Forex today: Daily analysis

Crude Oil dropped sharply last week right from our selling zone mentioned in our weekly video between 75.50 and 76.60, Brent Crude declined to 72.20’s nearing our 72.14 target mentioned in our weekly video as well. Now when OPEC+ drama is over, the trend hasn’t necessarily changed. There are two factors that we need to keep in mind, i) Iran’s supply is still expected to hit the global market soon ii) Covid19 is spreading again with a new variant affecting vaccinated people. Some countries already took new measures such as a partial lockdown. If this continues, Oil is likely to remain under pressure. In the meantime, it’s wise to close some of the short positions and wait for another opportunity, while it is also possible to move the stop to our entry

Reference: FBS (19.07.2021) OPEC+ drama is over, what about oil? FBS Analytic news.

What is happening?

Bitcoin has closed its daily candle under the 50-week moving average for the first time since April 2020. The last time Bitcoin broke through this resistance it fell by 57%. If the situation repeats the price will reach approximately $13000 during this bearish market. Also, it broke through the key support level of $31000, which was holding the price from January the 4th, 2021.

The plunge in bitcoin came after a big sell-off in the global stock market. Traders and investors try to hedge their savings, that is why they prefer the US dollar and Treasuries to risky assets like bitcoin.

What puts bitcoin under pressure?

In May 2021, China banned mining and trading cryptocurrencies. China’s central bank also reminded finance and fintech companies not to offer crypto-related services to customers. China was one of the major countries in cryptocurrencies mining, that is why the situation around bitcoin will remain questionable for a while.

Technical analyses

Short-term trade:

On the daily chart, the falling wedge with a bullish divergence has occurred. If the price breaks the top line of the wedge the target will be $34500, which is approximately the 50-day moving average. If the price does not break this resistance, it will drop to the $23500 level.

Long-term trade:

The 50-week moving average is historically the key sup

port level for bitcoin. If the price does not stick above this line by the end of July 25th, the first long-term target will be $23500.

Reference: FBS (20.07.2021) Bitcoin: Bullish market is over. FBS analytic news.

EV’s market is going to explode in the 2020s

By the end of 2020, there were 10 million electric cars registered in the world. The number of electric cars registrations increased by 41% in 2020. Electric bus and truck registrations reached global levels of 600,000 and 31,000, respectively.

Three factors supported EV markets during the pandemic:

  • A legislative framework. Many countries accepted regulatory laws about the amount of CO2 emission and zero-emission vehicles.
  • Government protection of EV market additional intensives. Many European countries kept electric purchases stimulation and China continues its subsidy campaign.
  • Battery cost decrease.

Vehicle manufacturers stay optimistic about the electrification of the car industry. 18 out of 20 announced plans for new electric vehicles models. The availability of heavy electric models is also going to grow together with the four main manufacturers pointing towards the electric future of this segment.

Despite the great support from the government’s campaigns for the EV markets during the pandemic, the amount of stimulus governments spend to support this sector decreases year-to-year. This fact points to the increasing consumer demand: producers are now able to survive on their own.

The near-term perspectives are looking great as, during the Q1 of 2021, global electric car sales grew by 140% compared with the same period of 2020.

In the most common scenario, analysts predict global EV markets to reach 145 million models by 2030, which will be 7% of the road vehicle fleet. However, if governments activate their plans to achieve global ecological plans the global EV market might grow up to 230 million units (12% of the road vehicle fleet).

Despite the success of the EV market during the last years, the ecological problem is still far from being solved. Although new technologies in battery and mass manufacture will reduce the costs of EVs, governments will have to cooperate to reach the climate goal by creating and promoting zero-emission EVs.

Global EVs programs

Electric Vehicles Initiative

In 2010 the Electric vehicles Initiative (EVI) was established under the Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM). The main goal of this forum is to understand the main political problems connected with electric mobility and accelerating the adoption of EV’s worldwide. At 2020-2021 15 countries are taking an active part in this organization, these are Canada, Chile, China, Finland, France, Germany, India, Japan, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Sweden, and United Kingdom.

