Quote:
Originally Posted by s050399b
..I am betting on it as a reversal? Not sure if I am on the right track~
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Depends if your track is a short-range one or a long-range one.
I think it needs to base around here & attract a little more (upside) participation before laying any money down on a kickback punt.
I don’t see any value in it just yet a while.
I’d certainly want to see some serious higher high-higher low peak/trough behavior taking place above this 153.20 floor, or clear basing activity at the very least before considering playing the ‘long’ card, even via the smaller timeframes.
The clear bias today is to the short side. The only saving grace that prices might just hold their lower limits into the New York action is the fact this pairs 10 day average daily range of 220 pips & 20 day range of 250 pips has been well stretched.
Today’s top to bottom shuffle has so far printed 345 pips, which appears to confirm the 153.20 level as a reasonable take-profit zone off the earlier short orders through 154.75.
See what kind of pressure the New York volumes bring to bear on it. That stretched average daily range might encourage a little profit taking. If it does you might just get your lift.
The higher odds were to roll with it this morning though. I’ve always found that London volumes are a better bet if you’re seeking to catch a ride on a momentum train.
I'd sure rather have my shorts in the bag than try pick a "long" cherry at current levels, but that's just my view - yours might well be entirely different.