Large Speculators are Too Short US Dollars (COT)

[B]Latest CFTC Release Dated September 22, 2009:[/B]

The COT Index is the percentile of the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured over a specific number of weeks (either 52 or 13). A reading close to 0 suggests that a bottom is forming and a reading close to 100 suggests that a top is forming. The readings are for the actual currency, not the currency pair. For example, a reading of 100 on the Canadian Dollar suggests that the Canadian Dollar is close to a top (USDCAD close to a bottom).

Readings of 95 and higher as well as 5 and lower are in boldfaced red type to indicate potential market extremes. For example, an increasing index is bullish until the index is extreme (near 100), at which time the risk of a reversal or pause in the trend increases.

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US Dollar[/B]

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Euro[/B]

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Australian Dollar[/B]

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Canadian Dollar[/B]

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Jamie Saettele publishes Daily Technicals every weekday morning, COT analysis (Monday), technical analysis of currency crosses on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday (Euro and Yen crosses), and intraday trading strategy as market action dictates. He is the author of [I]Sentiment in the Forex Market[/I]. Follow his intraday market commentary at DailyFX Forex Stream.

Contact Jamie at <[email protected]> if you would like to receive his reports via email.