Price action swing trading

Here’s the analysis as promised…
On the weekly time frame, we see a bearish bat complete at a close range to an anticipated resistant point…

On the daily tf, we see a bearish crab formation complete at same area as the weekly bearish…

On the 4hr tf, we see a bearish viglo formation…Price gave us a squeeze cf, but no break out yet for us to take a trade…Moreso the squeeze cf range is too wide and not so convenient to trade, so we’d prefer to see a better candle formation for us to go short on this pair.




I have read your very first post, where you were been writing about price action being the most effective way how to treat the market. Why did you turn into harmonics?

Pipnailer … curious … what do you use for your charting solution?

Trading becomes easy only after you have put in the hard work required to master the business.

Well there is different trading method that one can opt for trading.This is basically how I trade along with another similar system.

I use MT4 platform

Well, i guess the word ‘PRICE ACTION’ has different interpretation from traders…to me, harmonics is a component of Price Action…

Price Action approach to trading, is multifaceted…its like a room with many entrance doors…

I was thinking the same question and you answered. I don’t like harmonics but I can see the logic behind your approach.

Happy new year to everyone…last year was a good one for me and i pray this year would even be better…

Started trading this yearwith a short position taken on AudJpy this week…and so far so good…(150+ pips and still counting)…

I will try to post here more often and i hope my posts will help at least 1 person to improve his/her trading.

AudJpy on the monthly tf showed an overbought position at a resistant level,(Oct closed candle), this gives an indication of the beginning of a bearish move (i hope to do a little write up on time frame indications-how it relates to creating an effective and profitable strategy).

On the weekly tf, we wait for price to also show an overbought position, and then look for price action movements/formmations on daily tf to go short…
We had a first bearish signal in November last year…with a bearish candle formation…entry at 101.30…a new entry was given this week with a bearish 321 formation and we’re in on that at 95.20 (though we came in a bit earlier than 95.20)

with swing systerm trading. you should choose some broker have low spread. you can get better price. this is the main of this strategy. i think we can get more profit with lower cost

its good to have a broker with lower spreads…but , thats not the main of this strategy…Moreso, there’s more to a good broker than lower spreads…

even though last week the audjpy went up, i think it provides another good opportunity to go short.

I will not advice to enter short for now(except you want a quick short to possibly 91.74 which is a dangerous move anyway)…the bullish correction still has some room more (as shown on the higher timeframe).it will be advisable to wait out till the daily tf shows some weakness in the present bullish move…then we’ll look to go go short again till the bearish signal on the monthly tf is exhausted…


USD JPY

This pair hit resistance level some weeks back


On the daily time frame, we see a gartley formation and signs of bullish weakness already showing.


Now, entry can be in 3 ways.

  1. The high risk trader would have already gone short on the gartley formation.

  2. The less risk trader will wait for a better confirmation using any of the 3 highly recommended trend reversal candle
    formation- Fakey, Squeeze, and Knife candle formations (These are well expantiated in the FTA class)

  3. The risk aversed trader will wait for a bullish trend line break entry system (preferably on the 4hr time frame).

If you belong to group 2 or 3, keep watching the pair for possible entry.
If you belong to group 1, wish you a happy trading. recommended stop loss will be 122.62

No reversal candle formation, no trade…

Just when boredom was setting in, a trade opportunity presented itself in EURUSD.


Took a Long position on the break of point 2 and its retracement…Exact entry came at the formation a fakey setup…

Though going well presently, the EurUsd bullish move is not yet out of the woods for us…a look at the 4hr time frame shows that the present bullish move might just be topping out…however, we believe more on the higher time frames(weekly and monthly) suggestion which is more likely a bullish emergence (not yet an established bullish trend though)

So, this is what we will be watching out for.

  1. on the 4hr time frame, we’ll be looking for a break of the 1.1207…point C… (giving us a possibility of having a bullish head and shoulder pattern) area to the upside for a more convincing bullish emergence…


  2. On the weekly time frame, we see the last week candle closing as a pin bar. The high of this pin bar is
    1.10091 and if this week’s candle closes above this high, we will be surer of a bullish trend emerging…

Our next pair to watch is the UsdCad…
On the monthly time frame (tf), we see price retracing to a strong resistance level as seen by past actions at this level. Price broke the level and retraced back to it, before a big dip, then retraced again and then another dip…and presently we have a third retest of this level…will it hold, giving us another dip? or will it break and announce a bullish run?


On the weekly tf, we see price clearly showing its inability to break this ceiling and the last closed candle is showing signs of bullish weakness at a retest of the resistant level…


On the daily tf, we see a change in trend orientation from bullish to an emerging bearish trend (price breaks the 1.2361 low, thus making a lower low), then retraced to 618 level and gives us a fakey candle formation. The low of this fakey formation is also at the same area with the previous low (point C).

We’ll watch or set a pending order to go short at 1.2360
Stop Loss will be at 1.2585
First Tp level will be at 1.1700 region…and we’ll keep trailing from there or as the market dictates.

Our next pair to watch is the UsdCad…
On the monthly time frame (tf), we see price retracing to a strong resistance level as seen by past actions at this level. Price broke the level and retraced back to it, before a big dip, then retraced again and then another dip…and presently we have a third retest of this level…will it hold, giving us another dip? or will it break and announce a bullish run?


On the weekly tf, we see price clearly showing its inability to break this ceiling and the last closed candle is showing signs of bullish weakness at a retest of the resistant level…


On the daily tf, we see a change in trend orientation from bullish to an emerging bearish trend (price breaks the 1.2361 low, thus making a lower low), then retraced to 618 level and gives us a fakey candle formation. The low of this fakey formation is also at the same area with the previous low (point C).



We’ll watch or set a pending order to go short at 1.2360
Stop Loss will be at 1.2585
First Tp level will be at 1.1700 region…and we’ll keep trailing from there or as the market dictates.

I’m short USDCAD around the 1.236 area. Same logical thinking as you… although I don’t tend to use the monthly chart. Maybe I don’t hold my positions as long as you do but the weekly is a must. It’s one of the things than turned me into a profitable trader! It’s good to see someone else with similar to thinking as me. A lot of traders base their decisions from indicators!