Good choice. I donāt even use moving averages anymore.
Not to scare you or anything, but Iāve been trading for over 10 years now and am still picking stuff up. The funniest thing is I always do better keeping things simple. I am a long-time student of Al Brooks. I would start there.
Absolutely. Having just the candlesticks will give you enough information without all the clutter. For example, check out this chart I traded earlier:
I caught a small portion of this little downtrend on the 5-min E/U for a scalp profit earlier in the Asian session today. I highlighted it for you.
Do you need moving averages, stochastics, or fractal indicators to know that this is a strong move downward? Of course not! Your first clue is the three consecutive strong bear bars forming the reversal, followed by a lower high, followed by another lower high. At this point, you have to get short and take at least a small profit-- and thatās what I did.
The next time you look at a chart, say to yourself, āWhat is the probability of this going higher/lower?ā If you answer āhighly likely,ā then jump in!
For example, What about this chart?
The probability is high that this will go at least a little higher, so I would jump in long here. My stop is down where the red line is. The problem with most traders taking this trade is with the wide stop. But even though the risk is high, the probability that you will make at least a scalp profit is even higher.
You could argue that the second to last bar shown has a prominent tail at the top, so you would be justified in maybe taking a stronger BO. The point is you donāt need indicators to see a high-probability trade. You just need the candlesticks and the ability to recognize the different breakouts and patterns they create.
The great benefit of price action only is that you can see the patterns, breakouts, ranges, channels, and levels without cluttering your charts. For example, I used to get so aggravated when price wouldnāt react to the moving averages the way it was supposed to. Now, I simply remove these lagging indicators so I get a better picture of what is happening. All you have to do is take a step back, look at the bigger picture and trade in the same direction. Pretty easy.
The downside is the time it takes to learn to recognize breakouts, tight channels, wide channels, ranges, reversals, and all the assorted patterns necessary to get a read on the current market. It took me a long time, but then again, Iām sure Iām not as smart as you.