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  #1931 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 07:42 AM
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she keeps getting higher and higher..testing 215.50 now...i keep jumping off and waiting for her to come back and get me...should just stay on....all this up up cant go on forever...can it.....hard to get the orders in with this upward momentum
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  #1932 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 07:43 AM
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Default Wk R1 and Monthly R1 ahead

She has the weekly R1 at 215.37 and the monthly R1 at 215.47, which is right where she is now. I don't know if she pays any attention to details such as these, but ... they are both here.
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  #1933 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 07:47 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trav72 View Post
she keeps getting higher and higher..testing 215.50 now...i keep jumping off and waiting for her to come back and get me...should just stay on....all this up up cant go on forever...can it.....hard to get the orders in with this upward momentum
Agree, I got out earlier, got back in and scalped for 15 pips .. but this is crazy with no real resting or pullbacks ..
Jeb over at the TA thread has 215.13 as upper wave target, she blew right through that. His next wave target is 216.15 ... can she make it without any rest?? And what is driving her .. I see the pound is picking up across the board now ... but I still have no idea what is behind it.
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  #1934 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 08:06 AM
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Originally Posted by 4xStar View Post
And what is driving her .. I see the pound is picking up across the board now ... but I still have no idea what is behind it.
Yeah seeing that she is up big pips everywhere....was it something in those minutes they were talking about...or is the sun just shinning today in the uk
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  #1935 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 08:09 AM
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i kind of want it to go back down south...seems i am missing out on all this action...just grabbing on and letting go...all the pip spread to the dealer,,...\wish i could get a bus load of orders filled...dont know what to do.
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  #1936 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 08:12 AM
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This is a technical break, and there have been congestion points, @ 214.88 (161.8% fib) and 215.15 (former resistance from the beginning of the year). Now we're at another congestion point @ ~215.45 (215.47 was mentioned earlier) - yet another resistance stop-over on the way down 6 months ago. Glancing at the calendar, you can see the BoE minutes are the only release that could have effected this, but the contents of the minutes belie that explanation.

Remember your history. Not specific levels, necessarily - don't use historic data to predict tops and bottoms; but look at what directional momentum can do to this pair: hundreds of pips are nothing within a relatively short period of time. For anyone newer to this pair, the relative inertia through June and the first half of July is atypical - *this* is the Guppy!

Know the pair: don't assume 200 pips in 3 hours can't turn into 300 in 3.5 hours - the pair can always continue going up, or down, defying your expectations of where it should hesitate or pullback. Have a look back at the ATR over the last year: you'll see that these past several weeks comprise the lowest volatility the Guppy has experienced in the last year! Fortunately for those who aren't really conducting any analysis of the pair, this time the move favored long positions.

Last edited by Andrewunknown; 07-23-2008 at 08:18 AM.
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  #1937 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 11:48 AM
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Default Spreadsheet

Hey 4xstar,

I got a lot of ideas from your spreadsheet! I tweaked it a bit for my tastes. I'll email it to you when I get home tonight to see what you think. You can change the leverage, lot size, spacing, acct size, and where your loss leader starts. I used the DDE in Metatrader so the price automatically updates constantly and gives you a live position. Hopefully it'll contribute some.
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  #1938 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 11:55 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HAUGHT007 View Post
Hey 4xstar,

I got a lot of ideas from your spreadsheet! I tweaked it a bit for my tastes. I'll email it to you when I get home tonight to see what you think. You can change the leverage, lot size, spacing, acct size, and where your loss leader starts. I used the DDE in Metatrader so the price automatically updates constantly and gives you a live position. Hopefully it'll contribute some.
Wow .. sounds awesome, can't wait to see it
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  #1939 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 02:56 PM
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Default Trailing Stops

You can do trailing stops in FX Sol .. just open the little dialog box where you can input limit and stop loss .. check the box for stop loss, then at the right there is a place to check the box for Trailing Stop and below that a dropdown with choices of how much .. 10, 20, 30 pips etc.
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  #1940 (permalink)  
Old 07-23-2008, 06:35 PM
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Wuz up!

I will not start calling the guppy "The Hillary". Because she doesn't know when to quit.
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