EV30@30 Campaign

In 2017 the EV30@30 Campaign was launched. The main goal of this campaign is to accelerate EVs deployment all over the world and reach the number of 30% EVs sales in each country member. By 2021 besides 14 countries this campaign is supported by 30 organizations including C40; FIA Foundation; Global Fuel Economy Initiative; Hewlett Foundation; Natural Resources Defence Council; REN21; SLoCaT; The Climate Group; UN Environment Programme; UN-Habitat; World Resources Institute; ZEV Alliance; ChargePoint; Energias de Portugal; Enel X; E.ON; Fortum; Iberdrola; Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance; Schneider Electric; TEPCO; Vattenfall and ChargeUp Europe.

Trends in EVs markets

Europe

In 2020, the overall European car market fell by 22%. However, the amount of EVs doubled to 1.4 million overall. Germany registered 395,000 new EVs, France reached the level of 185,000 new units. The UK doubled the number of EVs and reached the level of 176,000 EVs over the country.

China

The overall number of new car registration dropped by 9% during 2020 in China. However, EVs sales grew up to 5.7% comparing with 4.8% in 2019. Subsidies aimed at EV market growth were due to expire by the end of 2020, but the government decided to cut them by 10% and extend them till 2022.

The United States

The overall US car market dropped by 23% in 2020, but the electric one felt stronger. In 2020, 295,000 new EVs were registered. Government stimulus decreased in 2020, as the federal tax credits for Tesla and General Motors reached the limit.

Consumer spending vs government spending

Governments across the world spent USD 14 billion on EVs market stimulus during 2020. This is 25% higher than in the previous year, but the overall tendency declines as the total amount of spending dropped by 10% from 2015.

Consumers, on the contrary, spent USD 14 billion, which is 50% more than they did in 2019. These facts describe the global tendency of rising interest from consumers and a great potential for the EVs market in the future.

Tesla, GM, Ford stocks analyses

Tesla

Tesla became profitable in 2020, for the first time since it was founded. Earnings are forecast to grow by 32% per year. Short and long-term liabilities can be covered by short-term assets. Fundamentally Tesla seems to be a strong company, but the giant P/E ratio makes investors feel scared about the future of the stock price. On the daily chart, the descending triangle has occurred. Moreover, the price “retested” this triangle from the top twice, which means the pattern is strong enough. The closest resistance is $700, which is a strong psychological level. If the price breaks this level, it will fly up to $770 shortly.

GM

General Motors’s earnings grew by 90,6% over the past year. Moreover, earnings are expected to grow by 8.15% per year in the future. GM’s current net profit margins (7.3%) are higher than last year (3.5%).

It looks like GM stock price follows the S&P500 movement since the market crash in March 2020. After the price dropped on Monday, July 19, it shows decent growth. If it breaks the resistance at $58, which is the cross point of 50 and 100-day moving averages, it will have a chance to renew the historical maximum, overwise, it will go down at least to the 200-day moving average at the price range between $51 and $52.

Ford

Company’s earnings are expected to grow 17.3% yearly. Ford stock looks to be undervalued based on the predictions of future cash flows. It has a good PE ratio (13.9x) compared to the US Auto industry average (23.9x), which makes Ford an attractive company for investors.

As well as GM’s, Ford’s price will try to break through the 50-day moving average. In the positive scenario, the price will have a chance to fly up to $16 resistance. On the flip side, it will try to break the 100-day moving average again and go down to the $11.5 price level if it does.

Reference: Electric vehicles: infinite potential. FBS nalytic news

What will happen?

The European Central Bank will present the monetary policy statement on June 22. It is the primary tool the ECB uses to communicate with investors about its monetary policy. It contains the outcome of the bank’s decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced it. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions. The ECB usually changes the statement slightly at each release. These changes affect the strength of the European currency.

Technical analyses

EUR/USD has formed the descending channel with divergences on RSI and MACD oscillators. This fact gives us the signal that correction is about to happen. If the ECB is less dovish than expected, EUR/USD will break the upper line of the channel and head towards the 100-period moving average, which is approximately 1.183. The next target, in this case, will be 1.188.

