Trading guide clearly defined for Newbies (Mastering Strategies & Indicators)

Hi all,

[B][U]First, let me intro about myself[/U][/B]

I’m a stingy Singaporean and also a Private Trading Tutor (teaching is just my hobby, I do not make money out of it.). I’m not high educated, if you know Singapore’s education system, I’m a normal technical student with GCE N(t) Level and my highest qualification is NITEC in Electronics from the ITE.

I got at least a passed for my examination but the grades are poor cuz I always skip school to do my own stuff, don’t like to study and didn’t hand up my homework during my secondary school days.

Then I decide to work hard a bit for my NITEC and got flying colours.
I’m not clever with an low IQ of 80 points but I’m logical sense exceeded average human and thank the holy that trading is more about logical sense.

In life, you will always be compensated with something when you lacked of another stuff, make good use of your main talent and the stuff that you have little will play the role of supporting your main.

Keep grudging on your lacked doesn’t help at all, being stress doesn’t help at all, so please throw them away.

Please bear with my grammar and vocabulary mistakes, I’m sorry and thanks a lot!

I started to learn trading myself 4yrs ago, making consistent profit 3yrs ago and able to see the market clearly when I woke up 1day last year (just happened Blink Blink so sudden, I cant explain why.).

I trade Stocks, Futures, Forex, Commodities and strongly encourage people [B]NOT[/B] to trade Binary Options.

How do I trade? I’m a full TA trader who pick tops and bottoms, doesn’t mean I do range bound only. Day, Swing, Position trading is not a problem for me (You don’t need to believe me.).

Why am I stingy? I don’t go for paid courses cuz I believe I can be successful learning myself.
I read cartons of books from libraries cuz it’s FREE, I attend free seminars cuz it’s FREE, I do tons of research online cuz it’s FREE and I don’t trade with real money until I get consistent profit from demo acc cuz it’s FREE.

I spent lots of time (LOTS~) going big big rounds learning different stuff, trying out my different kinds of funny funny stuff that never make me money (like lucky buy lucky sell which made me laugh at myself whenever I think about it now) till I stopped and realized I should master things and I mastered stuff 1 by 1.

Some strategies or tools can be done purely on its own and some you have to be combined. Now I can trade both during range bound and trending days as long the market move.

Having a combination is the best due different people uses different strategy. The more people use that particular strategy the more it’s going to win.

Eg. 60% of bears is going to short at the R1 the standard pivot calculated then the 40% of bulls are going to lose for sure cuz the 20% remaining bears which haven’t got their tickets are going to push the price down from R1 .

Price don’t move because of done orders, instead it move due to the people have to lower or higher their price in order to find willing buyers or sellers. Basically, when you have too many stocks on hand and no one wants to buy, you automatically have to lower your price to attract buyers and when you want to buy stock but no one wants to sell, you will have to bid at higher price. You can google to read up about order flow.

Thru my trading journey, I found out that understanding how the proper use of indicators, strategies, risk and money management, psychology and having experience are so so important but people don’t actually teach you the full function of it and most of the time trying to make things easy for you to get buy or sell signals. When things failed, traders will skip to another funny stuff again and so on.

I will cover all you need to know about trading except for extra knowledge like how many trillions being traded a day (go to Babypips’s School and read up, know what you’re doing = adding odds to your favor.

Babypips is like a million dollar website and yet provide free education for you. Don’t be lazy… Don’t waste free stuff…). The only stuff lacked in Babypips is they didn’t actually explain everything in detail on each of their topics.

This guide will be updated slowly and whenever I’m free. Will try to make things fixed and clear even for stuff that can only be verbally explained.

In my theory, all fanciful strategies are created to find Demand & Supply zones in the market by look at the chart (you can learn about it from Alfonso Moreno from Online Trading Academy @ forexfactory forum.).
Combination of different indicator is going to put odds in your favor, wash away noises and give you quality trades. Some might say it’s messy with so many indicators and rules but Nehh… I can combine 4 indicators and have simple set of rules to follow.

