Hello Traders,
Forex Signals & Daily Analysis for 4th August 2011:
Short Term Signals:
Usd/Chf Buy 0.7575/80 then 0.7515/20, sell 0.7820/25 then 0.7875/80 then 0.7970/75
Usd/Jpy Well, after Intervention there would not be sell signals for today but only buy signals that might or not be targetted, Buy 78.00 then 77.70 then 77.45/50
Gbp/Usd Buy 1.6265/70 then 1.6185/90 then 1.6125/30, sell 1.6510/15 then 1.6550/55
Euro/Usd Buy 1.4145/50 then 1.4065/70 then 1.3990/95, sell 1.4420/25 then 1.4470/75
Medium Term Daily Analysis:
Usd/Chf It seem that the SNB was well reading my post yesterday and had cut rates to weaken the Swissie which led to a big spike in all chf pairs as Gbp/Chf & Euro/Chf around 300 pips while 100 for Usd/Chf and others…
This pair is trying to break upward to base on uptrend, if bases above 0.7780 targetting 0.7900/10 then 0.8060/70, while low is at 0.7650/60
Usd/Jpy I provided traders yesterday with a clear helpful advice to keep buying yen pairs at low levels, Hopefully all or some traders took the advice seriously and bought this and other yen pairs to wake up today at intervention with big money gains.
This pair certainly based on uptrend, above retracement at 77.70/80, targetted 78.60 then might target as high as 80.50/60 but must hold at 80.90/00 while do not seem to have lower price than retracement at least for today.
Euro/Usd This pair is still on downtrend despite again retracing upward but collapsing down again from expected price level at around 1.4340 that was a successful breakout stratgey for yesterday, would find support at 1.4250 today, break would extend weakness to 1.4140/50, break here would target our short term buy signals for this pair, while on the upside might retest 1.4360/70 if bases aagin above 1.4280 then 1.4340, above said retest is to our short term sell signals.
Gbp/Usd This pair is moving sideways waiting for Crucial news release that I’ll talk about later on(at the end), below 1.6350/60 would fast collapse targetting our short term buy signals, while high is at 1.6540/50 despite that I do not see sterling can power to reach there but everything is possible espeiclaly with crucial news releases.
Usd/Cad This pair still on uptrend, targetting high at 0.9700/10, retracement is at 0.9600/10, break is to 0.9540/50
Nzd/Usd This pair still on downtrend, targetting 0.8430 then 0.8310/20, retracement is at 0.8670/80
Euro/Gbp This pair is still on downtrend, but low is highering to 0.8700 below would extend weakness, retracement is at 0.8740, break is to 0.8770/80, a base above here would target 0.8850/60
Gbp/Chf This pair is looking to break to the upside if bases above 1.2710 targetting 1.2920/30 then 1.3080/90, while low is at 1.2570/80
Aud/Usd This pair is still on downtrend, targetting 1.0610/20 then possibly 1.0530/40, retracement is at 1.0790/00, break is to 1.0880/90
Euro/Chf This pair is looking to break to the upside today, if bases above 1.1120 targetting 1.1340/50, break is to 1.1490/00, while low is at 1.0950/60
Euro/Jpy This pair is certainly on uptrend after intervention, based above retracement at 111.50 and front support at 112.00/10 targetting 114.30/40 then possibly high at 116.00/10
Gbp/Jpy This pair with same scenario, based above retracement at 127.00 and front support at 127.30/40 possibly targetting high at 131.50/60
Gold is still on uptrend, hit another new historic high but I’ll not target new highs for today other than 1669/70, retracement is at 1650, break is to 1629/30 then if possibly broke below would target 1605/06
Oil is still on downtrend, targetting 90.40/50 then 89.70/80 then 88.20/30, low resistance might be forming at 92.00/10 if price kept falling down, retracement is at 93.30/40, break above would hold at 96.00/10
We have 3 Crucial News Releases today for the Sterling & Euro Currencies:
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UK BOE Rate Decision: Buy Gbp/Usd if 0.75% while sell if 0.25%, if kept the same at 0.50% would focus at MPC Statement.
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ECB Rate Decision & Press Conference: Interest rate is expected to stay at 1.5%, ofcourse if increased to 1.75% then you buy Euro/Usd while if decreased to 1.25% then you sell this pair, but Trichet talks would have more influence to decide Euro Currency Strength or weakness
Have A Great Trading Day