Forex Spot & CME Futures Options Analysis by InvestingPit

Today SOK6 silver options expiration day.

[B]Over 1,000 contracts of $17.00 call options still in play[/B] which will make option writers motivated to settle Silver May 2016 futures price today below $17.

Also over 850 contracts of $16.75 call options look juicy and don’t be surprised if settled price today gets below $16.75.

Currently Silver May 2016 futures price at $16.92

Not much action yesterday in options market – only slightly leaning towards drop in e-mini SP500 with still many 2,100 calls waiting to get in the money.


For full analysis with commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/options-implied-volatility-analysis-2016-apr-25th

Key for yesterday’s gold & silver futures options expiration was silver May 2016 futures price to stay below $18.00 (high this month was $17.72) and gold Jun 2016 futures price below $1,275 (high this month was $1,272.4).

This held perfectly.


What has happened in prior trading day in first 3 to expire CME futures monthly options contracts?

At-The-Money (ATM) options implied volatilities changes for CME futures markets:

Significant increase of ATM volatility in: crude oil and yen futures options.

Significant decrease of ATM volatility in: silver futures options.

For full analysis with commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/options-implied-volatility-analysis-2016-apr-26th

Options traders yesterday were right once again going for bullish JPY = Sell Nikkei 225 (today down over 6% already). Yen up almost 3%


What has happened in prior trading day in first 3 to expire CME futures monthly options contracts?

At-The-Money (ATM) options implied volatilities changes for CME futures markets:

Significant increase of ATM volatility in: crude oil futures options.

Significant decrease of ATM volatility in: gold futures options.

For full analysis with commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/options-implied-volatility-analysis-2016-apr-27th

1 day bullish sentiment increase of out-of-the-money options for euro and yen = selling of Japanese stock index Nikkei 225 and European stock indices Eurostoxx 50 and Dax 30.


What has happened in prior trading day in first 3 to expire CME futures monthly options contracts?

At-The-Money (ATM) options implied volatilities changes for CME futures markets:

Significant increase of ATM volatility in: e-mini Sp500 and AUD futures options.

Significant decrease of ATM volatility in: crude oil, gold, silver, euro, yen and GBP futures options.

For full analysis with commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/options-implied-volatility-analysis-2016-apr-28th

Daily forex spot option expiries at 10am New York time (2pm GMT).

Option expiration date: [B]Apr 29th 2016[/B]

Let’s see which currency pairs have at least $1 billion worth of options expiring today.

USDJPY 106.10 (1.1 bn)

EURUSD 1.1400 (1 bn)

GBPUSD 1.4600 (1.1 bn)

Forex Spot EURUSD Barrier Option at 1.15

6EK6 1.15 euro calls expire on Friday.

[B]Read more at[/B]
https://investingpit.com/forex-spot-eurusd-barrier-option-at-1-1500-may-2nd-16

Looks like gold is building a bullish momentum but let’s see when it can get above $1,300 and close the week above it.


For full analysis with commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/cme-futures-options-volatility-analysis-apr-29th

It’s all about USDJPY or better say yen and Nikkei 225 price action.

Binary options trade signal:
[B]Buy USDJPY Call option if price gets near 105.25 to 105.00 area.

Buy JPY Put option if price gets near 0.00948 to 0.00950 area.[/B]

For full analysis with commentary…
…[B]VISIT original blog post at[/B]
https://investingpit.com/free-binary-options-trading-signal-usdjpy-may-3rd-16

USDJPY having over 1 billion worth of options expiring at one strike price tomorrow at 10am New York time.

This is additional info to USDJPY barrier option at 105.00 that we posted about yesterday on our blog.

Read more at
https://investingpit.com/forex-spot-options-daily-expiry-2016-may-5

Currently at 2:21am New Your time and USDJPY spot price 107.02

USDJPY 107.00 spot options with now $2.1 billion are set to expire today at 10am New York time.

Daily forex spot option expiries at 10am New York time.

Option expiration date: [B]May 9th 2016[/B]

Let’s see which currency pairs have at least $1 billion worth of options expiring on this day.

Over 1 billion worth of options will expire at one strike price in forex spot market of: AUD (aussie dollar).

[B]AUDUSD 0.7400 (AUD 1 bln)[/B]

For more analysis with commentary…
…[B]VISIT original blog post at[/B]
https://investingpit.com/forex-spot-options-daily-expiry-2016-may-9

Based on option trader’s price action from settled date: May 6th 2016.

