Australian Dollar Technical Outlook

The AUDUSD count shown above is similar to the GBPUSD in that wave v of C may be truncated. The rally from .7823 is in 5 waves but failed to exceed .8269. Usually, this would signal that an entirely new bull cycle is underway. But given the extension of the rallies from .6245 and .6986, this scenario is not probable. Near term, the decline below .7823 supports the topping scenario as does the structure of the rally from .7786, which is in 3 waves.