Thank you very much, guys — what beautiful and outstanding answers!
@MartialChartsFX @ananhossain @tommor @MattyMoney
Believe me, I’ve been studying and reading a lot of posts, even here on BabyPips — I think @MartialChartsFX wrote some of them.
Now, everything discussed here represents my personal analysis (remember, I’m still a beginner, so I might be making some terrible mistakes).
Starting with the weekly timeframe, I first checked the overall bias, which is bullish. I marked the swing high and low and identified potential liquidity zones ($$$$). I also took a Fibonacci retracement of that leg and highlighted the 50–61.8% discount zone, which aligns with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). I noticed that price is currently in a pullback, where both negative delta and negative volume seem to be decreasing (see image).
Then, moving to the daily timeframe, I observed a bearish trend. Within this range, there’s an Order Block (OB) that falls right inside the Fibonacci premium zone (considering the last leg of the daily TF). Below it, there’s daily liquidity ($$$$) and a Daily FVG that refines the weekly one. I expect this liquidity to be taken — but only after price rises a bit toward the OB, given that we are still in a daily pullback (see image).
Dropping down to the 4H timeframe, the daily OB becomes more refined. There’s also liquidity and an unmarked FVG between the $$$$ and the OB. I expect this liquidity to be taken. Delta is increasing, showing buying pressure, but since the 4H trend is still bearish, I consider this move to be a correction (pullback) (see image).
Finally, on the 15-minute timeframe, I noticed liquidity compression that I expect to be taken first — meaning price may dip slightly before rising toward the 4H liquidity and OB (first trade).
From there, I’ll wait for a bearish Quasimodo pattern to form inside the 4H Order Block, but it must be clearly visible on the 15-minute timeframe. This setup would target the Daily FVG that aligns with the weekly Fibonacci zone. That would be my second trade (see image).
I’d really appreciate your comments, critiques, and suggestions for improvement — or even if you want to tear apart the whole analysis, please do so. That kind of honest feedback will help me a lot to improve and gain a clearer understanding in this area, especially since you guys are true experts.