Forex Price Action

Took this GBP D1 BEEB with a 1:1 RR testing a new technique for money management setting the SL above 61% fib retracement (this is just an idea, dont know if it works yet)

I like eursgd.

Pro - Swing high. Closed below 1.75 RN. Not creating higher high. Nice room to move.
Con - Not very large compare to the bull bar right before it.


Hi folks,

Just wanted to say I wonā€™t be in here much this week, got a lot going on and wish you all the best.

PS:

Iā€™m impressed with the R:R discussion thatā€™s gone on in the past few pages. For the pending requests (e.g Amyā€™s), Iā€™m sure Johno or Bryce will answer them when they get a spot of time.

For any new readers or lurkers ( and for anyone else slightly confused ), be encouraged that the concept of R:R is embedded in the definition of an A+ setup:

  1. At a KHL and swing high (for shorts) / swing low (for longs) ==> means trade is being taken from a value area, where probability of reward is highest

  2. Large and obvious (sticking out) ==> implying that the setup is trade-able (i.e, worth your while, and worth risking on)

  3. Preferably with the trend ==> means it has momentum behind it ( meaning more odds of reward over risk )

  4. Has room to move (before encountering any significant opposition) ==> has opportunity to create reward and allow banking of same reward (& protection of any capital left on the trade)

IMHO, if you can trade profitably for 3 months straight (demo or live) and keep a detailed journal, youā€™ll have a very good idea of what your win rates are, and be able to compare the quality of your setups to the final R:R achieved [ donā€™t be surprised to see a relationship :slight_smile: ]

A lovely week to all

Cheers

im not gonna trade this but its worth to noteā€¦EURNZD 4H


Just a comment about this which i hope is welcome. I know this might seem a little hindsighty given how things have worked out but its CT and youre betting on the price breaking lower than the HL in an uptrend so its quite risky. Given the long bar for the BEEB this looks like a lot of risk for the return.


Nice looking PB rejecting daily support level.

Hi Guys, Iā€™ve been lurking around this forum a bit. Iā€™m a real newbie to P.A, and wonder if you can give me an opinion (or 2) on why this trade failed.

AUD NZD (Not USDNZD as written on image :confused:) 4 hr 23/Jan 20:00GMT I think there were two problems: 1) Counter Trend, 2) Not enough confirmation of Support. What would you guys do about the lack of recent confirmation? Thanks a lot. Ed


Hi Fissssh.

From your level Iā€™m a bit unclear which candle you enter on. The most logical entry bar to me is the pin that stuck out at the bottom. If youā€™re entering at another pin above it, please keep in mind that we donā€™t trade pin bar as continuation signal.

Fish, are you sure you are on 4H NYC close charts?

Hi,
Yes, I entered on the red candle after the pinbar, and at the high of the pinbar. (The red candle wasnā€™t red when I entered of course), so I was trading a reversal. The reason my entry looks high might be that the spread was added on entry.

No, Iā€™m not certain of that. In fact, Iā€™m pretty sure Iā€™m not, as Iā€™m on GMT. Iā€™ll look into that.

Are you talking about the ā€œPin barā€ with the thick green body? If you are I donā€™t think its a valid pin bar in this definition and you would have been stopped out. If it is the the actual pin at the low then it was going straight into resistance. Really confused which bar you are talking about?

Im pretty sure that is the one we are talking about.

Hi again! The PB is the one thatā€™s now yellow on the chart. I entered on the following candle when the price reached the high of the yellow candle.


I know it is hindsight comment but that was NOT a valid pin but in the right location from the support you have drawn. Also suspect you are not displaying a NYClose chart because I donā€™t have the lower pin on your chart. Mine looks more like a 2 bar reversal. For such a steep bear trend I would be looking for a very BIG reversal signal to tempt me to counter trend trade this pair. I would define the big reversal signal like something of a pin which is equal in size to the big bear bars as a point of reference.

Thanks a lot for that :slight_smile: Much appreciated. I have NO idea how to change the time reference in MT4 - I just thought it was what your broker gave you. In my rush to get into the trade, I never even considered how bearish the trend was. Thank heaven for Practice Accounts! will look into setting my MT4 to new York Close, if thatā€™s do-able.

Thanks again!

Yeah itā€™s pretty much fixed to the broker.

What I do is I use Pepperstone, which is 5 day NY close, to look for my levels and signal while I do live trade with another broker of my choice. At least this way Iā€™m looking at the same chart as the seniors and Johno, easier to communicate :slight_smile:

gonna trade this


there are other patterns that happen at this 4H close but they are too close to FTA




Obvious and BRILLIANT. Now why hadnā€™t I thought of that??? Thanks again!

But youā€™re nowhere near your support level and trading right into resistance?