On the flip side, the downtrend will continue if traders get another confirmation that the ECB will do more monetary stimulus than the Fed. The price might drop to the support line at 1.175 and even lower at the bottom line of the channel at approximately 1.173.

Reference: FBS (22.07.2021) How will ECB drive EUR? FBS analytic news.

What happened?

Brent returned to the rising channel on Wednesday by gaining 4% during the trading session. Investors are still looking towards risk assets despite data showing an unexpected rise in US oil inventories.

The fall was caused by the deal between members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC. The organization decided to raise supply by 400,000 barrels a day from August to December 2021. Investors were also scared about the new COVID Delta strain.

Oil price keeps growing, despite the fact that the US crude stockpiles went up for the first time since May. Investors are positive about the future as they are sure that the demand will exceed supply during 2021.

At the moment, the price is trying to break $73.3 resistance. It is an intersection of 100 and 200 period moving averages, also it is 23.6 Fibonacci level. On the RSI oscillator, the downtrend has been broken, which means bulls still have enough power to push Brent higher.

In the short term: If the price breaks $73.3 resistance, it will shortly reach the 74-74.5$ range. Otherwise, it might test the 50-period moving average at the level of 72.3 before the upcoming raise.

In the long-term: As the price breaks the $73.3 resistance level, it will head towards the top line of the rising channel with a target range between $77.3-$77.7.

Reference: FBS (23.07.2021) Brent: future is stil sunny. FBS analytic news.

What will happen?

FOMC statement will be announced at 21:00 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, July 27. In the previous article, we have already mentioned the importance of this event. Analysts and traders will closely follow this meeting since the Federal Reserve statement about interest rates might make a huge effect on markets.

The must-watch comment is the one on tapering. This is what will determine whether gold rallies or sells off after the Fed meeting. And with growing concerns that the US economy will slow in the second half of the year, tapering might no longer be as urgent as it seemed just a few weeks ago.

If the Federal Reserve gives any kind of signals about stimulus tapering, it will put a negative effect on gold. On the contrary, if there are no sings of tapering, gold will get a boost.

Technical analyses

The price is consolidating under the 200-period moving average. RSI oscillator got close to the buying zone. MACD shows that the bearish trend got weaker since June.

Dovish FOMC statement could help gold to break the 200-period moving average, which is highly important resistance. After the break, the price will have lots of space above. Targets will be $1830 and $1877, which are 38.2 and 50.0 Fibonacci levels respectively.

On the flip side, if FOMC gives signals about stimulus tapering, the price will drop and test 23.6 and 0.0 Fibonacci levels, which are $1772 and $1680 respectively.

Reference: FBS (27.07.2021) Gold: FOMC meeting will clarify the future. Fbs analytic news.

USD/JPY declined further during yesterday’s trading, reaching as low as 109.36, while our short signal from 110.20 is still active and is giving us over 80 pips. Technical indicators are still suggesting further declines ahead. However, another dead cat bounce could be seen at the final session of the week, which is also the last session in July. Therefore, it is wise to take our profit and/or close some of the positions and move the Stop Loss lower by 35 pips, this is only if you decide to hold the trade until next week. Otherwise, +80 pips on one single trade aren’t bad. I’m trying not to be greedy.

Reference: FBS (30.07.2021) USD/JPY Take your profits. FBS analytoc news.

The Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep the current policy unchanged as widely expected. However, and against all odds, the bank took the first steps toward winding back emergency monetary stimulus for an economy that’s exceeded forecasts. The BRA made this move even though many saw the bank hinting for a possible increase in asset purchases amid partial lockdown in parts of the county due to the high rate of covid19 cases. Yet, the plan to taper by 1B in September could be a message that the RBA is seeing some inflation pressure on the horizon. In the meantime, AUD/USD is still in a retracement mode, which may target 0.7470 and 0.7530’s before the downside trend resumes. Therefore, I would long some AUD/USD around here 0.7380’s with a stop at today’s low only.

