
Originally Posted by
Caver
Guys, I asked ICT in an email about this and I thought I would post it on here also. We have had a run up the last 2 weeks ending in a short term high form. But, the COT data for the last 2 weeks has been increasing. I ask myself "SELF "why would the commercials still be taking long positions while the market is making new highs? Well if I am wrong so be it. I am am not revising this post. They know something we don't. Yes they trade large amounts of cash an with no margin to worry about because they know where the market is going. Whey would the commercials increase these positions and run up the market to lose money. I don't think so. If what has happened to be true then for them to make money the previous low has to be taken out or the net long contracts will have to be held for a couple of years so they can profit. I do not think the later is the case. They want our a$$ out of the market as well as the large speculators. So, if I am wrong ICT please explain this to everyone.
I don't think you should attach so much importance to the COT data that you end up trading solely based on what the commercials are doing. There have been so very many indications that the market was in for a buy programme, and even if the market does go back down eventually, why not just capitalize on what is happening right here and now? I'm sure if you wait awhile, it will all be revealed
I can do all things through Him who gives me strength!