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  #2811 (permalink)  
Old 09-06-2008, 03:58 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrewunknown View Post
From what I've read, you typically do all right yourself. Experimentation with new and relatively untested methods can cause some rough going for just about anybody. Whatever your edge was/is, find it, hold on to it and take advantage of it over and over again.

How do/did you trade away from rrram's strategy?
I hope you know I meant that as a very sincere compliment...I really admire your knowledge, as well as your wisdom.

I hate to say it, but the only "un-success" I have had in a live account was with this strategy. I do pretty well otherwise...except I did get blasted following the trend up on the big euro pound move a few months ago...but at least I recovered from that one!

I haven't been successful long enough in live trading to really believe I know something about what I am doing...but I am determined to get this right as I do see it is possible.

I DO have a great story to tell though one day about all this guppy stuff...once I have recovered it all and then doubled it, which could be a while but I will eventually do it.

Take care...
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  #2812 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 02:02 PM
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Exclamation Serious gap up on guppy

So far at 1PM edt we are loking at 190.41 on the bid that is over 115+ from the close here Friday at 430PM EDT
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  #2813 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 02:13 PM
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Default Is this a serious question?!?

Do you think I am so green as to not know that one short costs me 39 cents to hold over night while one long only pays me 5 cents?

DO you have any idea how many banked pips I made last week starting Monday? I dont I havent counted, but it is in the neighborhood of 7000 pips.
DO you think the interest rate differential is really significant? I could see if guppy didnt move and I didnt scalp her for over 1000 pips a day last week.
Yes I still have drawdown, But I already have about 25% equity after one week.

Normally I would have been sold out on that run down to 185.XX, heck I was sold out on the run down on mar17 and that was ONLY 192. I am quite a bit smarter than I was 6 months ago. Now it really doesnt matter where she goes, I will bank pips and slowly earn the drawdown back. I am sometimes right on So in the few instances where I am wrong about direction, I am only playing the "line" so it doesnt matter, unless I am way out of balance.
I dont sit equally balanced most of the time. normally I am leaning to one side or the other. I am only balanced equally going into fridays close, so the gap up doesnt hurt me any.

Quote:
Originally Posted by akeakamai View Post
rrram2, why are you holding longs and shorts at the same time? There is a spread on the interest rates being paid by your positions, so 10 longs and 10 shorts will be a continuous losing trade, day in day out.

If you had no position in the market, you'd be just as hedged without paying out to the interest rate spread.
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  #2814 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 04:25 PM
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Default 330pm Edt Huge Gap Up!

Current price is 193.05, thats almost a 400 pip gap up.
The Japanese are steady selling yen.

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Originally Posted by rrram2 View Post
So far at 1PM edt we are loking at 190.41 on the bid that is over 115+ from the close here Friday at 430PM EDT
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  #2815 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 04:31 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rrram2 View Post
Current price is 193.05, thats almost a 400 pip gap up.
The Japanese are steady selling yen.

Woo hoo. Hope it holds til IBFX opens. I could cash out a few and get more if it drops again.
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  #2816 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 05:08 PM
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Default Well that sucked

2 of my longs hit thier TP target at just over 100 pips on each one.
But it was gap up about 368 pips on one and 353 pips on the other.
But they of course filled my limit order to sell those longs at my price.
I should have set it higher. WHen it opened at 400PM EDT I sold one of course. You know she has to retrace down or take off north. But most gaps are made up. So you know it is very likely she will be going back down.
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  #2817 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 05:13 PM
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Default She didnt really retrace down much

I got another long lower...sold it. Shorted a few more...current price 192.98 on the ask. The wild swings seem to be over for now so it should hold.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mytwopips View Post
Woo hoo. Hope it holds til IBFX opens. I could cash out a few and get more if it drops again.
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  #2818 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 05:14 PM
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Yeah, most gaps will fill. I just want it to hold long enough to cash a few out and if it does fill, to buy more.

What's the point of riding it all the way up and back down again if you don't put some profits on the books.

IBFX doesn't open for a few more hours.

I don't think I have the mental brainpower to do what you are doing with the hedges.

I have done some sizeable shorts and done real well. I am going to cut that out now because I am pushing my luck and I have more than plenty of margin.
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  #2819 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 05:20 PM
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What's the price on u/j and cable?

I'm trying to figure out if the nice gap is from yen take profits or a cable rally on the dollar, maybe the mays & macs have spooked the dollar to dump.

I have some long u/j's too. So nice info to know before the open.
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  #2820 (permalink)  
Old 09-07-2008, 05:23 PM
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Default She almost got to my buy @ 193.20

She is sliding back down now 193.09 193.08 193.14!

Quote:
Originally Posted by mytwopips View Post
Woo hoo. Hope it holds til IBFX opens. I could cash out a few and get more if it drops again.
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