[B][U]Definition of risk on gambling and risk on business are different.[/U][/B]

[B]Risk on gambling[/B] = Simply place your money on the table and hoping your luck is good. In terms of gambling in the market means putting in orders without knowing what you’re doing or breaking your plan.
If a person know what he’s doing and not depend on luck to win in a casino (eg. Counting cards & memorizing cards), he is not gambling.

[B]Not gambling with financial instrument[/B] = In trading, you should [B]101%[/B] not think about being lucky or not cuz you are not the only one being stopped out at that level. If you ever thought about being unlucky due to your trade being stopped out by 1 pip, you are gambling.
Trust your analysis and if it always fail, means you’re either lacked of experience, did not master your stuff well enough or using stuff the wrong way.
Lots people lose money due to psychology issue of always thinking about earning or fear losing and forgot they need the knowledge to help them.
Learn your stuff well and do your math, math is going to save you during your inexperience journey and might still earn you a bit of money. This is why I still make profits even before being able to see the market clearly.

[B][U]The different between physical shop and trading business[/U][/B]

You all know that trading don’t hold physical stocks but shop does and they need to spend money to promote in order to sell their goods. We traders do not need to promote in the market.
Promoting in the market meaning your rules of TA did not confirm and yet you jump in a trade also = Gambling.

We don’t want unwanted risks, we always aim for the highest odds, so follow your plan even if you need 10 indicators to confirm a trade.
Crazy people who need 10 indicators to confirm are the ones who risk huge amount on that particular trade cuz they believe more than 95% they will profit from it.

I will educate you with strategies that I would recommend new traders to learn cuz it’s easy to handle and master. If you only want to trade with clean & clear charts, you might want to learn Demand & Supply from Alfonso Moreno @ Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno @ Forex Factory

You must know that every risky stuff has at least one proper solution to handle it even doing one of the most dangerous way which is sizing the Martingale’s ways. Trading will not make you bankrupt unless you trade without have the capital you need.

Eg. In Singapore, when you buy a stock, you will have to pay your broker within 3 days if not, what you bought will automatically be sold back to the market.
If profit, it will be given to you but if loss, you will have to pay or else your broker is going to sue you till you bankrupt.
People who had done this way are gamblers without money, hoping the stock price will move up and give them profit and got busted.
How fast do you think a stock price can move in 3 days? Or how much?

Many shop business went bankrupt because they are on consignment, owing suppliers physical stock’s money and during downtime, supplier will chase for debts. Shop owners who cannot pay up = Get sue by supplier = Bankrupt. Consignment is like borrowing money and don’t forget shop owners will have to pay their rental if not, close shop = cant earn money = cant pay debts = die.

Remember, as long you do not owe any debt, you will not go bankrupt and only invest with what you have. This way, your journey stress will only be not making any money but you don’t have to worry about paying up any debt.

If you are so that poor, go MacDonalds to work and save up cuz you can also start learn while saving. I do not believe humans with hands and legs can’t find a job. You simply can get a job and look for a better job to skip to.

[B]Please let me know if you have question or need to define something which I missed out[/B], answer will be updated to the section for sharing purposes. I tend to forget stuff cuz I absorbed too much but will be able to recall easily when I come across again. I will let you know when I updated.

[B][U]Let me start off with Risks and Money Management[/U][/B]

[B]Recommended amount to trade:[/B]

Forex = $3k cuz of high leverage
Futures = $50k cuz contract size are expensive
Stocks = Don’t buy stocks if you have little amount of money cuz it’s not going to let you earn your daily meal. How about penny stocks? Answer is No no no!

[B]Recommended leverage[/B]

As high as you can get from your broker
But Wait! Isn’t high leverage risky??
Nehhh… You will only use leverage for your margin purposes, not for you to over leverage.

How??
Margins are the money you have to maintain in your acc when you are in an open position. The higher leverage you have, the lesser margin you will have to maintain, more flexible when you are doing position sizing and you don’t have to worry margin call or being kicked out by broker.

