – 120.53 area before pair resumes the rally higher, provided that pivot at 118.18 low stays intact. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and expect buyers to appear at above area for at least 3 waves bounce.

EURJPY 1 Hour Chart 03.15.2017


EURJPY Elliott Wave View: Pullback ended

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that the decline to 118.18 on 2/24 ended Primary wave ((4)). Primary wave ((5)) is currently in progress higher and the rally from Primary wave ((4)) low at 118.18 is unfolding as an ending diagonal Elliott wave structure where Intermediate wave (1) ended at 122.88. The subwaves of Intermediate wave (1) takes the form of a zigzag Elliott wave structure where Minor wave A ended at 121.19, Minor wave B ended at 119.97, and Minor wave C of (1) ended at 122.88.

Intermediate wave (2) pullback is unfolding as as a double three structure where Minor wave W ended at 121.59, Minor wave X ended at 122.06 and Minor wave Y of of (2) is proposed complete at 121.16. While pullbacks stay above there, and more importantly above 118.18, expect pair to resume the rally higher, provided that pivot at 118.18 stays intact. If pair breaks below 121.16 here, then it’s still within Minor wave Y of (2) and can open extension lower towards 120.45 – 120.75 area before pair turns higher again. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and favor the longside as long as pivot at 118.18 low stays intact.

EURJPY 1 Hour Chart 03.16.2017


EURJPY Elliott Wave View: Correction in progress

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that the decline to 118.18 on 2/24 ended Primary wave ((4)). Primary wave ((5)) is currently in progress higher and the rally from Primary wave ((4)) low at 118.18 is unfolding as an ending diagonal Elliott wave structure where Intermediate wave (1) ended at 122.88. The subwaves of Intermediate wave (1) takes the form of a zigzag Elliott wave structure where Minor wave A ended at 121.19, Minor wave B ended at 119.97, and Minor wave C of (1) ended at 122.88.

Revised view suggests that Intermediate wave (2) pullback is still in progress in 7 swing or a double three structure where Minor wave W ended at 121.087. While Minor wave X bounce fails below 122.88, pair has scope to turn lower one more leg in Minor wave Y of (2) towards 119.27 – 120.52 area before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and expect buyers appear at 119.27 – 120.52 area for an extension higher or at least 3 waves bounce as far as pivot at 118.18 low stays intact. If pair breaks above 122.88 from here, that will suggest that Intermediate wave (2) has ended at 121.087 and pair has resumed the rally higher.

EURJPY 1 Hour Chart 03.17.2017


EURJPY Elliott wave View: More downside

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that cycle from 3/12 peak (122.89) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minor wave W ended at 119.28 and Minor wave X ended at 120.45. Minor wave Y is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) can be complete already at 117.8 and wave ((x)) bounce should correct cycle from 3/28 peak (120.445) before pair turns lower. As pair is showing a 5 swing bearish sequence from 3/12 peak as well as from 12/14/2016 peak, more downside is expected in the pair. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear once wave ((x)) bounce is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing provided that pivot at 3/28 high is intact in the first degree.

1 Hour EURJPY Elliott Wave Chart 04.04.2017


EURJPY Elliott wave View: Correction in progress

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that cycle from 3/12 peak (122.89) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minor wave W ended at 119.28 and Minor wave X ended at 120.45. Minor wave Y is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 117.38 and wave ((x)) bounce is in progress to correct cycle from 3/28 peak (120.445) towards 118.9 – 119.72 area before pair turns lower. As pair is showing a 5 swing bearish sequence from 3/12 peak as well as from 12/14/2016 peak, more downside is expected in the pair. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear at the above area once wave ((x)) bounce is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing provided that pivot at 3/28 high stays intact in the first degree.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 04.05.2017


EURJPY Elliott wave View: Continuation lower

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that cycle from 3/12 peak (122.89) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minor wave W ended at 119.28 and Minor wave X ended at 120.45. Minor wave Y is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 117.38 and Minute wave ((x)) bounce is proposed complete at 118.78. Down from 118.78, if pair can see 1 more minor low, the decline can be defined as 5 waves impulse and the 5 waves move should complete Subminutte wave a, then it should bounce in Subminutte wave b to correct the cycle from 118.78 high before pair turns lower again. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear once Subminutte wave b is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing provided that pivot at 4/5 high (118.78) stays intact in the first degree.

EURJPY 1 hour Elliott Wave Chart 04.06.2017


EURJPY Elliott wave View: Further downside

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that cycle from 3/12 peak (122.89) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minor wave W ended at 119.28 and Minor wave X ended at 120.45. Minor wave Y is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 117.38 and Minute wave ((x)) bounce is proposed complete at 118.79. Pair has resumed the decline lower and the decline is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure where Subminutte wave a ended at 117.33 and Subminutte wave b ended at 118.43. Near term, while bounces stay below 118.79, but more importantly below 120.45, expect pair to extend lower. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 04.07.2017


EURJPY Elliott Wave: Bullish against May 30th low

Short Term EURJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 4/16 low is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 4/16 (114.8) low, Intermediate wave (W) ended at 125.81 and Intermediate wave (X) ended at 122.53. A break above 125.81 however is still needed to add conviction that the next leg higher has started.

