How do you compute risk:reward ratio?

Hi guys,

Another newbie question.

I read about risk:reward ratios everywhere but I can’t figure out how to actually compute one for a given trade.

For example, say I want to enter a trade on the EURUSD currency pair with a risk:reward ratio of 1:3 (or 3:1 - which direction does it go? - either way, I mean higher reward than risk). I have an account with $1,000 margin available (brand new account - no other trades of any kind made yet - just to keep everything nice and simple).

I want to risk 1 micro lot. So I enter the market at 1.4740 with an $100 (1 micro lot) buy and the expectation that the market will rise.

How do I compute the risk:reward ratio on this trade?

Am I missing numbers need for the computation? What other numbers do I need to complete the computation?

Once I can figure out the full equation, I think I’ll have a much better understanding of how this works.

Much thanks!

  • Iggy

I think you’ve overanalyzed the situation a tad bit. When I refer to keeping Risk:Reward at 1:2 or above I just mean in your example, you enter at at 1.4740 using a -20 pip stop or a stop at 1.4720. To keep my 1:2 ratio that means I need to target taking profit at 1.4780 (+40pips from entry) or above.

Then I will have made twice what I have risked on that trade.

You need to know your stop. Say its 20 pips plus spread of say 2. Whatever your lots size you now have a maximum loss of 22 pips. This is equal to R. If your profit target for the whole contract is 44 and you make it then this is a 2R trade ie risk reward ratio is 2 because you made twice what you risked

Addit - just read Daedalus’ response, dont forget to factor in spread and commissions into your risk equation

Thanks daedalus and Tony. I appreciate the responses.

I’m making this harder than it is. You’ve regrounded me.

One more quick question:

I know at this point to always know where my stop loss is for each trade. Do you guys always have a profit target for each trade before entering into the trade?

In a word yes. For some models I trade it is not changeable (for instance the MACD contrarian). When I am trading price action then there will be specific areas I am targeting to get to based on support/resistance. If you think about it you must have this before you enter a trade so you can know its worthwhile. Put simply if you were risking a 100 pips and the next logical failure point was 10 pips away why would take the trade

Ah, thanks Tony. That’s the missing piece of the puzzle for me. Got it.

OK, back to my studies. Much thanks!