Dax30, Ftse100, SP500, Market View - Page 65
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  1. #641
    Join Date
    Apr 2014
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    737
    In the pre-opening, the European indices have declined slightly. The banking sector will again be in focus. In the last two months, there has been a profound change in investor sentiment in this sector. At the end of the third quarter, given the uncertainties of Deutche Bank and the Italian banking system, there was a certain pessimism about the European banking sector. These factors were compounded by weak prospects for profitability as a result of the increasing and severe regulations, the low level of interest rates and the modest growth of the Euro Zone. As a result of all this, the exposure of institutional investors to the sector was the lowest in recent years. The rise in European yields and the increased risk appetite triggered by the US elections, among other factors, have altered investors’ perceptions. At a conference recently held by UBS, most investors believe that bank shares will be the best-looking investment in Europe in 2017 and the sector is the one with the highest profit-making potential.

  2. #642
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    Apr 2014
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    737
    As expected, the Fed raised benchmark rates by 0.25% for the range of 0.50% to 0.75%. This decision had already been anticipated and investors’ attention therefore fell on individual projections for future interest rate increases. On average, Fed members anticipate three key rate hikes in 2017, two in 2018 and three in 2019.

  3. #643
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    Apr 2014
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    737
    The overperformance of cyclical stocks in relation to more defensive stocks has peaked since the beginning of this Bull Market in 2009. One of the causes of the rally in European markets (in addition to the favorable influence of the American markets) has been the strong appreciation of the banking sector. Within this sector the protagonist has been the Italian banking sector which has shown remarkable resilience to a number of negative factors such as the outcome of the referendum and capital increases of Unicredit and Monte dei Paschi di Siena.

  4. #644
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    Apr 2014
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    737
    US markets closed without major fluctuations, with volume boosted by the maturity of futures and options. However, the news of the seizure of an American drone by China has led to a more defensive stance on the part of investors. This more prudent position translated into a purchase of state bonds, which simultaneously caused the yields to fall. The decline in state yields, which hit the highs this year, boosted interest-sensitive sectors such as real estate and utilities, which prevented major indexes from suffering further losses.

  5. #645
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    Apr 2014
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    737
    Yesterday the main event of the day was the intervention of Janet Yellen at the University of Baltimore. The President of the Fed stated that the current phase of the labor market is the strongest in the last decade and that it is beginning to see an acceleration in wage growth. With a 4.70% unemployment rate and the economy running at full employment, it becomes increasingly difficult to find workers (especially for those jobs that require more skills), which forces employers to pay higher wages.

  6. #646
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    Apr 2014
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    737
    Today, a session with a reduced volume should be attended, and so, the lack of liquidity could generate some more pronounced movements. The Dow Jones test at 20,000 points will be the main theme of the day. Also to be added that the US oil reserves will be published at 3.30 pm.

  7. #647
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    Apr 2014
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    737
    Despite all the financial media coverage of the Dow Jones’ 20,000 points, investors have been pausing in recent days, resulting in a period of consolidation. The year can be considered ended and can also be considered a good year. Faced with a series of unpredictable events, such as Brexit and Donald Trump’s victory, and how the year started (with a strong correction due to the devaluation of the Chinese currency) to achieve gains between 8% and 12%, 2016 was a particularly positive year. It is quite natural that investors choose to take a break, operating in the market just to position their portfolios for the new year.

  8. #648
    Join Date
    Apr 2014
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    737
    The American markets closed with contained losses, and the volume continued to suffer a decrease. The session was marked by the publication of macroeconomic data, which did not influence the trend of major indexes but provided investors and economists with useful information about the US economy. GDP growth relative to the third quarter of the year continues to be revised upwards. According to the Commerce Department, the US economy grew 3.50% in that period, surpassing the 3.20% calculated in November and the forecasts of 3.30%. Starts today the period that corresponds to the so-called Santa Claus Rally. This period includes the last five sessions of the year and the first two of the new year. Over the past 30 years, the S & P performed 26 times, with an average gain of 1.74%. However, given the gains made by Trump Rally, the odds of a strong Santa Claus Rally will probably be lower than in previous years.

  9. #649
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    Apr 2014
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    737
    The Justice Department has fined 7200 M.USD (6300 M. €) for Deutsche Bank for its conduct in the sale of mortgage-indexed assets before the financial crisis, a preliminary agreement that needs to be made official. According to the bank’s accounts published in September, the bank had a provision for legal costs of about 5500 M. €, which does not only involve this case. Analysts estimated that Deutsche Bank would pay a fine between 2000 M.USD and 5000 M.USD.

  10. #650
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    Apr 2014
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    737
    The banking sector will remain in the spotlight. In an interview published yesterday by the Bild newspaper, German Central Bank President Jens Weidmann warned that for “measures planned by the Italian Government” to succeed, the institution must be “financially healthy in its core business.” He also said that public funds could not be used to cover in advance potential future bank losses.

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