Just my 2 centsā¦I did not trade today London Open. Look at GJ and EJ huge swings during Asia (due to Japan disaster I guess). Start of London was too sharp for GU. If I look for shorts, I want to see clear swing down before I even think about a trade and market flow break from long to short at least at 15 minute TF.
P.S.: You know what I like to trade with this ICT concept? The first change in Market flow (e.g. at M15, of course supported with some other tools like pivots, institutional levels etc.). These signals especially when they come during kill zones are extremely strong and powerful.
Iāve got fibs on yesterdays low to todays highs on fiber and cable with O.T.E for long entry coming in at CPP (GMT pivots) on both currency pairs. Theyāll need to retrace quite a bit but with an hour until NY open Iāve got my alerts set. Iāll enter manually (:54:) as I can watch PA for an hour or two.
Theyāre both 180+ swings so the retrace really is a big ask. Cable R1 around the 1.61 may well act as support so I might move down to the 5minute and seek a scalp.
You stated that if GBP/JPY moves up, cable must do the same. When someone (accurately) stated that this is not necessarily true all the time, you laughed at them and referred to them condescendingly.
I then posted a chart, showing a time when the two currencies pairs you referred to were indeed moving independently.
It is you who is introducing jargon, i simply posted a chart very clearly demonstrating that fxvoilaaaās statement was valid.
Thatās the end of this ādiscussionā for me because I am sure fxvoilaaa had exactly that in mind with his one sentence reply to start a pointless ādiscussionā.
Oh ok, I see. So, what you are saying is that if one pair goes up, another pair will have gone up before OR will go up after?
Well, that is very enlightening - cheers!
Just look at the chart I posted, my friend. A small child could tell you that in the yellow circle, GBP/JPY was going up while cable was going down.
I am rather surprised that you continue to argue such a clear point.
In any case, my statement about your dismissive attitude towards fxvoilaa still stands. I believe we are all in here to learn together, and no-one likes a know-it-all, right?
"Just wanted to put this out there for trade ideas. GU is again retesting last weekās low and is only a few pips above it. I donāt know if this is a risk-off move from Japan, but it could be a significant point to find a long entry. "
I know you are not supposed to kick yourself over trades not taken, but honestly this one is a little painful to wakeup and see and not want to kick myself for not taking it.
:59:I would log it as a milestone towards your consistencyā¦ you seen itā¦ identified itā¦ and allowed it to pass. You have two choices hereā¦ 1) be upset you didnāt make money on it or 2) be content with having made a sound call and bolster your confidence for future periods when you will need the āpick me upā after drawdown periods.
WTG!
Opportunity is a parade. Even as one chance passes, the next is a fife and drum echoing in the distance.
I couldnāt really figure out the market flow prior to London Open last night, but still had a short bias, since all three time frames was showing a short bias. To my surprise, when I woke up, I saw that Cable had skyrocketed.
Just curious, could some enlighten me as to why one would look to go long today? I do see an OTE long at the CPP during London Open and as I type this, an OTE to go short during NY Open.
In the previous videos I noted the Key support levels and in the chat room. Key levels maintain their impactā¦ hence the premise āKeyā S&R.
Look at the 1.5980 levelā¦ note it on the timeframes we monitor. See the price action on this level? This was the basis for the long on the Cable two days ago.
Note 1.6100 level? In chat, while for disclosure sake I said I was flatā¦ I explained the Cable would likely see a retest of the 1.61 figure and it traded there again after testing the 1.5980 level last night. These levels are being traded as the current dealing rangeā¦ spend most of your time on the higher timeframesā¦ drill down to 15 and 5 min charts only after you have a clear āreaction levelā notedā¦ to set up your Scouting Point and wait for ātime of dayā and price to come togetherā¦ then 15 and 5 min charts are your Sniper Scopeā¦ to zero in on the Kill Shot for the Session you trade.
That really is all there is to it folksā¦ either it plays out and your trade pays youā¦ or you take a controlled loss and hunt your next big game preyā¦ profitable, consistent trading.
PS: What did we discuss as it relates to Market Flow and Key Levels? Refer back to the core essentialsā¦ therein lies the gold.
I think Iām addicted on this after more than 400 pips gain in the last two daysā¦
I know losses will also come and I have no problem with that, but the tools work very well if you put them together in a way you show here and in your videos.
Price action trading down to a prior support is more significant than price action trading down to prior resistance. Is this what you were referring to?
Whenever price runs hard and is within 30 pips of the Previous Dayās Highā¦ anticipate it retesting if not blowing through itā¦ as far as the next Institutional level. Even if the price rejects and slams lower afterwordsā¦ the majority of Stops rest just above PDHās and under PDLāsā¦ they are easy ducks to shoot and traders feel āsafeā placing them thereā¦
This is the premise behind the exercise I detailed in the video on Consistencyā¦ which highlights the phenomenon at PDHās & PDLās.
Keep plugging at itā¦ you will see it click by working the tools everyday on your chartsā¦ print out charts and or save intraday charts for your study on weekends. This is a big help or it was for meā¦ this is how you begin to see the tracks in the snow and how to spot the opportunity when it falls in your lap againā¦ as it surely will multiple times per week.
Do not get discouragedā¦ trust meā¦ nobody takes off right out of the gate.
I bet you didnāt think this thread would deliver such a consistent approach months ago huh? lol
See why I dragged everyone slowly, some admittedly kicking and screamingā¦ there is a method behind this madness I exercise here lol.
For those that are just coming on boardā¦ or strugglingā¦ it will happen for you, give yourself the permission to learn it on your timingā¦ no competition, no rush. These tools have worked for more than my experience in the marketā¦ so patience is not a hindrance to your successā¦ rather a critical factor. Go slow, focus on consistency and money will deposit into your accounts and keeping the Risk controlled.
This is so much fun for me to see others getting itā¦ I Love It! :59:
Donāt know if you want or need this kind of thing on the thread Michael so delete or Iāll delete if reqiured.
Iām thinking about disclosing my weekly trades in the hope of shameing myself into proper risk management. Ā£10 is 1% of my account. This will also show when Iāve strayed from the kill zones.
Itās been a strange week and I dabbled with commodities, but I can assure you the numbers donāt tell half that story.
I can hardly bare to do this but here goes. BTW somehow my account is only 5% down (after two months) and I would call this quite representative of my trading. (Not my future trading!)
I applaude your intestinal fortitude to post this. This is precisely what I encourage everyone to doā¦ it will force accountability for each of you and aid in your consistency and overtrading habits.
It might hurt the ego or prideā¦ but this is how you slay those two enemies!!! :35:
My limit orders on GU and EU for NY session got filled finally. Letās see. If itās loss, I quit for this week. I think I made more than enough already. ;-D
EDIT: I added arrows, just to make it clear which candle was entry candle. I use limit orders in 99% so sometimes it can be confusingā¦ Btw. it reacted almost immediately, but I donāt think we will get somewhere. It is late NY session.
OK. It was loss at the end, but just because I was sleeping and could not move SL to BE. Price went exactly to 0.0 fibo level during Asia and then bounced back. Really unbelievable how it worksā¦
I knew from the beginning, that for sure you know what you are talking about, when one of my friends from other forum sent me a link to your videos. But I could not even imagine, that you take such a consitent approach. It is greatly appreciated.
Just want to askā¦shall I keep posting these screens with my trades? I donāt want to mess up this thread only with my picturesā¦