Forex today: Daily analysis

5 important events this week will bring us!

More at: Events in the Forex market this week

07.10.2019

FOMC meeting minutes (Wed, 21:00 MT (18:00 GMT)) – If the release contains any hawkish hints on the further Fed’s decisions, the USD will go up.

Speech by the Fed Chair Powell (Wed, 18:00 MT (15:00 GMT)) – If the Fed Chair provides hawkish comments, the USD will be supported.

British GDP and manufacturing production (Thu, 11:30 MT (8:30 GMT)) – According to the forecasts, GDP growth is expected to remain at the same level, while the indicator of manufacturing production is forecast to increase by 0.1%. If the actual figures are higher, the British pound may get a positive momentum.

US CPI and core CPI (Thu, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – The indicator of a headline consumer inflation is anticipated to increase by 0.1%, while its core level (without food and energy prices) is going to increase by 0.2%, according to analysts. Higher-than-expected figures will be good for US dollar.

Canadian employment change and unemployment rate (Fri, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – If the actual level of employment change is higher and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the Canadian dollar will rise.

Hot news:

The British pound is awaiting the Brexit court ruling on legislation called “the Benn Act”. It requires the Government to either reach a deal or get Parliament’s approval for a no-deal Brexit by October 19.

The US-China trade talks are expected to continue on Thursday and Friday in Washington.

GBP/USD slides below the 1.22 level as the UK-EU Brexit talks are about to break down

Check more: http://bit.ly/2B3LzUo

08.10.2019

Different sources inform that during today’s telephone call the German Chancellor Angela Merkel told to the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson that the deal could be reached only if Northern Ireland stays in the customs union. In response, the source has said that Mr. Johnson said that reaching a deal would be impossible.
GBP/USD has plunged below the 50-day SMA and tested the support at 1.2196. The next support levels will lie at 1.21-1.2138. From the upside, the rise will be limited by the 1.2294 level. The next resistance will be placed at 1.2355.

Oil market updates on October 9

Check the charts: Oil market updates on October 9

09.10.2019

Crude oil inventories – 17:30 MT (14:30 GMT) time

The oil prices slid lower after the private survey of crude oil inventories showed a larger-than-expected level. The number of barrels held in inventories increased by 4.13 million (vs. +1.7 million expected).

Today oil traders are awaiting the weekly release of US crude oil inventories by the Energy Information Administration. According to the forecasts, the number of barrels will advance by 1.8 million. If the actual level is lower, the oil prices will go up. Alternatively, if the number of barrels is higher than the forecasts, the prices for crude will fall down.

After the fall to the $51.9 level, the price for WTI managed to recover and tested the $53.3 level on the 4-hour chart. If the number of barrels is greater than the forecasts, bulls will break the $53.3 level and target the further levels above the 50-period SMA at $54 and $54.3. The next resistance lies at $54.67. On the other hand, if the number of barrels outperforms the forecasts, the price of WTI will fall below the $52.3 level and try to reach the $51.9 support level. After that, reaching the $51 support level seems possible.

The Brent’s price, in its turn, has tested the $58.8 level. From the upside, next resistance levels in bulls’ focus will lie at $59.3. After that the price will face the $59.65-$59.8 levels. If bulls overcome them, the resistance at $60 will be their target. Key levels from the downside are $57.9, $57.5 and $57.1.

Note, that you need to choose WTI and Brent futures in MT4 to start trading oil.

Market updates on October 10

More at: News for today

10.10.2019

Key events ahead:

US-China trade talks

Speech by the BOE Governor Mark Carney – 12:20 MT (9:30 GMT)

ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts – 14:30 MT (11:30 GMT)

US CPI and core CPI – 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)

The Asian trading session was highlighted by the mixed reports ahead of US-China trade talks. The news that the US administration will issue licenses, which will allow sales to Huawei and that a currency agreement between the counties may be reached, boosted the risk sentiment in the markets. Let’s see how the currency pairs reacted to this news and what levels we need to pay attention to.