1 Micro = 1k unit
1 Mini = 10k unit
1 Standard = 100k unit

Let’s say you have leverage of 1:1 and you want to get 1 standard lot. The margin you need to maintain in your account is:

100k unit / 1 leverage * current price on chart eg.(1.4000) = $140k

If your account’s equity goes below $140k, your broker will automatically get you out of the position.
Some brokers might offer you to maintain only 25% to 50% of the margin.

Eg. 25% - Meaning, you will get kicked out if your equity falls below $140k * 0.25 = $35k

And now for leverage of 1:100 and 1 standard lot, margin you need to maintain is:

100k unit / 100 leverage * current price eg.(1.4000) = $1.4k
If your account’s equity goes below $1.4k, your broker will automatically get you out of the position.

[B]Maintaining margin is your responsibility, not your brokers’![/B]

[B]How not to over leverage?[/B]

Eg. I funded my account with $3k
I’m in leverage of 1:400, the highest my broker can offer.

You need to calculate the maximum lot size you can enter:

$3k balance * 400 leverage = $1.2m
Standard = $1.2m / 100k = 12 standard lots
Mini = $1.2m / 10k = 120 mini lots
Micro = $1.2m / 1k = 1200 micro lots
These are just rough figures, dont forget you still got current price that will lower down your calculated maximum lot size.

And my dear friend, please do not trade up to 12 stand lots.
In order not to over leverage, you have to follow your risk amount per day per trade if you are doing DayTrading.
I use only [B]1% per trade for Swing (capped at 4 trades max = 4%, can only enter another after 1 closed[/B] and [B]2% per trade for Position[/B] cuz I dont get that many trades.

[B]So my total risk % wont go over 10% of my account.[/B]

For Swing & Position, I take only perfect setup.

For my Daytrading some times tend to be a bit wild, I standby up to 4% risks per day, normally I wont reach 4% (having standby is always good)
If you did not fully utilized your 4% today, [B]doesnt mean you can add on for tomorrow[/B].
Everyday is a fresh new day = everyday risk fresh new 4% only

So $3k * 0.04 = $120 maximum loss a day

You will have to recalculate your 4% everyday. (Use your Excel Spreadsheet)
If you do not have Microsoft office, then download a free office called ‘Apache OpenOffice’ google it. It function just like MS office.

Per day I know but how bout per trade?
It depends on your risk : reward ratios.

If your R:R is 1:2 then $120 / (1+2) = $40 per trade. Meaning you can enter up to 3 trades a day.
If your R:R is 1:3 then $120 / (1+3) = $30 per trade. Only 4 trades a day.
Once you fire off your bullets, that’s it for the day.

[B]Why calculate like this?[/B]

Reason being if your R:R is 1:2, out of 3 trades, 1 winning can breakeven your day.

3 win = $240 0 loss = -$0 day profited = $240 - $0 = $240
2 win = $160 1 loss = -$40 day profited = $160 - $40 = $120
1 win = $80 2 loss = -$80 day profited = $80 - $80 = $0
0 win = $0 3 loss = -$120 day lost = $0 - $120 = -$120

Meaning you only need to profit:
1 win / 3 trades = 0.33 = 33% of the time to breakeven
More than 33% = you are earning.

If your R:R is 1:3, you only need to win 1 out of 4 trades to breakeven = 25%

Welcome to babypips :slight_smile: really interesting thread keep on :slight_smile: following this thread from now on :wink:

Thank much much for your warm welcome ^^

[B][U]1. Candlestick Patterns[/U][/B]

I love CS, I use it as the current sentimental of the market for the next move to go up or down, as well for triggers to enter trades and tighten stop loss cuz I’m stingy.

Go Babypips school or google to learn this,

Neutral candle: Doji, Spinning Top & Bottom (needed for Level 3 ‘Stars’ signal)

Level 1 with 1 candle: Hammer & Shooting Star, Shaven Top & Bottom, White & Black Marubozu

Level 2 with 2 candle: Bull/Bear Engulfing, Bull/Bear Harami, Piercing & Dark cloud cover, one white soldier & one black crow.