Reference: FBS (03.08.2021) RBA sticks to tapering plan. FBS analytic news.

GBP/USD is currently trading within a new selling zone on both short and medium-term charts. The zone stands between 1.3915 and 1.3990 which represents its 50% and 61.8% of the recent selloff from June 1st top to July 20th bottom. This area remains solid since last week, while we wait for the Bank of England’s decision later today. Yet, it would still be worth it to risk a short position with a stop above 1.4020, especially after the pair failed to break above its 100 and 50-day MA’s yesterday , while the technical indicators remain around the 50 mid-point (RSI). On the downside view, the first initial target would be 1.38 which could be seen later today, especially if the BoE decides to avoid tapering discussions.

Reference: FBS (05.08.2021) GBP/USD Selling Zone! FBS analytic zone.

What is happening?

The Senate of the US has voted for an amendment to President Biden’s infrastructure bill. The Senate allows for 30 hours of debate following a vote. This means that the amendment can be debated up until Tuesday morning, after which it would be signed into law.

Senate deliberations continued over the weekend over a $1 trillion infrastructure bill, with a particular focus on how the bill could impact the world of cryptocurrency. The bill includes a tax provision that outlines plans to raise about $28 billion for that $1 trillion package through taxes from crypto transactions. The bill identifies a “broker” as anyone “responsible for and regularly providing any service effectuating transfers of digital assets on behalf of another person,” and anyone thus identified would be subject to tax reporting requirements.

Cryptocurrency investors are unhappy with the new tax provision. Not only it defines miners and cryptocurrency wallet makers as brokers, but it also obliges companies to report information about individuals even if they are not customers. Passing the bill will have a bloody impact on the cryptocurrency market, as well as on all companies somehow connected to it.

More on Coinbase

Coinbase now supports Apple Pay when buying cryptocurrency, meaning that users can buy with debit cards that are linked to Apple’s system. Coinbase is the first crypto exchange to offer instant transactions via Real-Time Payments (RTP), enabling customers in the U.S. with linked bank accounts to instantly and securely cash out up to $100,000 per transaction.

It is important to notice that Coinbase makes the most of its profit in the most volatile markets, due to increased trading volumes and therefore increased amount of fees collected. Nevertheless, Coinbase stock correlation with Bitcoin price is hard to underestimate. Such an effect is caused by the nature of Coinbase as a cryptocurrency exchange and the majority opinion that everything somehow linked to crypto needs to correlate with Bitcoin price movements.

Technical analysis

Right now, Coinbase is breaking through resistance lines, after forming a “triple bottom” reversal pattern. RSI is also looking quite bullish. If the news about the infrastructure bill won’t crash the price, the next resistance line will be at $300, a round number, and a Fibonacci expansion 161.8 line. Otherwise, there is a big support area between $250 and $235.Bitcoin is moving in a channel, that has been already broken once. RSI has formed a bearish divergence, so it’s dangerous to open a long position now. In case of a price falling, the main support area is $40000-$39000.

Reference: FBS (09.08.2021) How does new infraestructure bill affect coinbase? FBS analytic news.

Current news:

  1. Reserve Bank of New Zealand will likely deliver up to two interest rate hikes before the end of the year.
  2. Risk-off flows strengthening in the NZD/USD pair.
  3. Chinese economic outlook downgrade, inflation causing concern.

The risk-sensitive New Zealand Dollar weakened overnight as global concerns over the highly transmissible Delta Covid variant weighed on sentiment. The US Dollar is also weighing on NZD as rate hike bets rise following last week’s NFP report. Moreover, Goldman Sachs downgraded its growth forecast for China. Analysts at the bank see Covid-induced lockdowns and social distancing measures dragging on spending and consumption.

Why is it important?

