Tuesday August 16th 2011 GIGFX Technical Analysis Report
EUR/USD
The EUR/USD pair was able to break the resistance level 1.4370 yesterday which was facing against raising the pair during the previous weeks after confiding it’s sideway direction movement, the trades movement is still above this level by a consecutive closes, a further rise is expected during the intraday levels targeting the resistance level 1.4530 with the probability of retesting the broken level 1.4370.
This scenario depends on the stability of the support level 1.4370.
Res: 1.4529 1.4614 1.4753
Pivot: 1.4390
Sup: 1.4305 1.4166 1.4081
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GBP/ USD
The GBP/USD pair continued rising during yesterday trades till reached the area of the resistance level 1.6390 which represents 76.4% of fibonacci’s correction level for the bearish move (from 1.6476 to 1.6110), the last bullish move was formed due to moving inside a bullish channel for near-term trades, the pair formed a top at the level 1.6390 and used it to decline to re-test the near support levels, while prices are in a bullish channel but a bearish move in the stochastic index is noticed which declares the existence of a divergence that continues the bullish direction, this divergence reflects the probability of forming a bullish bottom coinciding with the bottom border of the channel, this bottom is expected to be coinciding with re-testing the support level 1.6336 and the pair will use this bottom to rise again trying to break the level 1.6390 and if the pair succeeded to do so it will rise targeting the resistance level 1.6476.
The stability of these expectations requires the stability of the support level 1.6293.
Res: 1.6446 1.6503 1.6598
Pivot: 1.6351
Sup: 1.6294 1.6199 1.6142
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USD/CHF
The USD/CHF pair rose previously reaching 0.7968 resistance level that coincide with 61.8% correction level for the bearish move from 0.8520 to 0.7075, where it is expected, to fall form this level facing 0.7798 that represents of 50% correction level which if held it will push the pair to rise breaking 0.7968 resistance to target then 0.8180 resistance level that coincide with 76.4% correction level, but breaking the support level 0.7798 will push the pair down to retest the support level 0.7625 that represents 38.2% correction level.
Res: 0.7963 0.8084 0.8172
Pivot: 0.7875
Sup: 0.7754 0.7666 0.7545
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USD/CAD
The pair USD/CAD is still trading below a bearish trendline, yesterday it was targeting the support level 0.9866 which represents 23.6% of fibonacci’s correction level and now the pair is trading below it so it is expected that the pair will continue declining trying to target the support level 0.9778 which represents 38.2% of fibonacci’s correction level and if the pair held below this level it will target the support level 0.9705 which represents 50.0% of fibonacci’s correction level and if the pair held below this level it will target the support level 0.9635 which represents 61.8% of fibonacci’s correction level.
The stability of these expectations requires the stability of the pair below the support level 0.9778.
Res: 0.9866 0.9944 0.9983
Pivot: 0.9827
Sup: 0.9749 0.971 0.9632
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AUD/USD
The AUD/USD pair was able to rise passing 1.0411 resistance level that represents the (B) point for the mentioned harmonic pattern (AB=CD), to register 1.0511 price before it fell again in order to retest 1.0411 level again, as if the pair was able to pass the current support it will continue falling in order to search for appropriate support level that might be 1.0110, but if the 01.0411 support held it will push the pair to rise in order to achieve the harmonic pattern target at 1.0590 resistance level.
Res: 1.0560 1.0615 1.0719
Pivot: 1.0456
Sup: 1.0401 1.0297 1.0242