EUR/USD bulls reacted optimistically to the news about the progress in US-China trade negotiations. The pair has broken the upper border of the long-term descending channel and risen to the 1.1023 level. If this level is broken, the pair will rise further to the 1.1037 level. The next key resistance level will be placed at 1.1055. If the risk sentiment fades away, EUR/USD will fall below the 200-period SMA towards the support at 1.0985. Bears may be looking for a breakout of this level and attempt to pull the pair lower to the 1.0967 level.

AUD/USD inched higher, too. Bulls have been trying to push the pair higher towards the 100-period SMA on H4, which lies close to the 0.6757 level. The next resistance level will lie at 0.6771. After the breakout, reaching the 0.6780 level may seem possible. In case of risk-off sentiment, the pair will reverse to the 50-period SMA near the 0.6734 level. If this level is broken, the next support will be placed at 0.6728. After that, it is recommended to pay attention to the support at 0.6709.

As the trading session will be driven by the updates from the US-China trade talks, we expect USD/JPY to move, too. In case of a risk-on sentiment, the pair will rise above the 107.59 level (100-period SMA) on H4. The further resistance levels will lie at 107.67 and 107.75. In case of negative news, it is recommended to look for a breakout of the support at 107.33 (50-period SMA). The next support will lie at 107.22 (200-period SMA). The breakout of this level will make the pair vulnerable to the fall to 107.03 (lower border of the ascending trading channel).

Market updates on October 11

Check the charts: News for today

11.10.2019

Key events ahead:

US-China trade talks

Meeting between the EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier and UK Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay - 10:00 MT (7:00 GMT) time

Canadian employment change and unemployment rate – 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT) time

EUR/USD has been consolidating above the 1.0994 level (200-period MA on the 4-hour chart). The next resistance, which bulls will try to reach, will be placed at 1.1023. The further rise may be restricted by the 1.1046 level. In case of an alternative scenario, when bears may try to break the 1.1005 level, they will pull the pair lower towards the support at 1.0994. After that, the next key support will lie at 1.0985.

The British pound has been moving up on positive news surrounding Brexit. Yesterday’s comments by the Irish Prime Minister expressed optimistic views on the outcome of the meeting with the UK PM Boris Johnson. Today the European Council president Donald Tusk said that the EU is awaiting a final proposal by the PM today ahead of the European summit next week. GBP/USD has surged above the long-term descending trendline and tested the highs above the 1.2520 level on H4. If the bullish mood in the market continues, there is a chance of the pair to reach the 1.2558 level. After that, the next key resistance will lie at 1.2577. From the downside, the levels are 1.2480, 1.2462 and 1.2435.

The Canadian dollar is awaiting Canada’s jobs data. According to the forecasts, the employment change will advance by 11.2 thousand jobs, while the unemployment rate will remain at the same level of 5.7%. If the actual figures are positive, USD/CAD will break the support at 1.3268 and pull the pair below the 200-period SMA to the 1.3259 level. The next support level will lie at 1.3253. If the pair reverses, it will retest the 1.3296 resistance level. Bulls will be looking for a breakout of this level to reach 1.3306.

5 important events this week will bring us!

14.10.2019

Retail sales and core retail sales (Wed, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – According to the forecasts, the headline indicator will increase by 0.3%. At the same time, its core level will advance by 0.2%. Higher-than-expected figures will bring positive momentum to the USD.

Canadian CPI (Wed, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – Analysts anticipate the consumer index for Canada to slide by 0.3%. If the actual figures are indeed negative, the CAD will fall. Otherwise, the CAD may be supported.

Australian employment change and unemployment rate (Thu, 3:30 MT (0:30 GMT)) – The indicator of employment change is expected to show an increase of 15.3 thousand jobs, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 5.3%. If the actual level of employment change is higher and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the AUD will move higher.

European Brexit summit (Thu-Fri) – After the productive talks last week, where the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced that the Brexit deal was achieved, the EU negotiators said that the talks were not enough. The EU wants more concrete decisions on Brexit ahead of the EU Summit this Thursday. If the progress is made, we will follow the updates from the summit to look for the further movements of the GBP. In case of positive news and reaching of the agreement, the GBP will rise.

