Your analysis presented a sell for GBP/USD for example and an hour later Donald Trump Twitted something unexpectedly (LOL) which weakened the dollar and GBP/USD starts rallying, this is where you cut your losses early enough and if you are confident of it lasting you trade the opposite way.
I know it’s a bad example but just try to get the point.
This one isn’t forex so its not part of the challenge but I wanted to include it because I thought it was interesting.
Short Position
TIcker: HON
P/L + 1%
The only reason I didn’t hold this over this weekend is because December is seasonally bullish and S&P was at the bottom of the range we have been sitting at since October.
I got in when the hourly closed engulfing red right underneath polarity. Normally I know these go at least far enough to lower my stop to break even. Then its a free trade and I let them ride.
Since I am taking a break from equities to learn forex P/L, doesn’t matter but it was +1%
The only thing I would do different going forward is setting my stop to break even and letting this one ride. Its the only way I am going to grow my account.
Thanks so much for the tips. Starting Monday I am going to attack this very differently. The name of the game will be better risk reward. I need to stop being so eager and I know that! I appreciate your time.
Quite a nice Journal. Thank you for posting your trades on forum. I find it also quite educational for beginners. As for P/L, I think that brokerage spread should be also taken into account in trading strategy, simply because it consumes profitability.
Just realized I needed a bit more education. I found Dr. Mircea Dologa’s materials on Pitchforks and have been studying as a way to incorporate his gems with my developing strategy. I should be back soon.
My major, revelations have been incorporating risk reward and just a better understanding of the trend.
I have no ego in this, rather I am here just to learn. If I blow up accounts its fine with me as long as I take something away. I actually have no proof that doing this consistently is even possible I have never witnessed someone trade that does this for a living. I’ll be back and hopfully better then ever! or worse then ever! Not sure but I do know 2019 is a new year and I’m ready for more learning.
But guess what happened, I blew that account in the next 2 weeks. You can have good days and lucky streaks that last for days and weeks but being too aggressive eventually poses a really high risk of eventually losing. I have several more experiences like this. The second week I traded live I turned $2K into $3K. I have done $1K into $1500 in a week, $900 to $2000 in 24 hours, $250 into $800 in three days, etc. All on different accounts. Every single time I had a good winning streak trading aggressively, I kept increasing position sizes and continued to be aggressive, and every time I blew my accounts.
Recently I’ve been concentrating on managing risk as well. I am comfortably averaging about 0.3-0.5% a day. It might take me much longer but I think it is way more sustainable and has a higher chance of success. The key seems to be trading with larger capital, because if you trade with $500 and make 20% in a day that’s only $100, whereas with say $10K if you make “just” 1% there’s your $100 a day.
Here’s what my 3 week old account looks like now that’s focused on limiting risk.
Honestly, most are not even able to achieve that. I am sure it is a good start. Most of us here would blow the 10.000 in a relative short time.
270 on 10.000 is 2.7% per month. Let us take this as a static calculation and compound our account (without taking out anything) for the next 5 years.
My calculation says that he will have 50.000 in 5 years if he achieves a static 2.7% per month, which of course, will flactuate.
In other words, he is doubling his account every year. Imagine now he has a very big capital or receives an investment opportunity to trade with other peoples money and i.e. gets 300.000 from someone.
Now do you think that 2.7% per month is still a small number? I honestly find this a good start! It is not a huge return, but he is putting himself at a very good spot!
Thank you for the kind words friend. I’m actually trying to qualify for a prop trading firm and if I get to 6% they’ll quadruple the capital (at least that’s what they claim). So slowly but surely wins the race I guess.
FYI hasn’t been one month yet, just 17 trading days and am at 3.23%