Hi Guys,
[EDIT: PLEASE DO NOT QUOTE THIS POST IN ITS ENTIRETY,
SINCE IT IS LONG]
The quoted contents of this post are not from me but, I agree with
most of the claims in it, and suspect most readers of this thread would also…
The subject was: “FW: How Trump can make billions for America Inc. with no risk, and support the US Dollar”
I RECEIVED THIS AS A SPAM EMAIL, and have deleted any elements
which advertise an EA. Also, I’m just going to post it, and not get
involved commenting on any of the points. As far as I know, the
claims are “anonymous” so please take it “as is” with no further
comment from me.
Trump’s transition team announced the repealing of Dodd-Frank (LOUD CHEERING).
This ‘Dodd-Frank’ act is a cancer, it has been eating away at the financial industry
and the entire economy, like a wrecking ball smashing what was left of the economy
after the housing crash.
One of the abused children of this damage (there were many) was the Currency market,
or FOREX. We will here elaborate on key points here for the Trump Administration
which no doubt the market will agree with.
Dodd-Frank is a giant Octopus with 15,000 rules and 20,000 + pages – there’s probably
not a single human being on the planet who has read and understands the entire ‘law’.
We will elaborate here on a very specific part of Dodd-Frank, all that pertains
to FOREX.
List of steps to take to reform Dodd-Frank by reversing FOREX specific rules, that
will boost markets, increase profits, reduce volatility, save on costs & fees, and
bring money back to USA:
1) Delete the FIFO rule. FOREX is not futures. There’s absolutely no utility to
FIFO as it pertains to FX. Some algorithmic traders may have 100, 200, or 300 orders
on an account. Exiting positions in the exact manner that they were entered, in
such situation, is impossible. Why should any trader have to exit positions in the
same order as they were entered? (Use the Hotel analogy, Trump owns 12 hotels, some
are profitable some not – why should Trump sell the 1st hotel built – and not just
the 3 losers?)
2) Increase the leverage. Increased leverage IS NOT correlated to increased risk.
The regulators force members to say that an increase in leverage is an increase
in risk. This is mathematically and logically incorrect. Increase in leverage MAY
increase risk, however it is NOT CORRELATED. For example, if your use of the leverage
is for hedging purposes, in this scenario, increased leverage DECREASES risk. There
are few hedging possibilities for multi-nationals in USA (such as vanilla options),
Spot FX remains the only hedging option for many small businesses. This may be as
simple as opening an Oanda account and taking opposite positions against accounts
receivable. In such a scenario, the profit or loss from such a position is a wash
against the real business money flows, in which case, a high amount of leverage can
be useful. The decrease in leverage was a knee-jerk reaction to quell the rampant
fraud, but the real effect was simply that back alley dicers as we call them in FX,
simply moved their accounts to London. The decrease in leverage has no economic
benefit, doesn’t serve any purpose other than forcing billions of dollars outside
of USA. The argument that 500:1 leverage is for gamblers is very weak, these people
don’t understand FX. In the stock market it might be ridiculous, however FX doesn’t
move that much. In a typical week the EUR/USD may move 1% or 2% – in extreme cases
up to 5%, such as during Brexit when the GBP/USD moved 9%. Compared to any other
market, this is very small. The brightest example provided by Google (GOOG) which
is up 1,415.39% since IPO. This is an impossibility in FX – if the EUR/USD is up
50% in a year, it will likely be down 50% the next. Currencies have a tendency to
revert to the mean, and even when they trend, the changes are slight on a percentage
basis. For this reason, if a small degree of leverage was used as in stocks, it
would be impossible to ever turn a profit by trading FX. And, incidentally, increased
leverage will support the Fed’s QE program as Liquidity Providers (LPs) extend credit
to US Dollar markets they are effectively creating credit. The current leverage
policy on FX is contrary to the Fed’s QE program.
3) Delete the Hedging rule. The most ridiculous of all rules is the so called ‘hedging’
rule that prohibits being long & short the same currency on the same account. Regulators
claim it’s a good rule because if you are long and short you are effectively flat,
but it charges a fee (the spread) and thus, the rule saves money to customers. This
is warped and twisted thinking, incoherent and not based on reality – similar to
their statement that “Foreign Futures is Forex” – no, Foreign Futures are Foreign
Futures. FOREX is Foreign Exchange of currencies, or spot trading, and NOT futures.
FOREX is always traded ‘off-exchange’ by the nature of what it is. FOREX is a banking
market, traded by interbank FOREX dealers – not on a futures exchange like the CME.
What traders mostly complain about this rule – if someone wants to hedge, why not
let them? If the brokers EXPLAIN to customers this flawed logic, that’s one thing
– that’s acceptable. Make customers tick a box that they understand the potential
for unnecessary costs- but allow them to do it! Because practically, when trading
FOREX, you need hedging. This rule simply forced many strategies to stop working
completely, or move overseas.
4) Bring back the PAMM. PAMM stands for Percent Allocation Management Module. PAMM
is the FOREX equivalent of a futures ‘block account.’ The problem is for Forex managers,
trading many client accounts as one. It’s a simple solution – independent software
combines many small accounts into one ‘master’ account, which enables the manager
to trade one account vs. hundreds or thousands of individual accounts.
