EURUSD: With EUR continuing to trade below the 1.1396 level and its major resistance at the 1.1459 zone, our bias remains to the downside. This suggest its upside risk is now limited while maintaining below the 1.1459 level and downside threat remains the immediate bias. On the downside, support lies at the 1.1300 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1250 level. A break of here will turn risk to the 1.1200 level with a move below that level targeting the 1.1150 level. On the upside, resistance is seen at 1.1400 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1450 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1500 level where a break will expose the 1.1550 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside below its key resistance
GBPUSD: GBP has revered its Tuesday losses and looks to resume its short term uptrend. On continued upside offensive it should target its nearby resistance at the 1.5400 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.5450 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.5500 level followed by the 1.5550 level. A cut through here should open the door for more strength towards the 1.5600 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. Conversely, support comes in at the 1.5300 level with a break of here turning attention to the 1.5250 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5200 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.5150 level. On the whole, GBP faces the risk of further upside and possible short term trend resumption
GOLD: With GOLD extending its strength above the 1170.03 level on Wednesday, further bullish offensive is envisaged. The commodity must continue to trade and hold above its broken resistance turned support at 1170.03 to create scope for more strength. On the downside, support comes in at the 1165.00 level where a break will aim at the 1150.00 level. A cut through here will open the door for move lower towards the 1130.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure towards the 1115.00 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1200.00 level where a break will aim at the 1215.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1230.00 level. A violation of here will turn attention to the 1245.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the upside above key support at 1170.03 level
USDJPY: USDJPY lost its downside momentum to close higher on a long-tailed candle on Thursday. This development leaves risk higher with a possible run at the 119.50 level. Above here will clear the way for more strength build up towards the 120.00 level with a break targeting the 120.50 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 121.00 level where a violation will turn focus to the 121.50 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the downside, support comes in at the 118.50 level where a break will target the 118.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 117.50 level followed by the 117.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside having failed to extend its weakness on Thursday.
USDCHF: The pair extended its weakness for a third week in a row the past week following its loss of upside momentum at the 0.9845 level in Sept 2015. This leaves room for more weakness with eyes on its nearby support located at the 0.9527 level. This level is key to further weakness as USDCHF must break and hold below that level to extend its short term weakness. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9450 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9400 level and then the 0.9350 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional decline towards the 0.9300 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.9600 level with a breach targeting the 0.9650 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower. But if taken out, expect a push further higher towards the 0.9700 level. All in all, the pair remains vulnerable to the downside in the short term
EURJPY: The cross took back most its previous week gains to close lower on Friday. This development leaves it vulnerable to the downside in the days ahead. While holding below the 136.96/137.44 zone,its key overhead resistance, risk remains lower. Support comes in at the 135.00 level where a break will aim at the 134.50 level. A turn below here will target the 134.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 133.50 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance lies at the 136.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 136.50 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 137.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 137.50 level. All in all, the cross now faces downside pressure.
EURUSD: Having EUR closed slightly lower the past week on a rejection candle print, it faces additional weakness in the new week. This view remains valid as long as the pair can trade and hold below its key resistance zone at 1.1459/94 level. Support lies at the 1.1300 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1300 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1250 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1200 level. Below here will shift attention to the 1.1150 level. Conversely, resistance is comes at 1.1400 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1459 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1500 level where a break will expose the 1.1550 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside after failing at 1.1494 level the past week
AUDUSD: AUDUSD took back its intra day gains to close slightly lower on Monday leaving risk of more weakness on the cards. While the pair can trade and hold below the 0.7363/81 levels, we think more weakness should occur towards its support at 0.7197. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7300 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7350 level and then the 0.7400 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7450 level. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7200 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7150 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7100 level with a cut through here targeting further downside pressure towards the 0.7050 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its long term downside pressure.
GBPUSD: GBP continues to hold on to its downside bias failing at the 1.5505 level to close lower on a rejection candle on Tuesday. While it remains below the 1.5508 level and its 200 EMA, our bias remains to the downside. Resistance resides at the 1.5508 level. A violation of here will clear the way for a run at the 1.5550 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.5600 level followed by the 1.5500 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. Conversely, support comes in at the 1.5400 level with a break of here turning attention to the 1.5350 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5300 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.5250 level. On the whole, GBP faces the risk of further upside pressure.
