Various things.
To be a successful trader, you need to rely heavily on intuition, primarily the sort of intuition that comes from having a vast amount of experience in a certain area that you just start to know it without thinking too much about it. A novice/intermediate trader could approach the market with the very same strategy that top earner uses, and they would find that even in demo mode, where they could trade their strategy without any fear, they would find that the market wrecks them. There is a reason for this. The âsetupâ is just a rule of thumb tool, which if applied mechanically, will almost certainly prove to be a consistent net loser. The skill is in being able to read the ebb n flow of the markets in order to know when to apply any given strategy. The real work has been done in the traderâs mind over many thousands of hours, and 90% of the knowledge behind his trades, comes naturally to him, without him having to think much about it, and certainly without having to refer to some unwieldy flow chart or clunky checklist, like all the trading educators (who consist largely of failed traders) tell you that you should.
Same with any skill in life. Whether it is a top sports star, a grand master chess player, or even driving a car. The more you need to think about it, the less capable you generally are. This is because our conscious mental process can juggle just 6-7 different factors around simultaneously, whereas our subconscious mind processes millions of factors simultaneously. Of course, relying on sub-conscious processes has itâs pitfalls, as mind states or emotions can have a great impact on how those processes are filtered. Itâs not hard to imagine the difference in how one drives when they are drunk, coked up, angry, just had a row with the wife, etcâŚThing with driving however, that regardless of any state of mind state or strong underlying emotion, their is a very high probability of a driver setting out and getting from A to B, and back again, without crashing the car resulting in a costly repair bill, or worse. But imagine if every time you set out in your car, there was a 50/50 chance that you were going to have a collision, and it was almost a guarantee that you were going to concertina the car several times at least in your driving career? That is the odds that a trader has to contend with, which has huge psychological connotations. If driving a car had the same risks of injury as trading does, most drivers would certainly balk at the thought of turning the ignition key, and the attendant fear and anxiety would make them considerably more likely to have an accident than they otherwise would be. There is probably no other endeavour in life, that so actively pushes participants towards a losing mindset and evokes negative emotional turbulence, which will likely result in poor (or dangerous) trading performance, regardless of overall knowledge of the markets. That is what I mean be âwhen the sub-conscious processes are attuned and functioning properlyâ.
Another form of intuition that can beat any other skill hands down in trading, would be âethereal intuitionâ. That is to say, when a trader has a knack of âjust knowingâ. Itâs a mystery where this âjust knowingâ comes from, but it is a real phenomena. Important to differentiate between this sort of intuition and gut instinct. Gut instinct is spur of the moment, motived by acquisition, but much more strongly motivated by fear of loss. Gut instinct will get you killed in the markets, whilst ethereal intuition can be a lethal ability for those who have it. This is more relevant to longer time frame players but again, this skill can be crippled and sabotaged by emotional states and psychological factors just the same.