How will the Israel/Iran situation have an impact on the forex market?

USD is dropping in light of the ceasefire - but why?

Why for example is Usd/Jpy in decline on good risk news - surely Yen should be selling?

That’s the thing about FA - it lives in the now context - what is happening right now.

Pres Trump has been pressuring the Fed to lower rates, they have been resisting, recently quoting inflation risks re tariffs - as we know higher rates equates to higher USD, equally the reverse.

Tariff risks have settled down, but something has taken it’s place big time - oil price.

Again higher energy prices equals higher inflation etc etc.

That second risk has just been eliminated whilst the ceasefire remains.

Edit: lower inflation leaves the Fed with fewer excuses to resist Pres Trump’s pressure to reduce - even stocks are getting a whiff right now - Powell stating now that poss inflation from tariffs June/July/Aug - if nothing much then cut baby cut :slight_smile:

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