5) Reduce the net-cap for RFEDS to a reasonable $5 Million if they are STP (Agent
only). FXCM, Oanda, and Gain Capital have a Monopoly on retail FX. And, even though
FXCM has been under DOJ investigation, hundreds of client lawsuits, countless fines
from the CFTC, NFA, and other regulatory bodies, hundreds upon hundreds of customer
complaints; they continue to be one of the few options for retail traders which practically,
is no option. The chances of making money at FXCM are slim to none, as they say
in FX you have 2 hopes; no hope and Bob Hope. FXCM takes screwing the customer to
a ‘new fangled art form’
6) Allow Broker Dealers to offer FX. The NFA is no more an FX regulator than FINRA.
FX should be regulated on a banking level, perhaps by the Fed. It was thought that
currencies are financial commodities, and since FX futures were already offered at
the CME, the CFTC seemed to be the natural regulator for FX. A currency is not a
security, but it does meet the definition of a security if you invest in it. Although
the IRS considers investment in foreign currency as debt under some rules; some investors
will place their funds in a currency with the intent of appreciation of capital.
Or to put it differently, they are afraid of the deterioration of value of their
domestic functional currency. This was obvious before “Brexit” when lines formed
outside of banks from customers who wanted to exchange their British Pounds for US
Dollars, Euros, and Swiss Francs. In any case, the securities business is in many
aspects far more complex than commodities. Securities brokers, broker dealers, and
other FINRA licensed organizations are also under far greater scrutiny, have higher
costs of compliance, have more compliance related staff, etc. Why keep their noses
out of the feeding trough?
7) Stop intimidating foreign brokers through FATCA. There isn’t any law that strictly
prohibits a retail US Citizen from opening a foreign FX account. However, since
many larger institutions in general are afraid they will be “Swissed” hitman style
by goons as described in Confessions of an Economic Hitman, they simply do not allow
US Citizens to open accounts. US Citizens have become persona non-grata in the FX
world. US Citizens can’t even visit their websites. In order to allow the foreign
brokers to fairly compete with new US broker upstarts, this practice should be stopped.
If the tax code is to be overhauled, visit FATCA and specifically, make FATCA reporting
easy and simple; most importantly for institutions. TD Ameritrade doesn’t whine
and complain about issuing 1099s at the end of the year – it’s mostly automated.
It’s been “Turbo Taxed” by accounting departments. It should be just as easy for
foreign institutions to report US citizen taxpayer obligations. Oh and by the way
– this will also stop foreign non-reporting of income, which previously was a big
black hole!
Practically, the majority of rules apply only to retail investors which in today’s
environment, means 99% of the population. The rules don’t apply to the one percenters
or in FOREX LINGO QEPs, ECPs. Leverage still applies, but ECPs can easily open accounts
in London, Singapore, and Sydney legally and circumvent all these rules which are
guaranteed to choke any strategy.
Why did Dodd-Frank make all these silly rules?
The reasoning was, that because FX frauds used these tools, they should be eliminated.
But this is severely flawed logic that would never work in the real world – that
would be like saying, let’s bomb a village because one or two criminals live there.
Dodd-Frank and the climate in general cleaned up a lot of the fraud – thank you.
Now the fraud is gone. But instead of harassing legitimate traders and investors,
regulators should invest in fraud prevention tools. The list here can be very long.
Some suggestions:
A managed reporting system such as the NFA uses for RFEDs like FORTRESS but for CTAs,
Hedge Funds, and other CPOs who choose to participate in the verified reporting system.
Sites such as myfxbook.com and fxblue.com provide this service technically to traders
– but there is no auditing function. One of the largest frauds has to do with financial
reporting, more specifically, the misreporting of performance numbers. The solution
is very simple – a centralized reporting system that automatically captures performance
data (there are only so many trading venues) and ‘verifies’ these numbers are true
and accurate, and also can return statistics such as peak to valley draw downs, etc.
Each product can have an ID, similar to an NFA ID, where investors can check in
an official database, which is secured and encrypted, all the numbers. Building
such a system is extremely cost effective, it would reduce regulatory costs as well,
reduce fraud, and boost investor confidence. In fact, it would cause foreigners
to invest in USA. Something like this doesn’t exist in Europe. Let’s bring that
money into USA, support our markets, support the economy. Wall St. and Chicago should
be the trading centers of the world – not London. What happened to the American
Revolution, that 200 years later we’ll regulate and tax our financial businesses
out of America and back to the British? WTF
What would be the effect on the markets if these suggested changes were implemented?
1) There would be competition in retail FX – this would make trading better, as competition
in any market does. There was competition in the US before Dodd-Frank and in the
legitimate FX world (discounting the fraud) there were many legitimate companies
that had a good offering.
2) Billions of dollars would flow back to USA to be held by institutions in New York,
Chicago, Charlotte, Los Angeles, and others.
3) Instead of a new growth industry of algorithmic FX taking off in foreign countries,
it would happen right here at home in Charlotte, Chicago, New York, San Francisco,
Atlanta, and in other trading centers.
4) Stabilization of FX markets in general; this will be nebulous to quantify, however
it’s not difficult to surmise, that if there is more competition, more volume, and
less fees – that the FX market will be more stable. Because the US Dollar is the
world’s reserve currency – that’s really important! Also, it is critical that the
United States take a global role in administrating FX markets, because of the USD
world reserve status.
I used Windows “Notepad++” (not Notepad) replace function, selecting regexp (regular expression)
mode to insert the hard line breaks as follows:
Find: (?<=.{80})\s
Replace: $0
REMEMBER this was received as a spam email, but I thought it
would be a useful post in favor of easing of regulations on Forex.
hyperscalper