Level 3 with 3 candle: Morning & Evening Stars, Morning & Evening Doji Stars

These basic 9 sets are enough for your trading, you can learn many more if you want.

Do note that
eg. If you are using 15mins timeframe then Bullish Engulfing = 30mins Hammer.
eg2. If your are using 15mins timeframe then Morning Star = 45mins Hammer.

Level 2 & 3 CS are created so that you dont have to keep changing timeframe to find Level 1 CS.

CS can be created during noise and to get quality CS, you should take CS at levels (will teach you how to filter).

CS can be very long or very short.
If you think CS too long, you should wait for around 50% retracement before entering trade (Just do limit orders).
If you think CS too short, you can choose not to enter the trade or wait for a close of next candle to confirm.
If you are in doubt or uncomfortable with the CS then dont trade, wait for the next setup.
For new traders, always to wait for nice nice CS that is obvious that wont give you a headache whether too long or too short. When you got experience, you will automatically know how to trade headache CS.
(Thinking whether the CS is nice or not for too long, means it’s not. 1 or 2 glance should give you the confident on the CS)

CS must have a previous opposite trend.
eg. 15mins timeframe Bullish CS must be created during a 15mins timeframe downtrend. Whether the trend is too long or too short, it must be obvious to your eyes. In doubt for the trend, dont approve the CS.
(Thinking whether is it a trend for too long, means it’s not. Same thing, 1 or 2 glance should confirmed if not, just forget about trading the CS).

The Close of CS is where you can trigger to enter your trade.

Pure CS trading can make you money if you how to pick the good ones, whether it worked out or not at the ended doesnt matter as long you know you picked the right ones. (Remember, you cant have 100% winning rate even when you picked all the perfect CS.)

How do you pick CS?

1: You can anticipate the CS pattern before the close to confirm (Depends how fast and experienced you are, newbies might need 1min or so). (Anticipate just meant what the patterns will be, not jump into trade before close.)
You will also be able to tell whether CS is going to be too long or too short to do a quick plan on how to enter the CS once confirmed (Take market, do limit orders or skip trade).

2: Look left to check for trend.
The trend should not be steep up/down cuz you do not want to catch a falling knife. (Trading Stocks or Futures, only steep down is not allowed, you can short a steep up. Reason being Forex compares currency against another, on the chart you see steep up = another steep down = falling knife for that particular currency)

The slope where you can walk down comfortably, not having to fear you will fall and roll down. Using angle 45 degree is the best, 80 degree will be too dangerous.
The slope should not have any sharp spike going beyond your CS.

Why trend is needed?
CS wash and rinse the extra demand/supply orders, telling you that ‘Okay, I gone up/down enough, let’s go opposite’ and leaving the high/low mark for you to know there’s a high probability lots of demand/supply to support your stop loss.
eg. Bullish Engulfing’s 1st candle wash away all extra demand and the bottom of 2nd candle indicate high probability lots of demand are being parked there. Therefore your stop loss should be set 1 pip + fixed or average variable spreads below the strong demand point. Let the bears take the bulls out before kicking you out.

Will come up with image of example later.

[B][U]2. Pivot Points[/U][/B]

PP is good for new traders, it gives you the concept of how to trade a true support and resistance and you dont have to actually find it yourself cuz finding true S/R will be damn frustrating for newbies. With PP, you can play with the trend and do reversals, no need to worry about today is a range bound or trendy day.

Download Indicator : [U]FXI pivots.ex4[/U]
Best to calculate yourself for knowledge

You dont need fanciful calculation due to the levels are zone not specific price, different kind of calculation like eg. Fibo Pivot are just plus minus a bit off from the Standards.

Trade using Daily PP is enough, Weekly PP are just for reference. (eg. If Weekly S1 is somewhere around the same as Daily S1, you will know odds are higher when you trade at that level. That’s it.)

