Quote:
Originally Posted by branac
Thank you droesparky for the indicator and template you posted, it makes finding signals a lot easier.
|
Droesparky:
The Synergy indicator shows promise. Based on the chart shown in the previous post, which I have tinkered with below below, I think the entry, continuation, and exit rules could stand some augmentation. The initial entry seems to come too late, the corresponding exit way too soon, the second entry again too late, and the corresponding exit again too late. I looked at other portions of the chart and other currency airs, and the timing problem seems to be general. I suspect that the lateness problem derives not from the Synergy indicator itself but from the way it is used. I am thinking of applying my own rules and using the Synergy as a check on my own method.
I trade breakouts like the one in the subject post, on the daily time frame. I use standard candles for price action, the Ichimoku and the ADX for trend recognition, and MACDH for divergences. I call this method the Breakout (catchy, yeah?). It would not be easily automated, because it involves judgment calls and drawing tools that would be difficult to describe adequately. I do not get many signals this way--maybe one or two per currency pair per year--but they are high-probability, enabling me to risk a larger portion of my account on each trade. So, if you are looking to trade continually, my approach may not be appropriate.
Unlike my Breakout method, the Synergy indicator is quite mechanical and presumably amenable to automation. I should say here that I do not believe that any automated trading method has ever proved profitable over the long run, because conditions change and there usually are complications that can be easily assessed by the brain but not by a set routine. I believe indicators are better used to augment discretionary decisions. However, should you want to develop an EA, the Synergy indicator seems like a good basis.
I will compare my Breakout method with the Synergy indicator and will than propose changes in the way the Synergy is interpreted. In the first chart below, I’ve used my discretionary Breakout method to trade the same chart as shown in the post. Reasons for decisions are given on the chart. Note that I got in earlier than the Synergy did and that I stayed in all the way to the top, adding to the position at one point, and realizing about three times as many pips as did the Synergy.
The second chart is the one shown in the previous post. I do not know exactly what criteria you use to evaluate the indicator signals, but your general approach is obvious. (Do you know where I might find a Synergy manual?) I have left the Synergy entry and exit points on the chart but have traded it using Synergy rules of my own devising, which I have noted on the chart. In this way I was able, using the Synergy indicator, to duplicate the trade I mounted using the breakout method. The criteria I used are noted on the chart.
If the Synergy is used as the basis for an EA, or merely in conjunction with discretionary trading, I suggest that my criteria be tried. Since they are based only on a single chart, they probably would need to be generalized for across-the-board use. But you get the idea.