Yeah, that there is a MASSIVE HEAD AND SHOULDERS Bottoming formation, with the “relevant zones” you have marked being the all important neckline, which broke about 10 minutes after I posted about it.
I am already long, and play these things much more aggressive since many times you do NOT get a pullback. Once it closes over the Neckline, which in this case was 1760, and on hourly normally good for me, I jump in and go for the ride.
I’m also not a big candle trader, too many times they turn out unreliable. I do look for hammers at the bottom, and shooting stars and/or hanging men at the top, but don’t take trades because of them. There has to be at least a couple more reasons, hopefully 3 or 4, on why I would take the trade and I certainly don’t wait for a candle to do it when the other things are in place. If the candle is there, at an important juncture, that is great and just puts another thing in your favour but for me personally, its one of the least important things I watch. Just my style that has developed over the years.
Cheers
p.s Note there is decent resistance at 1780 and it has already shot up to there and bounced off as I write this and put up what Johnathan would call a “pinbar”. It is also once again outside the BB and now heading back in. I won’t be at all surprised, if the whole thing reverses right here and and starts heading down, PAST the now the 1760 support level (I have a few reasons for my thinking here) and makes the whole thing a BIG fakeout. Just how these things go sometimes. At any rate, 1780 was my first target, I took 25% off the table, and moved my stop up to just under 1760 (it was already close, moved it closer). If it breaks above 1780 and closes above on the hourly, I will likely add to my position. If it breaks under 1760 and closes under it on the hourly, I’ll be shorting it.
Yes ideally in these kind of set-ups we look for price to bust through a certain level (in this case resistance) and then rotate back for it to turn into support and give you a confirming PA signal to go long.
More often than not price WILL return to these levels and you will get a chance to play a pullback at a value zone. Patience is needed but keep this on your radar.
To be honest I wouldn’t trade this purely because the Price Action isn’t big enough. Overall you are trading with the trend but when price hits a really noticeable level like the one you’ve marked we generally prefer to see a LARGE PA signal to confirm us to go short.
This is something that Johnathon is particular in favour of, he really advocates trading those large bars as they tend to give the most reliable signals.
That’s not to say this trade won’t come off, but personally I would sit on the sideline and wait for a more compelling signal.
However I must say your levels here look well marked and I think you are really beginning to grasp the concept of what Johnathon is trying to teach in this thread.
I definitally would not go short on that one as it just broke the resistance although thats just the way I trade. I would be looking for a pullback to that previous resistance (now support) to go long (not the point you pointed too but the one below it.) Off course if it breaks the one you pointed out I suppose you could look for a long off of that point too, but it is not as strong as the lower.
Also on the 1H chart you posted it is in an obvious uptrend and thus you should be looking for longs there as well.