FXI uses Standard Floor calculation:

PP= (Yesterday’s High + Yesterday’s Low + Yesterday’s Close) / 3
R1= (PP * 2) - Yesterday’s Low
S1= (PP * 2) - Yesterday’s High
R2= PP + (R1 - S1)
S2= pp - (R1 - S1)
R3= Yesterday’s High + (2 * (PP - Yesterday’s Low))
S3= Yesterday’s Low - (2 * (Yesterday’s High - PP))

[B]Important[/B]
Do not trade at PP (center point), we take it as a gravity where price will move off and get suck back to the center at least one time. Center point can only be traded when price reach another level and return back.
If stopped out at a level, wait for price to move to another level. Meaning 1 trading chance is generated every time price touch a S/R level.

[B][U]3. BollingerBands[/U][/B]

I only use BB as odds enhancer.

The theory is simple. Buy at the lower band and sell at the upper band.
But what is the mid band for? Take profit? Answer is [B][U]No[/U][/B]…

Mid Band function like upper/lower band and only during trending period.

There are 3 figure size for BB:

Thin or Narrow = Consolidation (Take it as the BB is eating none stop.)
When BB eating none stop, high chance it’s going to explode instead of slowly become a fatty.

Explode = BB expanded like a big fat round kid after eating so much.
After the fat kid explode, most likely the kid is going to remain average figure cuz slimming down is not easy.

Average = This is where you trade range bound.
Where likely it’s going to slowly become a thin kid again.

Using BB to determine range or trend period:
Always treat it as range bound until you can clearly see BB expand. You do not need to rush to grab profit for the first stretch of the trend.

For Trend trading using BB:
Always let it BB expand first then wait for pullback to the mid or opposite band and wait for your bullish/bearish signal whichever the trend is going.

eg. Bullish trend -> wait for pull back and touch the mid or lower band -> wait for your bullish signal to trigger a to buy.

If you are already in a range bound trade and in the correct direction, then you will be in money for the first stretch + giving you a 2nd chance to re-enter at the pullback to get profit on the 2nd stretch. That makes that day a home run for you!

Fortunately, you dont have to bother about the kid being in which size when you combine BB with PP. You just have to see price touches the upper,mid or lower band. The size of the kid will function as a reference only. Will explain later in trading combination of indicators.

To be continue after 18 Aug 2014 …
and also hope someone could help me with the image cuz it’s blur Dx

Dear, thanks for your sharing and guiding. will follow it;)

Subscribed! Looking forward to learning from you.

Dear All Fellow Buddies,

Thank you for your support!

But…:34:

Please abandon this thread or take it as a preview of my ’ The No Lie Trading Guide ’ .

Currently still writing and sorting it for easy reading purposes.

Will release before the end of October :cool:

Stay Tuned!

Glennmaru,

I will definitely wait for your “The No Lie Trading Guide”. My trading system is very similar to yours, with the sole exception that I trade only with the trend. For confirmation I use Ichimoku and CCI. The part about the changing trend has interested me a lot.

I just have one question: if always more people start trading with an hypotetical winning system, will be still possible to make some profit?

I mean, if we small retail traders make some profit, there is no problem; but if the proprtion of winning traders starts changing from 5% to 60%? It would be certainly awesome that the majority of the traders becomes profitable, but will this hypotetical winning system still work?
And what if the big traders (investment banks and funds) start using this hypotetical winning system?

I have often asked myself such questions, but I am not an economist or a professional figure with a solid economic background. I have studied foreign languages because I have always thought that culture is important and that we must put it in practice. Moreover the books teach you something about old cultures, but we must not forget to live the present and try to understand in which world are we living in, discovering the new features of our current culture. That can be understood only through life experience.

Last but not least, thank´s for your sharing!

I will stay tuned! :57:

Diego,

I did read up a bit on Ichimoku few years ago but I havent really get the full touch of it, maybe you can teach me some time~ Yay!^^

Keep thinking about your question, your answer will come out in my guide^^

Thanks many for your support!:18: