Go Back   BabyPips.com Forex Forum > "The Holy Grails" > Free Forex Trading Systems
Free Forex Trading Systems Got the "Holy Grail" system? Want to share it for free and become everyone's hero? This is the place to do it. (No advertisers please!) Also, follow along as our very own Pip Surfer posts daily updates from his Cowabunga System in the Pip My System Forex Blog.

Welcome to the BabyPips.com forum!

You are currently viewing our boards as a guest which allows you to view the discussions, but prevents you from contributing. By joining our FREE community you will be able to do all of the following:

  • Post topics & responses to other discussions
  • Communicate privately with other members (PM)
  • Respond to polls
  • Upload content
  • Post comments on our blogs
  • Contribute on our Forexpedia

Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so please, join our community today!

If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact us.



Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #591 (permalink)  
Old 07-02-2008, 03:38 AM
dpaterso's Avatar
FX-Men Honorary Member
 

Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Johannesburg, South Africa
Posts: 1,891
Send a message via Yahoo to dpaterso
Default

Good (Wednesday) morning all!!!

A problem has 'surfaced' with on of my 'self trade' clients.

It would appear that this person is unhappy with the fact that I am quoting % gains that EXCLUDE currently open positions. Well there is a very good reason for this: if you're going to INCLUDE currently open positions at a loss then you of course ALSO have to include currently open positions showing a profit. So: which is it to be???

Anyway: for anyone monitoring this thread or my website please note that from this point onward I will no longer be offering 'self trade' accounts i.e. 'managed accounts' only. My indicators and support will only be available to those who have purchased 'the book', have opened a live account at either GCI or Delta and who are familiar with the systems in 'the book' and no longer will trade signals be given either. No exceptions.

Last edited by dpaterso; 07-02-2008 at 03:40 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #592 (permalink)  
Old 07-02-2008, 05:10 AM
dpaterso's Avatar
FX-Men Honorary Member
 

Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Johannesburg, South Africa
Posts: 1,891
Send a message via Yahoo to dpaterso
Default

While I'm having a bad day let me add this:

The more people I have to deal with the more obvious it becomes that unless you 'get your mind right' this business will NOT work for you!!!

What do I mean by that???

We as human beings are NOT 'wired' to take financial losses in any way, shape, or form. So: how does this affect us as traders??? The MOMENT a position starts going against us we 'lose our cool' and panic. Inevitably: the position gets closed at a loss, the loss gets realised, your capital gets reduced, and you start trading with smaller lots. Slowly but surely this WILL eat away at your account until there is nothing left and you have to start again. How do I know this??? I've been there, done it several times, and have the cumulative losses to show for it. ONLY SINCE I have learned to control this 'fear of loss' emotion have I started showing the results that I am showing and I can assure you that unless you do INDEED start to get used to the idea that postiions WILL turn to losses (probably most of the time) just after opening them you are wasting your time!!! And it appears to be EVEN MORE difficult to act with 'patience and restraint' once you've started making some decent profits. Now I AM NOT saying to hold on to a position 'at all costs'. What I AM saying is IF you ARE going to realise a loss then at least base it on SOMETHING, ANYTHING, other than a 'whim' or because you just can't 'take the pain' any longer. Also remember that 'the market' is NOT an automated teller machine or a casino. You are TRADING i.e. you are buying something at a certain price and expecting it to increase in value OVER A PERIOD OF AT LEAST DAYS NOT MINUTES (and yes we know we are also able to SELL something hoping it DECREASES in value OVER A PERIOD). As long as you are following one of these systems for entries and exits AND YOU CONTROL YOUR EMOTIONS you will do well and unfortuanately there is no 'mentor' or book or training course that can teach you this. You may have THE BEST trading systems IN THE WORLD (which I believe we all have access to thanks to 'the old man') BUT if you CANNOT control your emotions YOU WILL FAIL!!! Unfortuanately Wilder does not cover this so I AGAIN suggest that you buy John F. Carters book 'Mastering The Trade' i.e. he at least ATTEMPTS to make you AWARE of your shortcomings as a human being and as to how these shortcomings will affect you as a trader i.e. these 'human traits' are not necessarily a bad thing 'in life' but they can and will count against you in this business.
Reply With Quote
  #593 (permalink)  
Old 07-02-2008, 06:52 AM
midulster's Avatar
Newbie
 

Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Northern Ireland
Posts: 31
Default Sticking with it

Hi Dale,

I agree with you entirely, I have carved up real cash by getting nervous when a position turns against me and closing out, only to see it turn around and go on to new heights that if I had stayed with the system would have netted me some brilliant profits. And as you've said before this is one area where demo trading is of no use - it just doesn't sting to lose Monopoly money.

For your clients maybe you could consider reporting like Metatrader ie showing both the closed P/L which I agree is the important one but also the open positions so they can see their current exposure - maybe useful if they are thinking of taking some cash out. (Easy for me to say because I dont know how much work it would involve)

Having said all that I would have a hard enough time walking down a UK high street and finding something that delivers 10% in a year, never mind in a month - helps keeps the perspective about how successful you have been and the service you are providing.

Keep up the good work.

Derek
Reply With Quote
  #594 (permalink)  
Old 07-02-2008, 11:53 AM
chdorry's Avatar
Junior Member
 

Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: North Carolina, USA
Posts: 97
Send a message via AIM to chdorry Send a message via Yahoo to chdorry
Default Mindset

I agree with the mindset points below and would be interested in how folks are getting prepared for that piece? I'm going live in a couple of weeks (finalizing the delta account now) and am hoping I can keep it.

For now, my main goal is knowing the systems well. I believe intimate knowledge of the trading systems, how they work and believing in my ability to follow them will bolster my confidence in them where I won't flinch or even consider closing a trade until I am signalled to do so. So to me, if I didn't own the book and plan to STUDY it II would've just opened an account and let someone else trade for me. I just started studying the book on Sunday, and since then have read the entire book and also gone through a couple of trading systems several times. My goal for studying the book is to have gone through every system I plan to use at least 10 times before I go live in two weeks (and I'm planning to use them all depending upon market conditions)

One other thing that I am worried about is the "trend is your friend" statement. While that's true in trading, it can also be untrue. What I mean is if the trend in your account is all trades going for you for days/weeks/month and never showing any loss (or very small losses), then you have to make sure you don't get into the 'spoiled' mindset where you expect everything to be given to you. The goal of trading is to have more money at the end of the month/quarter/year than you did at the beginning.

So I'd be interested in any tips folks might have that would help with mindset, but in the end I know that I'm fully responsible for any trading decisions I make.

Bottom line is that if you aren't comfortable with the system you are trading, I'd recommend going back and learning more about that system. Until you can fully believe in the system you are using, there's no way you'll ever get a good night's sleep when you hit a 'rough patch' of trading.
Reply With Quote
  #595 (permalink)  
Old 07-02-2008, 01:55 PM
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Las Vegas USA
Posts: 137
Default

First off I'd like to say I'm sorry to dissappoint those of you following my progress. But maybe this will help you to recognize when you make the same mistakes or in the rare case even not make these mistakes. I'm going to keep it short but sweet, kinda.

Im pretty annoyed with myself atm. I haven't done so well lately. I was short CAD/JPY and AUD/JPY(close to the top of last weeks high) and closed them before they had their 150+pip moves. I didn't want these trades to also go against me. Then I tried to call the bottom, not following a system, and entered and lost 10% on them, and now I'm sitting on another -10% of no system used to enter trades. I did this cause my USD positions were going against me and I needed to make some cash to offset my drawdown, brilliant plan right? All in all I'd be sitting at breakeven even with the dollar the way it is if I'd stuck to the system. Revenge trading and taking profits before my system tells me to is killin me. I'd be sitting on really really nice profits right about now.

You could call it bad luck but maybe it'll be a HUGE factor in helping me in the future. EVERYSINGLE time I violate my money management rules or don't follow my trading system I get absolutely hammered! I can't point to a single instance where it has been otherwise.

I'm really starting to think more and more that THE reason most are not successful in this business and all others is lack of responsability. As soon as a trade goes bad the first tendancy is to blame the market, Joe Shmoe, government, Mom and Dad, the system(this is the worst one to blame)etc. The truth is YOU are the reason. If your trading sucks its cause YOU suck. I'm not going to be some washed up, broke, looser that blames everything in his life but himself when my time comes to leave this earth. If I've failed when that time comes I'll at least know I gave it my all and I kept nothing back. I'll be at peace cause I didn't cower in the corner fearing failure. I'm not going to be angry or full of regret knowing I never took a shot at greatness.

Last edited by randont; 07-02-2008 at 02:17 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #596 (permalink)  
Old 07-02-2008, 10:14 PM
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 239
Default Excel Sheet

Just got the book.

And woah, what a read! Truly, there was no such thing as a hobby level trader in 1977. With all that hand drawn business, it was all or nothing.

With that said. Does anyone have an excel sheet that auto calculates the Swing Index System?
Reply With Quote
  #597 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2008, 03:56 AM
dpaterso's Avatar
FX-Men Honorary Member
 

Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Johannesburg, South Africa
Posts: 1,891
Send a message via Yahoo to dpaterso
Default

Good (Thursday) morning everyone.

Derek (midulster):

Thank you for the input. I think you are right. From now on I will post results that detail not only the current capital acount balance (which of course includes realised profits/losses) but also unrealised profits/losses and the nett results thereof. To be honest: the reason I have not done this up until now is to avoid those 'panic' situations (by OTHER people) i.e. I've found that it's real difficult to explain to someone that even although RIGHT NOW (at a month end for example) their gains from the previous month may be all but erased BUT it does NOT mean that is the way the current month will close i.e. in the past it's led to me having to explain the current losses AT LENGTH ON A DAILY BASIS and justify my trading actions and spend much time having to convince someone else of MY absolute faith in Wilder's trading systems. It can be REAL frustrating!!! But: so be it. At least that way 'all the cards are on the table' and if someone (a 'client') cannot live with the stress then they can withdraw their funds or close their account with pleasure (and then as you say: go and try to find somewhere else where they're getting AT LEAST 10% per month return on their money PER MONTH and maybe give us all the telephone number of the institution that they find that will be willing to do this for them)!!!

Anyway: thanks again for the input and insight. Much appreciated.

Randon (randont):

I sincerely hope that you don't think that my 'ranting and raving' posts of yesterday were directed at you. I assure you they were not. I have been wondering and worrying about you though to be honest i.e. always wondering and worrying about how everyone else is doing. Remember one thing: NOBODY is going to be dissapointed in you EVEN IF you wiped your ENTIRE account out!!! I'll tell you THIS much: the only time I would be disspapointed in you (or anyone else) is if you 'threw in the towel'!!! Having said THAT I'm sure that I don't have to tell you that you are not doing this to impress me nor anyone else either (although I do know at least from 'where I sit' that it DOES sometimes help to have other people 'watching over your shoulder' i.e. from time to time we ALL need a bit of a 'reality check' or a stern reminder of what we're doing wrong at times i.e. it keeps me 'in line' when I need it)!!! And also remember this please: we are ALL here to help i.e. that's what this thread is for i.e. it's NOT here for me to have a platform!!!

Having said all of that: yes (by the sounds of things) you have indeed found or come to realise that money management ABOVE ALL ELSE is 'key'. I'll tell you RIGHT NOW that EVEN WITH these wonderful systems that we have been 'given' by 'the old man': without good and proper and sound money management EVEN I would have wiped out NOT ONLY my OWN money that I've worked so hard to make but ALSO my 'clients' money by now!!! How is THAT for 'telling it like it is'!!! With good and proper and sound money management I have been able to 'ride out' losing positions only to have them turn to a nice 'big fat profits' 'at the end of the day'!!!

I don't normally quote from 'the book' but sometimes it's easy to miss something so in regard to the above let me once again 'impart the wisdom' of 'the old man':

'The message of this book is that there are three parts to a good technical trading plan:

(1) Using a good technical system.
(2) Using the system on the right market(s) at the right time.
(3) Using a good money management technique.

Of these three the third is the most important, the easiest to learn . . . and the hardest to do.' (SECTION X, 'CAPITAL MANAGEMENT', 'New Concepts In Technical Trading Systems' by J. Welles Wilder Jnr., 1978).

Also: I agree with your 'lack of responsibilty' comment i.e. I've also 'been there and done that'. Last year when I was so 'down' I blamed EVERYTHING and EVERONE for my losses (and of course told myself what a WONDERFUL PERSON and FANTASTIC TRADER I was on the 'odd' occasions when I had INDEED made a profit)!!! It was only when I took responsibility for MY actions and MY trading that I sat down with 'the book', 'coded' the systems, and, well, the rest as they say 'is history'. (OK: being down to my last line of credit, last bit of cash, and last few saleable assets also did help to 'spur me on' I'll tell you)!!! It also DOES help to surround yourself with positive people (as I've said before this is a VERY lonely business when you're losing money). There WERE times when I really did wonder if it was possible to make money and be successful in this business and there were one or two people who knew nothing about 'the business' but had faith in me. Wanna know something strange: one of them is my '69% capital gain' client!!! For this I thank her (yes I KNOW you read the thread every morning Melanie). And even NOW I have 'met' some very good people via this thread via YM who also help ME when I get to 'feeling down and frustrated' because I've not made 1 000 000% in five minutes. Brian ('thegeek') has helped me MANY times through this and for this I thank him publicly as well!!! Yes it CAN and IS a frustrating business. Right now: I can do no new trades because I have open positions, all sitting in losses right now, and I'm at 'max' on my money management. So: for the past couple of days I've been 'tearing my hair out' in sheer frustration because I cannot trade until I've made some profits (but that's 'key' and what I was 'rambling on' about yesterday i.e. I WILL turn profits on these positions but just maybe not this WEEK)!!! KNOWING that, however, DOES NOT make it ANY easier to deal with on a daily basis. Do you think that I STILL don't want to just close out a loser because I'm 'pis*ed off' and 'impatient' and 'frustrated'??? YES I DO!!! BUT: I've at least reached the point where I CAN 'control myself' and my 'trading emotions'!!!

Above all (and this has been MY motto): if this is what you want to do for a living then NEVER GIVE UP!!! It IS possible to NOT ONLY make a living from this business BUT to financially PROSPER and with the systems that have been 'given' us by 'the old man' there is NO EXCUSE for NOT succeeding AND PROSPERING in this business (subject of course to a few basic rules of thumb)!!!

mastergunner99:

If you give me your email address (by sending me an email to dpaterso@forexbrokersonline.net) I'll be only to happy to send you an example of a SIS Excel Work Sheet that I was using whilst 'coding' the systems.

Edit:

AND BY THE WAY: I've been wanting to post this 'tidbit' of encouragement for everyone (and also for 'self') for a while now.

