Often we hear how that the fx market is not centralized therefore impossible to ‘move’ or influence same.
Everything is possible - bottom line is that currencies change based on orders to buy/sell
Us/Jpy
US 10yr will give an investor over 4.5% - Japanese 10yr less than 1% - wild guess where the orders lie.
Ueda didn’t say the ‘intervention’ word Friday - again where were the orders.
The BOJ often use words that in turn cause traders to use orders that in turn move the fx market.
Now suppose tomorrow were to be a Japanese holiday and suppose Japanese bankers/traders are taking a lttle lie in - what then can possible move Yen
I did say that I’m working on some theories and I’m not sure if it could be possible. My opinion is unbias and I speculate any given ideas. I don’t care if I’m right or wrong, I’m trying to understand concepts.
Actually it was great high probability trade. Extreme Yen depreciation often triggers response from Japanese government be it a verbal intervention or selling of reserves and market was definitely on alert, waiting for the signal during speech of their official. Perfect example of why markets may be not efficient even in highly liquid USDJPY pair, but this happens one or two times a year and definitely not every year.