AUDUSD: The pair remains weak and vulnerable to the downside triggering further weakness during Wednesday trading session today. This is coming on the back of its failed recovery attempt on Tuesday. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.7197 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7150 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7100 level with a cut through here targeting further downside pressure towards the 0.7050 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance resides at the 0.7300 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 0.7381 level. A violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7450 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its short term downside bias.
GBPJPY: With the cross closing lower on price failure on Wednesday, we envisage further move lower in the days ahead. On the downside, support comes in at the 184.00 level where a violation will aim at the 183.00 level. A break below here will target the 182.00 level followed by the 181.00 level. Its daily RSI is turning lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance is seen at the 186.00 level followed by the 187.00 level. A cut through will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 188.00 level where a break will aim at the 189.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 189.50 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the side having lost upside momentum.
GOLD: With the commodity continuing to hold on to its downside pressure, further downside pressure is likely. On the downside, support comes in at the 1155.00 level where a break will aim at the 1140.00 level. A cut through here will open the door for move lower towards the 1130.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure towards the 1115.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1190.00 level where a break will aim at the 1200.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1215.00 level. A violation of here will turn attention to the 1230.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside on pullbacks.
USDCHF: The pair strengthened the past week taking back its three-week losses to close higher. This development has opened the door for more strength towards its key resistance at the 0.9843 level. This level if broken will set the stage for a run at the 0.9900 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower. But if taken out, expect a push further higher towards the 0.9950 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9700 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9650 level and then the 0.9600 level. A cut through here will open the door for more decline towards the 0.9550 level. All in all, the pair remains on the offensive with eyes on its resistance zone at 0.9843.
EURUSD: A large sell-off the past week now left EUR testing its key support located at the 1.1016 level. However, this level should provide a temporary support causing a corrective recovery. But if violated, expect more weakness to occur towards the 1.0950 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0850 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0800 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0750 level. Below here will shift attention to the 1.07000 level. Its weekly RSI I bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance is comes at 1.1100 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1150 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1200 level where a break will expose the 1.1250 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside.
GOLD: Outlook for GOLD remains lower while the commodity holds and trades below the 1191.53 zone, its key resistance. On the downside, support comes in at the 1155.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1140.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1130.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1115.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1190.00 level where a break will aim at the 1200.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1215.00 level. A violation of here will turn attention to the 1230.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside on pullbacks
GBPUSD: GBP declined sharply the past week leaving risk of more weakness on the cards. While it holds and trades below its cluster of resistance zone at 1.5371/83, its outlook remains lower. Support lies at the 1.5250 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.5300 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5200 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.5150 level. Its weakly RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance stands at the 1.5350 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.5400 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.5450 level followed by the 1.5500 level. On the whole, GBP faces the risk of further downside pressure.
EURUSD: The pair halted its weakness and turned higher on Monday leaving risk of more recovery on the cards. While the 1.1016/17 level zone continues to provide support, we should see a move higher on correction. On the downside, support lies at the 1.1000 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0950 level. A break of here will turn risk to the 1.0900 level with a move below that level targeting the 1.0850 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance is seen at 1.1100 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1150 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1120 level where a break will expose the 1.1250 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the short term but y faces recovery above its key support zone.
USDJPY: The pair halted its strength and turned lower after failing to hold above its range top at the 121.23/32 zone on Monday. This development has triggered a sell-off leaving risk of more weakness on the cards. On the upside, risk should build up towards the 121.00 level. Above here will aim at the 121.50 level. A break will target the 122.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 122.50 level where a violation will aim at the 123.00 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 120.00 level where a break will target the 119.50 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 119.00 level followed by the 118.50 level. Further down, support is located at the 118.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the downside within its broader range.
AUDUSD: The pair weakened on Tuesday and was seen weakening further during early trading on Wednesday. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.7100 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7050 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7000 level with a cut through here targeting further downside pressure towards the 0.6950 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance resides at the 0.7200 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 0.7250 level. A violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7300 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its short term downside bias.
GBPUSD: GBP continues to face downside pressure taking back its Monday gains to close lower on Tuesday. With more weakness underway, it could see further decline towards its key support located at 1.5199 level. On the downside, immediate support lies at the 1.5250 level with a break of here turning attention to the 1.5200 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5150 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.5100 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further downside. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.5350 level. A violation of here will clear the way for a run at the 1.5400 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.5450 level followed by the 1.5500 level. On the whole, GBP faces the risk of further downside pressure towards the 1.5199 level.