Chinese GDP (Fri, 5:00 MT (2:00 GMT)) – The Chinese yuan was supported last week after the progress in US-China trade negotiations made on Friday. Despite that, China required more talks before signing the “Phase One” trade deal, according to Monday’s news. It pulled the risk sentiment down. Besides the news on trade tensions, the risk sentiment may be affected by Chinese GDP growth on Friday. It will be interesting to look at the indicator amid the growing signs of the global slowdown. Higher-than-expected figures will push the risk sentiment up. Therefore, the risk-weighted currencies (AUD, NZD) will go up.

Hot news

This week is going to be busy with a lot of earnings reports. Later FBS analysts will present the analysis of the stocks you need to pay attention to this week.

Turkish lira continues to weaken as the US and Europe threatened the country to impose sanctions over the actions in Syria.

The new Trump’s tariffs on European imports are expected to be imposed on October 18. These goods will include German coffee, Scotch whiskey, British biscuits, Spanish olives, Italian cheeses, French wines and many more. It may affect the EUR.

Market updates on October 15

Check the charts: News for today

15.10.2019

Key events ahead:

Speech by the BOE Governor Mark Carney – 11:30 MT (8:30 GMT)

Speech by the FOMC member Bostic – 16:00 MT (13:00 GMT)

Speech by the FOMC member George – 19:45 MT (16:25 GMT)

Speech by the FOMC member Bullard – 22:25 MT (19:25 GMT)

Speech by the FOMC member Daly – 22:30 MT (19:30 GMT)

GBP/USD has retested its recent highs above the 1.27 level after the comments by the EU chief Brexit negotiator about the possibility of a Brexit deal this week. Today we anticipate the UK to suggest fresh Brexit proposals after the meeting between the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and DUP leader Arlene Foster. It’s highly recommended to follow the headlines, as the GBP gets volatile on the announcements. In case of positive news, the cable may inch higher to the 1.2684 resistance level. If this level is broken, the next resistance will be placed at 1.2706. Further levels in bulls’ focus will lie at 1.2725 and 1.2741. Alternatively, bears will pull the GBP/USD pair lower to the support at 1.2630. The next support will be placed at 1.2576. If this level is broken, the chances of reaching the 1.2515 level will increase. Technically, RSI is moving within an overbought zone. If it leaves this zone, it may provide us a short-term selling opportunity.

EUR/USD is looking for further direction. The pair has been consolidating between 1.1034 and 1.1024 levels but has already tested the resistance level at 1.1045 and the support level at 1.1014. If bulls take over the market, the breakout of the 1.1034 level will happen and the next resistance will be placed at 1.1045. On the other hand, bears will be looking for a break of the 1.1024 to slide lower to the 1.1014 level.

The US threatened Turkey with tariffs on steel yesterday after the Turkish military actions in Syria. USD/TRY reached the resistance at 5.9202 but slid lower to the support at 5.8590. If bulls regain their positions, the pair will rise higher to the 5.9120 level and may retest the 5.9202 resistance level. The pair may rise as far as the 5.94 level will be reached. If a correction to the downside happens, the pair will fall lower to the 5.8590 level. The next support will be situated at 5.8396. MACD oscillator shows a bearish divergence with the price.

The aussie may move on a jobs data

More at: http://bit.ly/2ql8xoh

16.10.2019

Australia will publish the level of employment change and the unemployment rate at 3:30 MT on October 17.

The indicator of employment change shows the change in the number of employed people during the previous month. The unemployed rate, released at the same time as employment change, represents the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed. According to the forecast, employment change will advance by 15.3 thousand jobs, while the unemployment rate will remain at the same level of 5.3%. How may the indicators move the AUD?

• If the employment change is higher, and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the AUD will rise;

• If the employment change is lower and the unemployment rate is higher than the forecasts, the AUD will fall.

