Quote:
Originally Posted by Rich
Hi,
Firstly, this is a great thread. I'm really enjoying te input of some experienced folks. Thanks to all.
I have some input. I have attached a chart. Do you think that the bounce in today's trading could have been expected due to the price previously bouncing from a similar level, or does the fact that the price has dropped below the 155.51 level on 5th mean that this line is in effect 'invalidated' until further strenghened?
Is that candle that formed on the 5th forming a 'master candle' now?
I strongly felt that when I saw the price move from the 155.51 it would carry on upwards, and have earned some nice pips from it ;-)
Regards,
Rich.
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I wouldn't say the bounce from 155.51 was "expected," but it certainly isn't surprising.
155.51 is, without a doubt, a good short-term S+R line. It may even be a long-term line, I haven't checked it out so I don't know.
It's not invalided because of the movement through it on Friday, but it was weakened because of it. I personally wouldn't trade a break or reversal off of it, but if you did and made some pips then great!!
This is more of an art than an exact science, if it looked like a good trade to you then by all means trade it. If you win you make money, if you lose you gain experience. It's a win-win situation as long as your using proper money management.
And yes, the 4H candle from 12:00GMT on Friday is a master candle. It broker a few minutes ago and would have been a loser had you traded it, but that's just the way it goes. It would have been a valid trade if you trade master candles.
I usually don't trade them and didn't even notice this one till you pointed it out, but since this one had a false break turned double bounce I'm going to trade it when it breaks again.
Hopefully it will break on the upper side where it will help strengthen our scalp line. That would be great!!