From 122.53 low, the rally is also unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((w)) ended at 125.8 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 123.11. Near term, while pullbacks stay above 123.11, expect pair to extend higher. If pair breaks below 123.11, then pair is likely doing a double correction from 5/16 peak. This suggests pair can open extension lower to 121.6 – 122.25 area in case of a double correction. From this area, buyers should appear again for an extension higher or at least a 3 waves bounce. We do not like selling the proposed move to the downside and expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 06/01/2017

EURJPY Elliott Wave: Short term Pullback

Short Term EURJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 4/16 low is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 4/16 (114.8) low, Intermediate wave (W) ended at 125.81 and Intermediate wave (X) ended at 122.53. A break above 125.81 however is still needed to add conviction that the next leg higher has started.

From 122.53 low, the rally is also unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((w)) ended at 125.8 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 123.11. Near term, cycle from 5/30 low (123.11) is mature and expected to end soon. This cycle from 5/30 low is unfolding as a Flat Elliott Wave structure and expected to end with Minutte wave (w) at 125.5 – 125.7 area. Once Minutte wave (w) is over, expect pair to pullback in Minutte wave (x). The pullback should unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swing and while the pullback stays above 123.11, pair should extend higher. If pair breaks below 123.11, then pair is likely doing a double correction from 5/16 peak. This suggests pair can open extension lower to 121.6 – 122.25 area in case of a double correction. From this area, buyers should appear again for an extension higher or at least a 3 waves bounce. We do not like selling the proposed move to the downside and expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing.

EURJPY Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 06/02/2017

EURJPY Elliott Wave Analysis: Bullish against 123.6

Short term EURJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 122.35 on 6/15 low ended Intermediate wave (X). Rally from there is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 124.46 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 123.62. Minute wave ((y)) is in progress and also unfolding as a double three. Near term focus is on 125.42 – 125.68 to complete Minutte wave (w) of ((y)). Afterwards, pair should pullback in Minutte wave (x) of ((y)) in 3, 7, or 11 swing before turning higher again, provided pivot at 123.6 low stays intact. We don’t like selling the pair.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

EURJPY Elliott Wave Analysis Update 6.28.2017

Short term EURJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 122.35 on 6/15 low ended Intermediate wave (X). Rally from there is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure with extension where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 124.46 and Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 123.62. Minute wave ((iii)) is in progress as 5 waves. After a short term pullback in Minutte wave (iv), another leg higher still can be seen in Minutte wave (v) to finish Minute wave ((iii)). Pair should then pullback in Minute wave ((iv)) before turning higher again. We don’t like selling the pair.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

EURJPY Elliott Wave Analysis Update 6.29.2017

Short term EURJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 122.35 on 6/15 low ended Intermediate wave (X). Rally from there is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure with extension where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 124.46 and Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 123.62. Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 127.84 and Minute wave ((iv)) at 126.46. Up from there pair has broken above the wave ((iii)) peak suggesting the next leg higher in Minute wave ((v)) has started already and after a short term pullback in Minutte wave (ii) pair should see more upside. We don’t like selling the pair.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

EURJPY Elliott Wave View: Pullback Started

Short term EURJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 122.35 on 6/15 low ended Intermediate wave (X). Rally from there is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure with extension. This 5 wave move could be a wave A of an Elliott wave zigzag structure structure, where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 124.46 and Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 123.62. Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 127.84, Minute wave ((iv)) at 126.46 and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at yesterday’s peak 128.84. Near term, while bounces remain below there expect the pair to pull back in larger degree 3, 7, or 11 swings to correct cycle from 6/15 low before the rally resumes again. We don’t like selling the Index and expect buyers to appear after 7 or 11 swings pull back for extension higher. This view remains valid as far as pivot at 6/15 low 122.35 remains intact.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

CHF JPY Bullish Elliott Wave Sequence

In this article we will take a look at Elliott Wave structure of CHF JPY pair since the low at 4.16.2017. Move up from 4.16.2017 (107.67) to 5.25.2017 (115.16) was in 7 swings and completed wave (W). Then we saw the pair pull back from the highs. Below is the 480 minute chart presented to clients on 11th June 2017 where we were looking for pair to end the correction in 112.87 – 111.52 area and resume the rally for new highs.

CHF JPY 11 June 480 minute chart

CHF JPY 30 June 480 minute chart

Pair found buyers in the blue box between 112.87 – 111.52 and rallied to new highs as expected. With the latest rally from 112.46 – 117.78, pair is showing 5 swings up from 4.16.2017 low which is a bullish sequence and calls for more upside against 112.46 low to complete a double three Elliott wave structure. Pair has reached 0.618 – 0.764 Fibonacci extension area of (W)-(X) between 117.00 – 118.18 which is the typical area for 5th swing to end in a 7 swing sequence. Thus, we are expecting the pair to make a pull back in wave B and continue higher towards 119.95 – 121.72 area. We don’t like selling the pair in proposed wave B pull back and expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7 or 11 swings for continuation higher. If pair drops from here 116.23 – 115.94 would become next area of interest for wave B to complete and buyers to appear to start C leg higher or bounce in 3 waves at least.

EURJPY Elliott Wave View: Ending Impulse

Short term EURJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 122.35 on 6/15 low ended Intermediate wave (X). Rally from there is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure with extension. This 5 wave move could be Minor wave A of an Elliott wave zigzag structure structure, where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 124.46 and Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 123.62. Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 127.84, Minute wave ((iv)) at 126.46 and Minute wave ((v)) of A is in progress towards 129.16 – 129.7.

Near term, while pair stays above 127.41, expect further upside towards the mentioned target. Afterwards, pair should pull back in larger degree 7 or 11 swings to correct cycle from 6/15 low before the rally resumes again. We don’t like selling the Index and expect buyers to appear after 7 or 11 swings pull back for extension higher. This view remains valid as far as pivot at 6/15 low 122.35 remains intact.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 7/4/2017