Market updates on October 17

17.10.2019

Key events ahead

British retail sales - 11:30 MT (8:30 GMT)

EU Economic Summit – all day

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index – 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)

Speech by the RBA Governor Philip Lowe – 23:00 MT (20:00 GMT)

Yesterday’s reports that the Brexit deal was not reached ahead of the European summit scheduled for today pulled the British pound lower. GBP/USD slid to the support at 1.2745. If this level is broken, the next support will be placed at 1.2686. The next support levels will lie at 1.2662 and 1.2641. From the upside, the first key resistance will lie at 1.2877. After the breakout, reaching the 1.2920 and 1.2943 levels seem possible.

AUD/USD has risen on a lower-than-expected unemployment rate and the news that China is discussing the next phase of trade talks. The pair has crossed the 200-period SMA and moved higher to the 0.6804 level. If bulls overcome this level, the next resistance levels will be placed at 0.6810 and 0.6818. In case of a reversal, pay attention to the 0.6780 level. After that, reaching the support level at 0.6773 seems possible.

NZD/USD has been supported as the risk sentiment in the market gets better. The kiwi has tested the 200-period SMA. If this level is broken, the next resistance will lie at 0.6330. After that, the next resistance will be situated at 0.6345. From the downside, bears will pay attention to 0.6288, 0.6277 and 0.6267.

Market updates on October 18

18.10.2019

EU economic summit – all day

Speech by the FOMC member Clarida – 18:30 MT (15:30 GMT)

Speech by the BOE Governor Mark Carney – 20:45 MT (17:45 GMT)

Brexit news continues to move the market ahead of the significant vote on Saturday. The GBP/USD pair has been trading between the support at 1.2838 and the resistance at 1.2890. If the resistance at 1.2890 is broken, the next resistance will be placed at 1.2920. After that, the retest of the levels close to 1.2970 seems possible. From the downside, the breakout of the 1.2838 level may lead bears to move towards 1.2749.

After the test of the 108.92 level, USD/JPY slid lower to the 108.46 support level. If it is broken, bears may take over the market and pull the pair lower to 108.16. The next support will be placed at 107.79. In case of an alternative scenario, the pair may break the 108.92 level and rise above the 200-period SMA to the next resistance level at 109.45. If we look at oscillators, we can see that RSI is moving close to the overbought zone.

Yesterday’s negotiations between the US and Turkey were productive as the countries agreed to a ceasefire in Syria. As a result, USD/TRY dropped heavily below the 50- and 100-period SMAs on H4. Bears are trying to reach the 5.7537 level. The next support will be placed at 5.7288. In case of a reversal, the first resistance to watch will be placed at 5.7990. After that, reaching the 5.8144 level will be desirable by bulls.

Important events this week will bring us

More at: Events in the Forex market this week

21.10.2019

Canada’s core retail sales (Tue, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – According to the forecasts, the indicator will advance by 0.1%. If the actual level is higher, the CAD will rise.

French flash services PMI, German flash manufacturing PMI and German flash services PMI (Thu, 10:15-10:30 MT (7:15-7:30 GMT)) – Higher-than-expected figures will be positive for the euro.

A monetary policy statement by the European Central bank and press conference (Thu, 14:45 and 15:30 MT (11:30 and 12:30 GMT)) – The changes to the interest rate are not expected, but we need to pay attention to the tone of the statement and the comments by the ECB president during press conference.

US core durable goods orders (Thu, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – Analysts forecast a decline of 0.2%. If the actual figures outperform the forecasts, the USD will be supported.

Hot news:

During the weekend, the UK Parliament made a vote, which forced the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to write to the EU asking for a three-month extension. Today, Boris Johnson will try again to put his deal to a vote in the House of Commons. At first, it is highly recommended to pay attention to the statement by the speaker John Bercow at 17:30 MT time, where he may announce the decision concerning the meaningful vote.

Monday is an election day in Canada. Some of the analysts suggest that the Conservative party in the government will be better for the loonie than the current Labour one. The competition is going to be a tight one.

