I’ve been playing long ball on these pairs for a long time now and will stick with the program. Down about $82,000 with an equity of about $318 ,000. I have 19.25 lots going at present. Each 100 pips moves my account $25,000. Willing to wait for a couple years if necessary. Also been cashing in on a few short term trades recently. Made between $3,000 and $4,000 profit in August on them.
I’m confident that patience will pay off bigtime for me at some point.
USD/JPY from about 76.700 to 84.500 and CAD/JPY from about 78.000 to 83.800. I know it could barrel down a lot further but I don’t think it would stay down too long as below 70 would demolish the already awful Japanese economy.
Look at the numbers in my portfolio I posted back in 2011. Fast forward to now (2013) and my balance is $722,845 and my equity is $543,037 with a free margin of $452,968. I guess I’ve made some progress in the past couple years…
From a purely technical perspective, this pair is, on a weekly chart, slowly reaching a congestion point within a wedge formation, suggesting that a break to the up- or down-side is on the cards; there is certainly a lot of room for a retracement to 2011 lows for this pair…
Fundamentals also weigh heavily on this pair with
a downward bias, because both a ‘risk-on’ and a ‘risk-off’ scenario, in the greater QE curbing debate, can play out negatively for the Greenback generally but also specifically for the USD/JPY.
Good luck, though, Capper, and let us know how your trade progresses.