The reason is purely off personnal experience and TA. What people often do not realize is that the price tend to retrace.
And if you look at the long term Crude Chart you'll see that the last time it hit a strong resistance there were a big retracement, so I am expecting the same.
Just an example of how the general view and fundamentals do not really matter.
But I appreciate your input. Just remember that there is no certainty in the market and there is no you are wrong. There is either you respect your trading plan or you don't