Market updates on October 22

More at: News for today

22.10.2019

Key events ahead:

Canada’s core retail sales – 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)

BOC business outlook survey – 17:30 MT (14:30 GMT)

Parliament Brexit Vote – 21:00 MT (18:00 GMT)

Yesterday, the speaker John Bercow rejected the possibility of a significant vote. The news pulled the GBP down a little bit. Will the vote happen today? If it is, GBP/USD may retest the resistance at 1.2985. The next resistance will lie at 1.3011. After that, the 1.3059 level will be in bulls’ focus. In case of a vote’s delay, the pair will slide below the lower border of the ascending trading channel and target the support at 1.29. After that, the 1.2864 level will be in the focus of bears. The next support level will be placed at 1.2834.

USD/CAD formed a Doji candlestick on the 4-hour chart and bounced towards the resistance level at 1.3088. Today, the CAD traders may take advantage of the release of Canada’s core retail sales at 15:30 MT. According to the forecasts, the indicator will remain unchanged. If the actual level is higher, USD/CAD will slide below the 1.3077 level and move down to the next support at 1.3066. After that, reaching the 1.3052 level seems possible. From the upside, the key levels to watch are 1.3088, 1.3098 and 1.3128. RSI is moving within an oversold zone.

Yesterday, USD/JPY fell lower and tested the support at 108.36. If the risk sentiment is off, the further support levels will lie at 108.13 and 107.91. On the other hand, the pair may rise to the resistance level at 108.73. If it is broken, it is recommended to pay attention to the 108.9 and 109.42 levels.

Oil market updates on October 23

23.10.2019

Crude oil inventories – 17:30 MT (14:30 GMT)

According to yesterday’s news OPEC is considering further production cuts. The next meeting of oil-producing countries is scheduled for December 5-6. The announcement pushed the oil prices up. The move to the downside came after the release of private oil data. According to it, the number of barrels advanced by 4.45 million (vs. the 2.75 million expected). Today, we will be awaiting the publication of crude oil inventories by the EIA at 17:30 MT. According to forecasts, the number of barrels is expected to increase by 2.5 million. In case of lower figures, the oil prices will go up.

WTI has tested the $54.60 resistance level but slid down towards the support at $54. If the number of barrels is lower than the forecasts, this level will be broken. The next support will be placed at $53.4 (100-period SMA). After that, the further support level will lie at $52.8. In case of a higher-than-expected number of barrels, the pair will break the $54.6 level. The next resistance will lie at $54.93.

The price of Brent followed a similar scenario. It has tested the $60.25 resistance level but fallen to the support at $59.33 (50-period SMA). At the moment, the further key levels from the downside lie at $58.9 (100-period SMA) and $58.57. From the upside, the first resistance is placed at $59.65. After that, you need to pay attention to the $59.97 level. If they are broken, the retest of the $60.25 level will be possible.

Notice, that you need to choose BRN- and WTI- futures to trade oil in Metatrader 4.

Market updates on October 28

Check the charts: News for today

28.10.2019

EUR/USD has been making confident steps towards the 1.1106 level on the 4-hour chart. If bears take over the market, the may pull the pair below the 1.1090 level. This scenario will increase the chances of a retest of the 1.1072 support level from October 25. In this case, the downward movement, which is confirmed by Parabolic SAR, may be resumed.

The news that Brexit would be delayed until January 31, 2020 did not stop the consolidation of GBP/USD on the H4. The upper border of the range is placed at 1.2860. After that, further upside momentum may be limited by the 1.2876 level (50-period SMA). On the chart, you can see that this level lies close to the upper border of the short-term descending channel. As far as buyers overcome this border, the retest of tops from October 24th at 2.2927 seems likely. Bears will be eyeing the support at the lower border of the consolidation range (1.2807). The next key level for them will be placed at 1.2785.

The gold is also trading sideways between the $1,506 and $1,503 levels. The breakout to the upside may lead bulls to move towards the $1,509 boundary. On the contrary, the consolidation period may be over with bears crossing the $1,503 level. In this case, the chances of reaching $1,500 are high.

