Date: January 10, 2018
AUDUSD has broken key support, time to sell
Sell below 0.7885. Stop loss at 0.7978. Take profit at 0.7696
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has finally broken our ascending support line triggering a strong bearish drop as expected from here. We look to sell on strength below major resistance at 0.7885 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance, bearish divergence) for a drop to at least 0.7696 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic (34,3,1) is also testing major resistance at 98% and we can see bearish divergence vs price signalling that a reversal is impending. The recent bearish exit has forecasted well the drop we expected on it. We still have some downside potential for our drop.
NZDUSD starting to drop, now testing major support
Sell below 0.7188. Stop loss at 0.7280. Take profit at 0.7041.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is starting to drop nicely below our major resistance at 0.7188 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, bearish divergence) and we expect price to push down to at least 0.7041 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support). However, we are also in a bullish ascending channel and are testing the main channel support. Only a break of this channel would confirm further downside move.
RSI (34) is testing major ascending support and is starting to break below it. Only a clear break of our ascending support would trigger a strong bearish drop on price.
AUDJPY has broken our support perfectly triggering a bearish move
Sell below 88.46. Stop loss at 89.21. Take profit at 86.69.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has finally broken our ascending support and overlap support at 88.46 to trigger a strong bearish move. We look to remain bearish and sell on strength below 88.46 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) for a further drop towards 86.69 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal support). Our next intermediate support level to watch out for is 87.62.
RSI (34) is now in a bearish descending channel and we expect this to continue till it finds new support.
Bitcoin profit target reached perfectly, prepare for another bounce
Buy above 14126. Stop loss at 13247. Take profit at 15391.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
Bitcoin has been dropping strongly largely due to an SEC pushback that has led to several ETF proposals being withdrawn. There were several firms which were looking to list ETFs tied to bitcoin but the SEC “expressed concerns regarding the liquidity and valuation of the underlying instruments”. This has shaken the confidence of bitcoin investors which has led to the recent decline.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has shot up and reached our profit target perfectly below dropping down once again as expected. We look to buy above major support at 14126 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, bullish divergence) for a bounce up to at least 15391 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
RSI (34) sees strong bullish divergence vs price and is a good signal that we’ll be seeing a strong bounce from here.