Market’s analysis for options on CME futures markets include 10 markets: US 10 year Treasury notes (ZN), E-mini SP500 (ES), Crude oil (CL), Gold (GC), Silver (SI), Euro (6E), Yen (6J), Pound (6B), Aussie (6A) and Cad (6C).


What has happened in prior trading day in CME futures monthly option contract with highest daily trading volume?

Calls and puts 1 day changes for options on CME futures markets:

Significant buying of CALL options (calls): JPY and CAD call options.

Significant buying of PUT options (puts): e-mini SP500 and AUD put options.

For full analysis with trading ideas & commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/binary-options-daily-trade-ideas-2016-may-9

Based on option trader’s price action from settled date: May 9th 2016.

Analysis for CME futures options is based on daily changes in amount of call and put options being bought or sold in monthly option contract with highest daily volume and all options contracts combined.

Market’s analysis for options on CME futures markets include 10 markets: US 10 year Treasury notes (ZN), E-mini SP500 (ES), Crude oil (CL), Gold (GC), Silver (SI), Euro (6E), Yen (6J), Pound (6B), Aussie (6A) and Cad (6C).


What has happened in prior trading day in CME futures monthly option contract with highest daily trading volume and all options contracts combined?

Calls and puts 1 day changes for options on CME futures markets:

Significant buying of CALL options (calls): no call options.

Significant buying of PUT options (puts): e-mini SP500 put options.

For full analysis with trading ideas & commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/binary-options-daily-trade-ideas-2016-may-10

Daily forex spot option expiries at 10am New York time.

Option expiration date: [B]May 12th 2016[/B]

Let’s see which currency pairs have at least $1 billion worth of options expiring on this day.

Over 1 billion worth of options will expire at one strike price in forex spot market of: USDJPY (japanese yen) and EURUSD (euro).

[B]USDJPY 108.40-108.50 (USD 0.95 bln)[/B] and [B]110.00 (USD 1.3 bln),

EURUSD 1.1395 (EUR 1 bln)[/B] and [B]1.1450 (EUR 1.1 bln).[/B]

Daily forex spot option expiries at 10am New York time.

Option expiration date: [B]May 13th 2016[/B]

Let’s see which currency pairs have at least $1 billion worth of options expiring on this day.

Over 1 billion worth of options will expire at one strike price in forex spot market of: USDJPY (US dollar vs japanese yen).

[B]USDJPY 108.20[/B] (USD 1.6 bln)

For financial markets commentaries…
…[B]VISIT original blog post at[/B]
https://investingpit.com/forex-spot-options-daily-expiry-2016-may-13

Let’s take a look at max option pain for ESK6 options on e-mini SP500 Jun 2016 futures market, OGM6 options on Gold Jun 2016 futures market and SOM6 options on Silver Jul 2016 futures market.


As we can see max option pain for SOM6 options expiring on May 25th 2016 is at $16.25.

For more analysis with commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/max-option-pain-analysis-sp500-gold-silver-may-19th

Last trading prices for the week that ended on May 20th 2016:

e-mini SP500 Jun 2016 futures market price 2,050 (exactly where max option pain was for ESK6 options that expired on May 20th 2016),

Gold Jun 2016 futures market $1,252.9 (OGM6 option expiry on May 25th 2016),

Silver Jul 2016 futures market $16.55 (SOM6 option expiry on May 25th 2016).

Daily forex spot option expiries at 10am New York time.

[B]Option expiration date: May 27th 2016[/B]

Let’s see which currency pairs have at least $1 billion worth of options expiring on this day.

Over 1 billion worth of options will expire at one strike price in forex spot market of: EURUSD (euro vs US dollar) and USDJPY (US dollar vs Japanese yen)

[B]EURUSD 1.1000 (USD 1.2 bln), 1.1150 (USD 1 bln), 1.1300 (USD 2.8 bln),

USDJPY 111.65 (USD 1.2 bln).[/B]

Perfect max option pain for silver SOM6 options contract that expired yesterday.

Wrote about it last week in this thread, now let’s see the final SOM6 Open Interest profile and why price settled so perfectly (full size pic in original blog post much better quality than resized version here).


For full analysis with commentary…
VISIT original blog post at
https://investingpit.com/cme-max-option-pain-analysis-for-som6-silver