Market updates on October 29

29.10.2019

On the H4 of EUR/GBP, we see that the price is testing the psychological level of 0.8612. The pair is consolidating, thus, the further direction will depend on the strength of the euro. If the pair falls below 0.8612, it will slide towards 0.8590. In the case of the reversal, the resistance is placed in the range of 0.8649-0.8663.

On the H4 of EUR/USD, we see a similar picture, indicating a bearish movement. The price may test the support range 1.1073-1.1061, 1.1038. If the pair sticks above 1.1085, we may see a rise to 1.1105.

Gold is on the sideways movement, indicating a potential for a rise. On the H1 chart of XAU/USD, it has already broken yesterdays’ resistance and is gradually climbing up towards the resistance levels at 1495.47, 1506.00 and 1514.47. For the market reversion, support levels may be set at 1488.83, 1484.14 and 1480.35.

USD/CAD has risen by more than 60 pips

More at: http://bit.ly/34cCzsU

30.10.2019

The Canadian dollar weakened significantly after the monetary policy decision by the Bank of Canada. Bulls broke the resistance at 1.3144 on H4 and pushed the price above it towards the 100-period SMA and the 1.3174 level. From the downside, the key levels in bears’ focus will be at 1.3077, 1.3067 and 1.3054.

Market updates on October 31

Check the charts: Market updates on October 31

31.10.2019

European Quarterly GDP Growth Rate – 12:00 MT (10:00 GMT)

American Monthly Personal Income and Personal Spending Index – 14:30 MT (12:30 GMT)

The US Fed announced the interest rate cut to 1.75% on October 30. EUR/USD reacted by rising. On the H4 chart of EUR/USD, the day has started with the price inching into the resistance range of 1.1167 – 1.1177 and possibly aiming at another 3-months resistance level of 1.1217. The support levels of 1.1101 and 1.1076 remain valid unless a strong bearish movement appears on the chart.

While the Bank of Canada released the unchanged interest rate of 1.75% against the lowered rate of US Fed on October 30, the USD/CAD performed a sharp rise during the announcement. That was due to the negative tone the officials expressed in regards to the likely contractions within the investments, exports, employment growth and global economy slowdown pushing the Bank of Canada to implement monetary ease in the coming future. On the H1 chart of USD/CAD, the price bounced back from the newly formed local resistance level of 1.3180, testing the support level of 1.3152. If it is broken, we will have a range of 1.3120 – 1.3131, 1.3078 and 1.3049 as the support levels. Otherwise, the additional resistance level may be placed at 1.3208.

On the H4 chart of USD/JPY, the quote has dropped to the support level of 108.65. That was due to the unchanged Japanese interest rate (set at -0.1% as per October 31 release) against the lowered US Fed rate, which led to relative depreciation of the US dollar. However, the likelihood of the monetary ease in the future on behalf of the Bank of Japan keeps the Japanese yen dropping slowly, viewing the resistance levels of 108.99 and 109.254. The support level of 108.55 and the range of 108.34 – 108.41 remains valid.

Market updates: NFP edition

01.11.2019

Key events ahead

Average hourly earnings – 14:30 MT (12:30 GMT)

Non-farm employment change – 14:30 MT (12:30 GMT)

Unemployment rate – 14:30 MT (12:30 GMT)

The main focus for today will be on the American jobs data at 14:30 MT. According to the forecasts, the level of non-farm payrolls will advance by 89 thousand. At the same time, average hourly earnings will show an increase of 0.3% and the unemployment rate will rise to 3.6%. If the actual levels of NFP and average hourly earnings are higher, and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the USD will strengthen. Let’s consider the most important pairs ahead of the event.

Bulls of EUR/USD have not overcome the 1.1166 resistance level on H4 after the Fed rate cut on Wednesday. If the level is broken right after the release, reaching the next resistance at 1.1180 may be possible. The further upside momentum will be limited by the 1.1194 level. On the other hand, if the actual figures come out optimistic for the USD, EUR/USD will reverse towards 1.1131. After the breakout, bears need to focus on the 1.1121 level. The break of that level will be placed at 1.1106.

