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Old 06-03-2008, 09:24 AM
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Default What happened at 9am EST ?

I was about to trade a trend reversal pattern on the USD/JPY just at 9am today (19 minutes ago). The price was at 104.47 and I was looking to go SHORT if the price touched 104.50. Before I could finish the order, the price starts shooting up . Within 30 to 60 seconds the price was up to 104.90.

I know this happens during news releases but there was nothing for the USD scheduled to be announced at 9am. There is a report expected at 10am for US Factory orders m/m.

I am checking some websites, checking the news...nothing.

Geeez, my head is spinning on how badly I would have taken it up the UKNOWWHERE if I had gotten my order in.

Last edited by BrianSNJ; 06-03-2008 at 09:30 AM.
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Old 06-03-2008, 09:36 AM
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Bernanke spoke on US Dollar weakness this morning and signaled that there will be no more rate cuts. It was his first economic update since April 3rd.
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Old 06-03-2008, 09:42 AM
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Fed chairman Bernanke speech. He talked about an end to cutting US interest rates and a warning about inflation, hence USD rally.
Usually not on the trading calendar because there's no way of trading it in terms of forecast or actual numbers. It's more about traders getting hints of the Fed's sentiment on the US economy and it's monetary stance.

Probably a good idea to keep it on your radar next time as there's always high volatility during and after his speeches.

Cheers.
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Old 06-03-2008, 09:43 AM
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THAT WAS THE BIG DEAL?

Geeez, I saw him speaking on CNBC and it was very calm, etc. CNN and MSNBC were not focusing on it. I did not think that was it but ...OK...if he said there will be no more rate cuts that would certainly send the USD up up and away.

OK, so maybe the moral of this story is do not place orders at the tops of the hour? Or at least have the news on to make sure nothing like that pops up on me. lol

I guess I will look for an Evening Star pattern with a doji and ride in down to profit-ville.
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Old 06-03-2008, 09:48 AM
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Old 06-03-2008, 09:50 AM
 

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Lost some pips in the e/u. I went in around 8h58 ............ 2 minutes later would have been nice .


man .......
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Old 06-03-2008, 09:58 AM
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I always check the FF calender to see if there's any big news coming out, and stay away for awhile if there is big news.
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Old 06-03-2008, 10:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by greywolf238 View Post
I always check the FF calender to see if there's any big news coming out, and stay away for awhile if there is big news.
Me too .. but does it show Big B's speech times in advance? Or if not, where to find out on a daily basis (not watching TV because also Bloomberg did not make a big deal of it)
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Old 06-03-2008, 11:31 AM
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Yeah, I stay away from the news as well. This one caught me off guard but I was not in the market so it did not matter.

I KID YOU NOT...I was literally 3 seconds from Shorting 1 standard Usd/Jpy and I looked to my Level 2 screen to get my price for trading between the spread and BAM!!! The price took off. lol
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Old 06-03-2008, 12:07 PM
 

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I was in a short position between the usd/eur as I expected it to go down. To bad i was asleep to make the huge pips but i manage to collect about 50 pips.
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