Go Back   BabyPips.com Forex Forum > The Currency Spot > "The Majors" > EURUSD
EURUSD Discuss market action in the Euro versus the US Dollar.

Welcome to the BabyPips.com forum!

You are currently viewing our boards as a guest which allows you to view the discussions, but prevents you from contributing. By joining our FREE community you will be able to do all of the following:

  • Post topics & responses to other discussions
  • Communicate privately with other members (PM)
  • Respond to polls
  • Upload content
  • Post comments on our blogs
  • Contribute on our Forexpedia

Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so please, join our community today!

If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact us.



Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1 (permalink)  
Old 11-10-2008, 07:40 AM
Newbie
 

Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 33
Default EUR/USD Long?

Hello all

I'm waiting for the US markets to open, but I am anticipating an EMA crossover (fast EMA 5 / Slow EMA 10) on the daily charts, suggesting a long position..a brief look into the fundamentals also suggests a shift away from the USD safe haven.
Reply With Quote
  #2 (permalink)  
Old 11-13-2008, 04:50 AM
Newbie
 

Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 33
Default

well.......yes.....I was wrong....the cross-over didn't happen, and there has been a big drop,
Reply With Quote
  #3 (permalink)  
Old 11-13-2008, 09:22 AM
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 297
Send a message via Yahoo to cadarkitek Send a message via Skype™ to cadarkitek
Default

I think its best if you trade in the direction of the trend.
Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)  
Old 12-11-2008, 05:38 AM
Newbie
 

Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 33
Default broken range?

It seems that the EUR broke the range that it had been stuck in for the last month...at roughly 1.3100...maybe now is the time for the long buy....daily charts have been strong bulls for the last four days....
Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)  
Old 12-12-2008, 03:11 PM
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 134
Default

Price action is closing the week up here at a previous zone of s&r spike activity (1.3250–1.3300) from 10 & 30 October. It might be prudent to check & tickbox any pullback-test before adding to, or initiating fresh longs.

The weekly view shows this recent 1.2480-1.2850 channel as a key participation zone from much of 2006, confirming the consolidation break as a solid floor of support in early 2007.

That 1.2850 level also represented last weeks high zone, a typical key activity area (along with monthly high-lows & previous day high-lows) which usually attract increased interest as & when they come into view on the radar.

That was your low risk (long) play. The level now playing out up here into the weeks close, which looks like forming a doji on the Daily chart, will be keenly observed into next week as a potential “compound level” for early Euro bullish continuation momentum.

Weekly chart highlighting the channel from 2006/07 which is dictating this trading quarters activity



4 Hour chart showing the near term breakout-pullback of the upper s&r channel level which also housed last weeks high.
There was a losing entry (circled) at the end of November before the price action maintained the bullish push by printing a higher low support, confirming the bullish engulfing activity on the Daily closing bar prints.



and the close proximity 60min chart with this weeks action on & around the breakout-pullback attempt at last weeks high/long term weekly s&r zone.
Obviously, you'll have your preferred execution set-ups & triggers to take a trade on, but actioning them in line with sensible price action observation will hopefully keep you to the correct side of the risk play.

Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)  
Old 12-12-2008, 03:34 PM
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 134
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JimmyMac View Post
That 1.2850 level also represented last weeks high zone, a typical key activity area (along with monthly high-lows & previous day high-lows) which usually attract increased interest as & when they come into view on the radar.
This example is a bit of a no brainer really. Yesterdays high coincides with a key big figure (round number) level, but it aptly reinforces the importance of paying attention to these previous day/week/month reaction zones as the price action approaches & vibrates around them.

Mark em up on your charts & spend time observing the activity on & around them. You'll be surprised how often they assist in triggering decent risk play opportunities up & down the ladder.

Reply With Quote
  #7 (permalink)  
Old 12-13-2008, 08:13 AM
 

Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 2
Default

Hi guys just trying to get a feel of what next week may hold for us as far as eur/usd is concerned. I have a short position which I placed at 1.30 and still holding, its getting a bit too nervy for a novice like me, can we see some sort of a retrace down to 1.30 or are the graphs all showing its upwards and onwards.

Should I cut my losses now or hope for a retrace, not sure how potential opec output cut, auto bailout and fed rate desicion will pan out!
Reply With Quote
  #8 (permalink)  
Old 12-13-2008, 03:38 PM
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 134
Default

I have a short position which I placed at 1.30 and still holding, its getting a bit too nervy for a novice like me, can we see some sort of a retrace down to 1.30 or are the graphs all showing its upwards and onwards

Whenever you initiate a position in the markets you should always have a ‘get-out’ clause in place whereby your reason for holding the trade is no longer valid.

Only you will know where that is. And it should form an integral part of your specific plan for that particular trade.


Should I cut my losses now or hope for a retrace, not sure how potential opec output cut, auto bailout and fed rate desicion will pan out

Hoping & wishing have no place in trading.
You’re now relying on situations & circumstances that are totally out of your control. You might get lucky & price falls back allowing you to bail at an improved (loss) level.

But what are you gonna do if it gaps up tomorrow night as Tokyo opens up & continues North into early Frankfurt/London trade? Where’s your ultimate pain limit?

Always, always, always have a PLAN for every eventuality & stick to it, coz if you don’t you’ll get smoked, & damn quick.
Reply With Quote
  #9 (permalink)  
Old 12-16-2008, 10:38 PM
 

Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 9
Default Where?

Does anybody think there will be a retracement at Fibonacci level 1.618? Or do you think USD will continue its helpless downfall after breaking 2.618?
Reply With Quote
  #10 (permalink)  
Old 12-17-2008, 02:27 AM
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 134
Default

Just a suggestion Peter, but you might attract more debate & make it more helpful to others viewing the thread if you backed up your comments or views with a clearly annotated chart, or at the very least some kind of clue regards the levels/numbers you’re referring to?

Not everyone (me included) observes or utilizes Fibonacci when determining the mechanics of their position planning.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:44 AM.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.2.0
"Get busy living or get busy dying."
Stephen King