USD/JPY has stuck below the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart after yesterday’s plunge. The USD needs to be boosted by the positive NFP figures to break the current resistance at 108.53 and move upwards to the 108.15, 108.24 and 108.41 levels. From the downside, the breakout of the 107.93 level will open the way for bears towards the 107.8 level. The next support will lie at 107.65. RSI oscillator is oversold, that is why the continuation of the downside momentum may be expected.

An upside momentum for the price of gold is the result of the mixed news concerning US-China trade truce and the weak USD. Currently, the price of the yellow metal is overbought on H4 according to RSI and testing the $1,514 resistance level. If the USD weakens on the job data, the breakout of that resistance will be inevitable. That kind of scenario may lead to the retest of the $1,518 level (high of October 25th). The next key level will be situated at $1,524. On the contrary, the first support will be placed at $1,509.2. The next one will lie at $1,504.

5 important events this week will bring us

04.11.2019

RBA rate statement (Tue, 5:30 MT (3:30 GMT)) – According to forecasts, the interest rate will remain steady at 0.75%. We will keep an eye on the monetary policy statement, where the regulator may throw some hints on the possible changes to the monetary policy.

Canada’s trade balance (Tue, 15:30 MT (13:30 GMT)) – If the actual level of indicator is higher than the forecasts, the CAD will go up.

New Zealand’s employment change and unemployment rate (Tue, 23:45 MT (21:45 GMT)) – Analysts anticipate the employment change to increase by 0.2%. At the same time, the unemployment rate is forecast to rise to 4.1%. Higher-than-expected figures of employment change and lower level of the unemployment rate will be NZD-positive.

BOE monetary policy summary (Thu, 14:00 MT (12:00 GMT)) – The interest rate is expected to stay at 0.75%. The possible move for the British pound may come with the release of the monetary policy statement. Any hawkish comments concerning the bank’s policy amid the Brexit mess will support the British pound.

Canada’s employment change and unemployment rate (Fri, 15:30 MT (13:30 GMT)) – If the actual level of employment change is higher and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the Canadian dollar will get positive momentum.

Hot news:

During the ASEAN summit this weekend, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross expressed optimism that the US would reach a “phase one” trade deal with China this month and said licenses would be coming soon for American companies to sell components to Huawei Technologies Co. The news boosted the risk-on sentiment in the markets.

Christine Lagarde will make her first speech as a president of the European Central Bank this evening at 20:30 MT (18:30 GMT) time.

5 important events this week will bring us

More at: New Zealand's interest rate announcement and the indicators of British, American, Australian and European economy on the week 11-15 November

11.11.2019

British preliminary yearly GDP growth rate (Mon, 11:30 MT time (09:30 GMT)) – according to forecasts, the yearly GDP growth rate will be at 1.1% against the higher 1.3% previous mark. The GBP price shall not change much unless the release is higher than the expectation.

New Zealand’s interest rate statement (Wed, 06:00 MT time (04:00 GMT)) – The Reserve Bank of New Zealand may lower the interest rate to 0.75% on Wednesday form the current 1% if they decide that the economy needs monetary stimulus. If the rate stays at 1%, the NZD shall rise.

American Consumer Price Index (Wed, 18:30 MT time (16:30 GMT)) – The analysts anticipate the coming consumer price marks to be at 0.3% for the monthly CPI and 0.2% for the core monthly CPI. If the indicators are higher than the forecast, the USD shall gain strength.

Australian jobs data (Thu, 05:30 MT time (03:30 GMT)) – The forecasted employment change is 16.2K against the previous 14.7K, while the unemployment is expected to stay unchanged at 5.2% in Australia. If the readings are better than the forecast, the AUD will rise.

The quarterly European GDP growth rate (Thu, 12:00 MT time (10:00 GMT)) – The quarterly GDP growth rate is expected to stay unchanged at 0.2%. The price of the euro shall not be affected unless the release is different from the forecast.

Hot news:

During the weekend the US president Trump made another worrying statement advising that China may be interested in the trade deal more than he is; on Tuesday he shall give another speech to clarify the US-China trade war positioning