Quote:
Originally Posted by Fivestar
Hi sweet
and thankyou for your encouraging posts. Just discoverd this forum today, and am keen to give it a go - thanks OzFx - I have subscibed to his blog.
I have a question for Sweet...
the poorest performing pairs...were they negative results? ie did they still return still profit (less than the better performing pairs)?
thanks for the discussion, will see how it all goes. I currently trade on FXCM, with a little CCI system of my own that has turned for the worst about 3 weeks ago, so I am investigating new ones. This looks great
Fivestar
|
First I must make a correction about the EA not having a take profit or a stop loss...it does, but, they are initially set to zero so I could use the strategy tester to optimize what the best levels for profit and trailing stop would be. For a stop loss, it uses a reverse signal, and to protect profits, it uses a trailing stop.
So to answer your question, yes there are profitable trades in all pairs but, again "but" (beyond the underlying truth), it depends on a setting that is best for that pair. Again too close a trailing stop could prematurely close an otherwise much more profitable trade, and too wide could lose it and you'd close at much less or even a loss. The worst pair ended with an overall loss.
So one would need to either code the EA to include a function to assign the values to those variables based on the pair, or copy the EA for each pair and hard code the values in each EA.
Either way, it's a lot of back-testing with the optimizer to find those magic numbers, and it can take awhile especially if you use the "step" feature of the strategy tester. I have to admit that I didn't go so far as to run each pair through this process and my findings were on a one level fits all test...I know better now. So the worst pair did so because they were based on the levels of the best pair.
Having said that, I've just been reading up on how getting an EA to "fit" past data profitably still doesn't mean it will cooperate on future data, so I guess if it starts to turn sour, it's time to change the levels...oh fun
