Forex Price Action

Here is what I think, pls correct me okie:

pros:
BEEB form at swing high at good resistance level
EB engulf the entire previous candle

cons:
Price did not close in the last third of the candle in the direction of the trade

Hence did not meet the criteria of a good BEEB setup.

Hey ywboo3

There is so much wrong with this trade for me personally.

The PA was small in comparison to candles leading up to BEEB.
Shorting straight into trouble area and BEEB.

Like Johno always says, Im not saying it wont go down but just not for me

Cheers

Oh yeah, forgot to add in my check list to check the relative sign of the PA compared to the surrounding candles. Thanks for the reminder!

I agree with you on the size of the PA, Spongybob. That’s the first criteria on my checklist, so I would have just stopped analyzing it based on how small it is in comparison to the preceding bars.

Nick

Hello,

just to clarify, it did close within the last 1/3 of the desired direction right?


Yes I agree with you all. As we know sometimes crappy setups come of. They don’t come of because it was the crappy setup they made it work but the market was going there if that makes sense. Anyway anything can happen but we all know that if we stick to only the good ones we will win more than lose right?

I tell you what I am not keen on the 4hr NZDUSD at the moment? Chop, chop and more chop. This could do anything right now.


Johnathon

Hi Johnathon
Sorry it’s my overlook, the BEEB in NZDUSD H4 did close within the last 1/3 of the desired direction.

a few questions:

1)what does KHL and IFT mean?

2)is the colour of the pin bar absolutely critical?

This looks like a good BEEB setup on the EUR/NZD 4 hour chart.

The daily is showing this in a range and price is at the top of the range. Thoughts?


i am also watching this pair. i don’t want to go open my charts until after the candle change at 5pm(trying a new disciplined approach, only checking at 4 hour intervals) but i remember seeing this on the 4H and a pin bar on the daily, both at the top of the range

btw the pin bar was the wrong colour, hence my earlier post. it shouldn’t matter should it?

also, thanks for sharing your trading plan tyrannosaurusforex, very helpful!

edit: my 5pm analysis is that, on further review the pair is ranging but in a gradual uptrend since january. instead of bouncing downward from the top of the range as i expected it might be trying to move higher now. hopefully that is, as there is less left lane traffic if it goes up. this s/r level is also a brn at 1.6200

i wish i would have been looking at my charts yesterday as i might have caught this short trade on audsgd daily

i’m thinking now that since the average number of viable a+ trades that are possible in one week is 1 to 2, it would help if i keep track of the ones that i miss so i can start to get a feel of the frequency of these setups


hey all
i’m looking at audnzd daily


now a little more focused


we are in down trend from november 2011,
today the price make a beeb,
that could signify the end of the last 15 days retracement,
we could short if price breaks the low of the beeb, takin the stop at the last high (pin bar 2 days ago),
1st TP at the last low 1.2530 with a 1:1 R:R,
2nd TP at the low of september 2011 at 1.2390 with a 1:2 R:R

what do you think?

Hi T-Forex!

Thanks for the spot and for sharing.
My thoughts:


  1. Is price at a significant S&R level? YES
  2. Is there LARGE PA? YES (BEEB)
  3. Is it at a swing high or swing low? (SWING HIGH)

Now my concerns (thinking aloud):

=> Johnathon once said that “…when we enter a trade we can only expect price to reach the next support or resistance area. From there it is anyone’s guess…”

=> If we enter at the break of the BEEB’s low, we can only expect it to get to point A. I wish it hadn’t been so big, would have given us more trading room (!) That said, it could easily get to point B after crossing A.

The checklist ticks are all there, only my gut feels I could pass this up for a trade with more room…
If you do enter, all the best and good success! :slight_smile:

I think your gut may be telling you the right thing on this one Dudest. Who knows what will happen but the way this BEEB shaped up didn’t leave me with the ‘wiggle room’ I would like.

Hi dnagolf!

My concern with this BEEB is I don’t think it has formed at swing high.
True, the trend before the retrace is downward, and price could still go lower.
But personally I’ll pass because of that swing high issue

Cheers


Heads up!

The JPY pairs are busy forming bearish reversal signals on H4 following pullbacks.
Candles due to close in about an hour.

Cheers

Dudest I think you are all over this swing high/swing low business. Good call!

If things continue as they are I will be trading the EUR/JPY 4 hour, still a way to go to close but looking promising.

Hi guys
Thanks to dudest for the heads up, this is my thought for your comments. From the Jpy pairs, I find the pin bar in H4 for USDJPY best.

Pro

  1. pin bar forming at strong resistance level and it’s near to round number 80.5
  2. pin bar not considered small
  3. pin bar formed at swing high and at pullback
  4. pin bar sticking out
  5. selling into downtrend

Hi bhops
Can u elaborate why? Thought I am seeing a strong resistance just below it at 105.4 for EURJPY.

Hello,

whilst I agree with you and this setup I just want to clarify something about big round numbers or BRN’s.

I don’t think for this trade example you can note it as a plus because it is trading at 80.25 at the moment and when breaking the pin will be trading directly into Very BRN of 80.000.

What does look good about this setup is the way it broke out and has retested the old resistance which the market is now looking to hold as new support.


Johnathon

I don’t see any resistance selling short. Possibly some minor Support to get through and then there is some space. I do really like the USD/JPY as well that Johnathon has mentioned. I may split my risk.