Foreign exchange markets are presently focused on central bank interest rate normalization, favoring the currencies belonging to those central banks which will lead the pack. July 14, 2021, RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) said it will reduce monetary stimulus by ceasing quantitative easing. It was the first sign of a future interest-rate increase. Shortly after, New Zealand’s unemployment rate was released, with actual results being less-than-expected by as much as 0.4% (4% vs. 4.4%, this is a good sign to an overall economic situation).

The labor market report is the latest sign that the economy is growing faster than its capacity, and that the Reserve Bank could start to raise the official cash rate to keep a lid on price pressures. Annual inflation surged to 3.3% in the second quarter, breaching the central bank’s 1-3% target range.

If RBNZ continues normalizing interest rates by raising them, we would expect strong fundamental support for the New Zealand Dollar. August 18, RBNZ will release several essential market reports. Among them are the Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement, and Rate Statement. Considering the facts given, we’re expecting rate hikes as well as NZD strengthening against other currencies.

However, while the Chinese economy is vital to global growth and capital markets, New Zealand is particularly susceptible due to its economic and trade proximity. Covid related risks are also present, although the market participants ignored Delta’s initial spread. Make sure to check our Economic Calendar regularly!

Technical analysis:

Looking at the NZD/USD live chart we can see a support line at 0.690 and we have a resistance between 0.705 and 0.710, where the “death cross” bearish pattern has emerged.Considering the newfound pessimism for the economic outlook in China, the New Zealand Dollar may remain capped near current levels. Still, NZD bulls may be able to take advantage of the situation. The Australian Dollar typically displays a higher correlation with China’s economy, which can open the door for AUD/NZD to underperform.Currently, AUD/NZD pair has a support line at 1.04594 and resistance at 1.10595, right at 38.2 Fibonacci retracement level.

Reference: FBS (10.08.2021) NZD is expiriencing challenges with forecast. FBS analytic news.

EURUSD declined slightly at the beginning of yesterday’s trading, reaching as low as 1.1705 right before the US data. The pair then bounced off that support all the way to 1.1750’s, leading our long position to be in profit once again. In the meantime, we maintain the stop at 1.1690 ahead of today’s session. The current signal comes as a short-term play after the Euro declined for 8 straight sessions. At the same time, if the pair managed to break above 1.1750 today, I would move my stop to the entry in order to protect the position from any possible loss.

Reference: FBS (12.08.2021) EURUSD Trade update. FBS analytic news.

Gold managed to recover over 50% of its flash crash that occurred at the beginning of this week. After stabilizing above 1725, we issued a long signal at 1730 two days ago, and gold managed to rise all the way to 1759 until this report is released. In the meantime, it would be wise to move the stop to our entry to protect our position from any possible loss, while a weekly close above 1750 and preferably above 1760 would be another bullish sign not only on the short-term but on the medium-term as well.

Reference: FBS (13.08.2021) Gold Trying to break higher. FBS analytic news.

The US Dollar soared higher since the beginning of the Asian session until this report is released. Such rally comes as a reason of the Asian and the European markets to the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which showed that the Fed is somehow preparing the markets for QE tapering before the end of this year, which could actually happen in December’s meeting.

However, the Fed also stressed that they are still watching Covid19-Delta developments in the US, as infection rate is still increasing, and if things for even worse, the fed might delay such decision. Yet, the market is not concerned about delta yet, they are now concerned about lower liquidity by the Fed and other central banks, and therefore we are seeing a broad selloff across the board.

In the meantime, I would stand aside and watch how the US market will react today, as the current move might be a bit excessive, as the info that we got from the meeting minutes is not something new. But such move, could be a new opportunity for those who likes swing trades.

As for today, I will be watching 93.50 resistance area as it won’t be easy to be broken. Another downside retracement is highly possible, which may retest the 93.0 support area, before the upside trend resumes.

Reference: FBS (19.08.2021) USD Skyrocketing. FBS analytic news.

Throughout last week’s trading, gold traded within a tight range, but it also managed to hold well above its 1775 support area until the end of the week, while the technical indicators has improved over the past few days, including the RSI indicator, which is now trading above the 50 mid-point and broke its daily down trendline, which support our medium-term long positions, the one issued few weeks ago at 1730. With that being said, it would be wise to move our stop loss for this week to 1765 USD/Oz to protect some of the profit, while further stabilization above 1775 may clear the way for another test of 1800 USD/Oz in the coming days.

