Trading the Trend with Strong Weak Analysis

Euro is back on top


If you held EURNZD through the two day pullback to support you were well rewarded today


Here is my Weekly market review

AUD regains #1 spot, CAD looks ready to unseat NZD for the 8th spot


Huge selloff in US stocks has AUD leading market lower today, GBP had biggest gain with Yen right behind


EURNZD is once again top SW trade, this first showed up as a top trade on March 10th, since we have seen a lot of back and forth action, with price holding the 200ma and 1.5200 acting as support this is still a buy,


Yen on top for just the 3rd time this year, lets see if they can stay there longer then a day, USD was weakest


Yen increases its lead over the rest of the market, how long it stays there depends on US stock market as there is a strong negative correlation between the two


NZDJPY short is top SW week trade and has seen a 500 pip decline off of double top, the question is it worth a trade so close to the 200 ma

Arrow marks candle the it first became a top SW trade


Here is my weekend market review

Last 3 days of my strong weak rankings

1 Like

After all the yen pairs gap open lower, the European pairs all recovered by end of day, not a big up move so not sure I would call this a reversal, just one of those cases where trading against the opening gap would had paid off,


Yen stays on top but it might be the Aussie we need to watch


Looking at the AUDJPY today we get a bullish engulfing reversal right at support, add US Stocks look ready to rally, all this spells good times for Aussie and looming selloff for Yen


What I am Trading

YTD top currency AUD looks ready to move higher after a month long pull back. Many ways to play this, one I like is short EURAUD, nice engulfing reversal on Tuesday, if this can retrace that month long counter trend rally, that would be a 500 pip move from here


Yen stays at #1 for 6th day, but it is the Comdolls that are in rally mode, My featured trade from yesterday, Short EURAUD was good for 120 pips today


Pound followed by USD lead currencies higher, Yen holds the #1 spot but has done nothing, the current top SW trade is NZDJPY, if you had taken that trade on March 22 ( the first day it was top SW trade) you would be even today. All the action has been in #2 through #7

That is how this market goes sometimes,


Chart of the Day

Here is the EURUSD daily chart, look how price rejected the 200 day moving average and headed lower.

Price reversal at the 200 ma has been the most reliable trade entry signals I have seen over my years trading FOREX


Here is my weekly market review

1 Like

1st quarter is in the books and here is a YTD by % look at all pairs making up the 8 majors, 16 of the 28 have moved less than 2%. Slow times in the FOREX world. J.D. Rockefeller is noted for saying “The way to make money is to buy when blood is running in the streets.” There is not a lot of blood out there right now so we need to stay patient and be content with small moves


It was a good day for the Yen, looking at my Strong Weak rankings over last three trading days you can see there just is not much movement


NZDJPY has been top SW trade for 8 trading days and has moved a whole 50 pips, this just shows how slow this market is right now


Strong day for the Yen as it opens a sizable gap over the rest.


Top Strong Weak trade short NZDJPY after 9 days as top trade it has finally broken the +100 pip mark, this is one of those trades that would had taken a lot of faith and patients to bag that 100 pips


By the looks of my rankings compared to yesterday you might think it was a flat day, anything but, All Yen pairs rallied higher in early trading only to reverse starting at 2 pm based on Action by US Fed, more on this later