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  #11 (permalink)  
Old 04-13-2008, 10:39 PM
 

Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 5
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if you use 10, 21, 50 or 10, 21, 68, or 11,21,68, it doesn't matter that much. The concept you should really be understanding is the trend. I'm making an assumption you want to trade a trending market and not a ranging market.

If trend trade in a ranging market, you will get crushed.

This is a very basic technical indicator and when the 10 is above the 21 and the 20 above the 50, it confirms that a strong trend is occuring and you can enter a trade when the 20 finally goes above the 50. You might want to wait for a small retracement.

Now, that part is easy. Its just moving averages, but if you are going to trade trends (100 to 200 pips), you can expect that you will be stopped out of many trades before you get a trend that makes you money. This is where most new traders fail. Some trend traders will win only 20 to 30% of the time.
On average when I use this technical setup, I will get stopped out about 3 times before the trend takes off. my average on a 15 minute chart is about 100 to 150 pips. I will usually set a stop loss at about 15 to 20 pips depending on price action. So at the end you will have a 40 to 50 pip gain.

over a period of time your trading can look like this (out of 10 trades). 5 trades at a loss, 2 trades break even, 2 trades 20 to 30 pips, 1 trade 100 to 150 pips.


Now, you will get lucky and get a trend that goes 300 to 500 pips but its very unlikey.
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  #12 (permalink)  
Old 04-13-2008, 11:31 PM
FX-Men Honorary Member
 

Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Huntsville, TX.
Posts: 1,246
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lonepiper View Post
Thanks for the input.I have been jumping around for ever on stategys for trading.Recently I have pretty much made my mind up to use price action with some combination of ma's to gauge price.Just not sure which ma's to use.10,21,50, is what you stated in your post.Do you use these?I want to keep it as simple as possible.Anyone else have any stories of when they finally became consistently profitable?Thanks to you all!!
I am profitable right now. Since going live I have had only one down day. That day was not just down, but horribly down. It wasn't the fault of my "system" but mine for trading stupid. Since then I have done real well. I haven't been trading long enough live to know if I can be considered consitently profitable. Time can only tell. I think your only problem is lack of a strategy and time to devote to this market. Find the time and find the strategy (on demo). Once you have those two things, you should do well. Good trading.
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  #13 (permalink)  
Old 04-14-2008, 07:13 PM
Newbie
 

Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 20
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Hello,
Thanks again for the posts.I am trying to figure out a system to bag 10 pips then let the rest ride.Somehow use ma's with price action(S&R,trendlines etc.)to start the trade with two positions open...snag the first 10 pips then set the other position to breakeven and let it ride ,or get stopped out.That is what I am aiming for,I am playing around with ma's now.I feel I am close on settling down and getting married to a system to call my own!!LOL.
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  #14 (permalink)  
Old 04-14-2008, 07:30 PM
FX-Men Honorary Member
 

Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Huntsville, TX.
Posts: 1,246
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Keep it simple. A simple system can be just as profitable or better than a complex one. A simple system will also find more setups and will spend less time in demo before a performance conclusion can be made.

Good luck and trading.
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