Reference: FBS (23.08.2021) Gold holding well above 1775. FBS analytic news.

The US Dollar Index failed to sustain its recent gains above its 50 DAY MA, the index declined back yesterday with higher trading volume, while all eyes are on the PPI data today after mixed economic releases over the past few days and last week’s jobs report. In the meantime, the technical indicators are still suggesting further declines ahead, with a possibility to retest last week’s lows round 91.80, while any short position should be attached with a stop loss not to exceed this week’s high.

Reference: FBS (10.09.2021) USD downside retracement resumes. FBS analytic news.

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Today it turned out to be quite interesting to trade. I hope not only for me :slight_smile:

Usually, the gold price is driven by political and economic uncertainty, like economic crises, election pressure, pandemic effects. But in the face of a year-and-a-half-lasting monetary stimulus program, the price of the haven asset acts differently. What drives gold price and how to trade it – in this article.

Latest news:

  • Gold breaks beneath $1800 with $1700 as a reachable target.
  • US 10-year Treasury yields rise, emphasizing the demand for the US dollar.
  • Fed plans to start bond tapering this year.
  • US inflation rate has already hit 5.4% in June and July 2021.

Retrospective gold movement analysis

Fundamental analysis of gold should start with an explanation of gold nature. In the past, there was the Gold Standard. It was a system under which nearly all countries fixed the value of their currencies in terms of a specified amount of gold or linked their currency to that of a country that did so. Also, the supply of gold hasn’t been increasing greatly with time. Thus, when the amount of money was increasing (inflation rises), to buy the same amount of gold we needed an increased amount of currency. Since the economic crises usually come with high inflation, gold has become the haven asset for every country.

But nothing lasts forever, and in August 1971, US President Nixon severed direct convertibility of US dollars into gold. From this very moment, gold has become a more independent asset, but the rules of the game didn’t change much. Demand for gold is still high due to several factors: gold is resistant to corrosion, easy to process, hard to imitate, and looks beautiful (the last factor is subjective).

From this point we have several considerations about gold price movements, let’s go through them:

  1. US treasury yield rises USD demand rises USD rises.
  2. When USD is rising, gold (XAU) is plunging (this has come from times of the Gold Standard and remained even after it).
  3. Gold supply isn’t increasing as fast as demand, thus, in the long-term gold will continue to rise.

What is affecting the price now?

Let’s go through several economic events and check whether they are affecting XAU price or not:

  • March 31, 2021 : US ADP NFP data is worse than expected (517K vs. 552K; positive for gold, negative for currency). Gold has been skyrocketing for the next 6 hours and has gained 2%.
  • June 16, 2021 : Federal funds rate remained at the same level (0.25%), which is positive for the currency. Also, there were intentions for rate hikes in the future. Gold has plunged 3% in 3 hours.
  • August 6, 2021 : positive US NFP data (943K actual vs. 870K expected). Gold has “flash crashed” by 6.2% in less than half a day.
  • August 12, 2021 : US PPI is higher than expected, which is positive for currency and negative for gold. XAU has fallen by 0.5% and surged 0.75% later that day.
  • September 1, 2021 : OPEC+ reconsider oil output increase by 400 000 barrels per day. Negative ADP NFP data (330K actual vs. 695K expected). Gold price has remained the same.
  • September 3, 2021 : US NFP three times worse than expected (235K vs. 720K). XAU has risen 1.15% in the next 3 hours, but in the next 3 days, gold had fallen more than 2%.

To sum up, this data, even if the events and the results are the same (March 31 and September 1), gold can act in a completely different manner. Besides that, we can expect gold to rise when any data is bad for USD and vice versa. This can be proven by looking at XAU/USD and US dollar index charts, or by looking at correlation charts.

What to expect from gold?

So far (September 13, 2021) the economic recovery is not as fast as everyone wants and while tapering has been postponed, again and again, the demand for the US dollar is present and gold is not in a good shape. You might think: “Wait, if the economy is in a bad shape, then it’s good for gold, isn’t it?” Yes, usually in times of uncertainty gold is showing better results than other assets, like stocks and currencies. But this doesn’t mean that gold doesn’t fall at all.

From the side of technical analysis, gold is looking bearish too.

XAU/USD weekly chart

Support: 1750.0; 1685.0

Resistance: 1840.0; 1900.0

Gold is a perfect instrument to keep your money safe because it tends to maintain its purchasing power and save you from the volatility of other assets, but as global markets tend to rise on a bigger time scale, gold won’t earn you a lot.

Reference: FBS (13.09.2021) Gold is acting randomly? FBS Analytic news

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About Conflux

Conflux is an open blockchain network with an economic incentive-based governance mechanism designed to reward community members who contribute to ensuring a safe, stable, and predictable environment for economic activity. Conflux is focused on developing decentralized applications (dApps), creating smart contracts, and making simple payments. In simple words, Conflux is an exact copy of all known Ethereum, but more scalable and flexible.

Conflux history

Conflux is headquartered in Beijing, China. The Financial office was registered in Singapore in 2018.

Developers raised initial funds by selling the part of 1 billion CFX tokens issued on the Ethereum blockchain. After the launch of the main Conflux network, the developers generated 5 billion CFX tokens (most of them are still frozen) and launched the mechanism of additional emission of CFX coins (internal tokens of the Conflux network) available to earn by miners and stakers.

CFX is the main fuel of the Conflux platform and is used as a tool to interact with solutions in the Conflux Network ecosystem. Major CFX holders include venture giants such as Sequoia China, Huobi Group, Shunwei, and Rong 360.

Token holders receive a reward for their storage depending on the staking time.

Conflux features

The Conflux network has many advantages.

  • The throughput is 4000 transactions per second (for comparison, Ethereum has 15).
  • Proof of work algorithm, which means the cryptocurrency is available for mining on video cards.
  • Unlike many other blockchains (for example, Bitcoin, Ethereum), in which blocks are generated sequentially, one after another, in the Conflux blockchain network, parallel construction of a blockchain and transactions is possible.
  • Ethereum virtual machine support, so smart contracts can be ported from Ethereum to Conflux Network.
  • Block generation time - 2 blocks per second (172, 800 blocks per day).
  • Annual inflation is at 8.83%.

Conclusion

The main goal of the Conflux blockchain network is the development of digital technologies. Creators used Bitcoin and Ethereum’s developments as well as other innovative technologies to create a high-quality cryptosystem.

Despite this, Conflux is a young project, comparing with such giants as Litecoin, Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum, which already recommended themselves as a reliable cryptosystem. That’s why we suppose the risk of trading CFX remains on a high level and suggest trading more sustainable coins such as XRP, ETH, BTC, and LTC.

Reference: FBS (14.09.2021) Conflux: Ambitious chinise project. FBA Analytic news.

USD/ZAR is mainly driven by the US dollar, that’s why the US economic data is highly impactful. The US has published strong retail sales for August. It pleasantly surprised investors as they were concerned that consumers would limit their purchases amid the spread of the Delta virus strain. However, retail sales posted a gain!

In comparison, South Africa’s July retail sales (the freshest data so far) revealed a significant -11.2% year-on-year, versus market expectations for -2.7%. Such a huge drop was caused by the jailing of former president Jacob Zuma, which lead to the escalation of civil unrest.

Technical outlook

USD/ZAR has been rising at a quite fast pace for the last three days. It has even broken through all three moving averages: 50-, 100-, and 200-day. The growth has been too quick though, we might expect a retracement (correction) to the support level of 14.50. However, the rally may continue till the price reaches the highs of early August at 14.80. The breakout above this resistance level will lead the pair to the psychological mark of 15.00.

Reference: FBSN (16.09.2021) Greatest sale of South African Rand. FBS Analytic news.