Quote:
Originally Posted by pippy longstocking
This begs the question for me. If 60% of the trading is done by banks, and banks are not doing it for purposes of speculation, what is moving the currencies minute by minute?
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pippy,
I think there is some confusion here. We aren't talking about trading done
by banks; we are talking about trading done
through banks.
Essentially, 100% of all foreign exchange trading is done through banks.
The big banks which comprise the interbank network are, first and foremost, intermediaries. Virtually 100% of the forex business passing through these banks represents the transactions of someone other than the banks themselves. Only a tiny percentage of the forex transactions handled by banks represents their own trading.
Commercial transactions represent the largest part of daily forex volume handled by banks. An example of a commercial transaction is: Toyota converting euro (from sales of their cars in Europe) into yen to be deposited into corporate bank accounts in Japan.
Speculative transactions constitute a smaller portion of total forex volume. Such transactions include trades made by little people like you and me; and trades made by heavy-hitters like George Soros (through his Quantum Fund), and John Taylor (through FX Concepts). Speculative trades made by the banks themselves are a tiny portion of this category.
All of these transactions are "cleared", if you will, through banks. The 10 banks most active in foreign exchange "clear" 80% of those transactions --- but, except for a tiny percentage, those transactions are not the banks trading for their own accounts.
Clint