Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweet Pip
So many things going on in this chart!...lol.
I zoomed out on the daily because I don't have 4 hr on my online charts here at work. It looks like it might try to re-test a double bottom around 88.00...big support...set back in Jan-Feb, tested and failed again in early Oct.
Still in a down trend as it hasn't broken the downward structure. Until it does, we can only assume it will continue. We are still getting lower highs & lower lows. I'm thinking it's resuming down now from it's corrective wave which made a double top (resistance) around 92.30ish...but it's kinda right in the middle now at 90ish.
I think I'd rather wait for a bearish pattern which goes with the trend, but as it seems to work out, a 30 pip profit is quite reasonable even for a failed pattern going against the trend...lol...as it zigzags towards it's destination.
I'd only say that if one was late to the entry on this pattern, then it might not have as much upside potential as one that was late and going with the trend.
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Sweet Pip thanks for your insights.
I was looking a two different pictures, both presenting interesting info, you know trends withing trends, multitimeframes
On the daily chart, as you mentioned, a downtrend is present, and according to next chart, it looks like the correction (small uptrend) has finished and we are again on the downtrend and the possible formation of a 1-2 leg. Hence or D is totally against the trend. Look also that our D point convergences with our daily 88.6% fib. On daily chart neither signal supports the other.
BUT...... here we have our 4hr chart zoomed out.
In here the story is totally different. If I'm right it looks like our X point is the resume of the previous trend and it will be testing support before going up again.
Another point would be that in this chart the upwards trendline has been already broken, also a pennant has be broken downwards, both signals suggesting a short trend.
In this chart I think I'm ignoring the fact that I'm trying to trend with this timeframe trend, and not the main chart.
In conclusion, even though I like the D point, I agree with the fact that we have opposite signals in both timeframes, so that should be a signal of invalidation to me. I know this thread doesn't talk about it, and in fact in theory there's no reason to take a look at the trend, but, I'm trying to have higher probabilities in here.
Sweet Pip and everyone. I'd like to hear your opinion regarding this.
Thanks!