One thing you HAVE to also realise is this: WE are NOT trading in 'normal markets' at the moment and have NOT been since at LEAST the time when sub-prime 'hit the fan' (and the warning signs were already starting to show even earlier e.g. Northern Rock)!!! What I'm saying is this: I truly believe that if you can be successful in THESE markets of TODAY then WHEN things return to 'normal' your'e going to do EXCEPTIONALLY well with these trading systems (hell: if you can 'keep your head above water' in THESE markets of TODAY you're probably doing well)!!! I have sat and stared 'aimlessly' at the likes of the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq for TWENTY FIVE HOURS A DAY (that's twenty four hours a day plus my lunch hour) for the better part of twenty four months now (and of course looked at past history). NOWHERE in the past have the markets seen volatility like this (at least not as far back as MY charts go anyway and I can also tell you that the so-called 'October '87 crash' did not even last as long as this and was a mere 'blip' on the radar screen compared to sub-prime). Normally: what's prevailed are these LONG and WONDERFUL trends in one direction or another. Nowadays (UNLIKE in 1978): what APPEARS to be the start of a trend inevitably 'turns and bites you' when (and where) you least expect it to!!! So if you think YOU'RE having a hard time and YOU'RE not 'cutting it' just bear in mind ONE thing: even the likes of the Morgan Stanley's, JP Morgan Chase's, and Citigroup's of this world (Bear Stearns???) etc. etc. etc. are posting MUCH bigger losses than I imagine you OR I and ALL THE OTHER RETAIL TRADERS PUT TOGETHER (and I'm one of those people who'd like to believe that AT LEAST THEY 'know what they're doing)!!! Trade through this and you'll be able to trade through ANYTHING!!!

Last edited by dpaterso; 07-03-2008 at 05:05 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #598 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2008, 03:52 PM
kaalilaatikko's Avatar
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Finland
Posts: 114
Default News again

Dale, thanks for all of your encouragement in this business. I'm on the edge of going live and just made the initial deposit order to my account, waiting for the real stress to begin next week. And just today there has been another news day. Seemingly NFP and other major news releases shake the currencies every time this much.

This morning I got 3 TBPS signals with my new shifted-daily candles. I knew that news releases were coming, thought to pass all of the signals this time, but then wanted to see myself how it would go on a news day, its still demo anyway. One hit the stop, another hit the target and the 3rd one is still open with a loss. And some other open positions have gone south, making the total net result in one day to sink a bit. Not ay kind of catastrophy, but this made me to think the following.

It has been said a number of times that a long-term trading strategy will be practically insensitive to news peaks, as the underlying trend will re-establish itself sooner or later. Maybe I am only imagining, but so far it has seemed that my positions are more probably hit by the news than boosted. So maybe it would be a good thing for the nerves to close the relevant open positions before a major news release. When the market has again calmed, after a day or two, you could consider reopening them. And maybe it is good for the nerves not to open any new positions with the shorter-term TBPS or RTS, or any other system maybe, on news days. (Anyway, somehow TBPS is tickling me most of the systems I have studied so far. The reason is that it is so clearly rule-based. Once I've made a decision to enter a trade, the trade will take care of itself by the stops and targets. I've already peeked a bit at RTS, and it could be even more intriguing.)

This thinking about nerves is a bit contradictory to my earlier post where I claimed having been really calm lately. But yes, real money is real money and monopoly money is not. chdorry: you asked how people have found the right mindset. For my part I could answer that I have a long, though financially thin, experience with stock trading, and thanks to that I know a bit about what kind of feelings I am to expect. I have experienced the ups and downs in the IT bubble, luckily ending up quite break-even. I won't forget one position I had in the early early 90s. It dropped heavily, then rise again after a few months, and I stupidly closed it at break-even only to see it go 300 times higher in the years to come. It would have made a fortune for me only if ... but this kind of thinking is just foolish. Now when I have been demo-trading, it has been helpful to think that this could be my own money, and if it were, would I do the same things then. Babypips advised to demo-trade at least two months. I've taken almost 4, and I don't regret waiting. I truly believe that I will be able to develop the right mindset that is needed to trade forex, but I'm not in the illusion that I would have it completely yet.

Dale, if that what you are saying about the current unnormal market conditions is true, it will be sure interesting to live them go back normal. But what if it is like the climate change? If the unnormal of today is going to be the normal of tomorrow and there is only turmoil to come? But actually - who cares anyway, if these systems work today they will work also tomorrow, never mind the weather.

J.
Reply With Quote
  #599 (permalink)  
Old 07-04-2008, 03:53 AM
Senior Member
 

Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 239
Default

Perhaps my mind isn't clearly wrapping itself around the SI system. The Index SAR and the Trailing Stop SAR are truly confusing the jebus out of me. Can someone dumb this down for me so I can swallow it easier?

I'm having the most difficulty in understanding when the trade gets stopped out, and when I re-enter the reversal trade. Furthermore, I'm having a hard time understanding when it's stopped by the Index SAR, or when it's stopped ty the Trailing Stop. And lastly, when is the Trailing Stop calculated.

It would seem that once a trade is stopped and reversed you use the HSP or the LSP as the SAR initially. However, at one point does that change. Provided I'm even making any sense here.
Reply With Quote
  #600 (permalink)  
Old 07-04-2008, 04:30 AM
dpaterso's Avatar
FX-Men Honorary Member
 

Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Johannesburg, South Africa
Posts: 1,891
Send a message via Yahoo to dpaterso
Default

Good (Friday) morning everyone!!!

Looks like this week (well since the beginning of the month) is turning out well (just a pity that the USA is on holiday today otherwise we'd see some more 'USD rally')!!!

kaalilaatikko:

I see (hear?) what you're saying about staying out at news times and this is a popular 'school of thought'. My problem with this is that if you look at any economic calendar: WHEN WOULD YOU TRADE??? In other words: nowadays there are just so many economic data releases every single day that to 'stay out' or 'get out' just before a release and open the trade again after the release would either result in you not EVER trading OR at best case feeding your broker loads of commission!!! But hey: that's just my take on things. Also: that is just one other reason that I'm not big fan of the TBPS i.e. it's the only system that has 'hard stops' 'as such'. All the others are pretty much immune to economic data releases purely because they all favour THE ALL IMPORTANT CLOSE as opposed to intraday movements.

mastergunner99:

As you have correctly noted there is the Index SAR and the Trailing Index SAR.

Let's go through this and FORGET about the Trailing Index SAR for now (for the purposes of explanation of the Index SAR).

The Index SAR is INITALLY your stop (although I don't place a stop here but will rather wait for a CLOSE above or below the HSP or LSP to place my order). Thereafter each time you get a HSP or LSP those points are your Index SAR points.

Now enter the Trailing Index SAR!!!

The Trailing Index SAR is there to 'lock in' profits if the trade goes in your favour for a time and DOES NOT give you a HSP or LSP along the way. In other words: your SAR is the closest of either the Index SAR or the Trailing Index SAR. There is a small 'anomally' with forex pairs here though i.e. the Trailing Index SAR, 99.999% of the time, WILL ALWAYS be the closest SAR!!! That is the reason why my 'Quote Price Factor' was introduced i.e. in a effort to at least TRY to simulate the Trailing Index SAR as it would 'appear' on commodities but even WITH my 'Quote Price Factor' or 'QPF' the Trailing Index SAR is STILL (99.999% of the time) the closest SAR. A big mistake that people make is to try to make their 'ASI plot' or 'ASI graph' or 'ASI indicator' 'LOOK LIKE' it does in the examples in 'the book'. Don't bother. You'll NEVER get it right and my personal opinion is that it's purely because of 'scaling' i.e. even with my ASI indicator it is very difficult to see when the ASI has move back on itself by 60 points or more UNTIL you 'zoom in full' on the indicator itself and only then does it resemble what you're 'seeing' in 'the book'. If you DON'T factor in my QPF for forex pairs then you land up with every single slight change in direction of price being a Trailing Index SAR and this leads to many false stop and reverses which of course in turn just costs you money!!!
Reply With Quote
Reply



Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:53 PM.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.2.0
"So long as there is breath in me, that long I will persist. For now I know one of the greatest principles on success; if I persist long enough I will win."
Og Mandino