Market news and trade recommendations by FBS

USD/CAD Daily Analytics
07:15 23.01.2018
Recommendation:

BUY 1.251 SL 1.2455 TP1 1.264 TP2 1.28 TP3 1.2855

SELL 1.2375 SL 1.243 TP1 1.2275 TP2 1.22 TP3 1.2125

On the daily chart, USD/CAD keeps fighting for an important level of 1.2462. Near it the pair formed a triangle. The break of it will either allow bulls to count on the pair’s return to resistance at 1.2670 or, on the other hand, increase the risks of the bearish trend’s resumption.

On H1, USD/CAD there is a “Spike and ledge” pattern. A successful test of the upper or lower border of the 1.2375-1.2510 consolidation range will create grounds for a “Bat” pattern or AB=CD.

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics
06:05 29.01.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.4130; resistance – 1.4210.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.4140; SL — 1.4120; TP1 — 1.4210; TP2 — 1.4270.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; a market returned into channel Tenakn-Kijun and may bounced from Kijun-sen to the positive area.

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AUD/USD Daily Analytics
07:14 29.01.2018
AUD/USD: Aussie made a halt

Recommendations:

BUY 0.812 SL 0.8065 TP 0.822

BUY 0.805 SL 0.795 TP1 0.815 TP2 0.822

SELL 0.8005 SL 0.806 TP 0.79

On the daily chart, AUD/USD “bulls” attempted to activate pattern AB=CD with a target at 127,2%, that failed. If Aussie comes back to the support level at $0,805, there will be risks of a pullback in the direction of $0,799 and $0,79.

On the hour chart, if AUD/USD falls below the support line in 0.8005, it will activate a pattern “Widening wedge”. On the other side, a hit of the support level at 0.8120 will be a sign the bullish trend’s resumption.

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[B]GBP/USD Daily Analytics[/B]
10:28 29.01.2018

The last “Double Top” pattern led to the current decline. The main intraday target is the 34 Moving Average. If a pullback from this line happens little later on, there’ll be an opportunity to have another bullish pice movement.

The price is consolidating between the 34 & 55 Moving Averages. It’s likely that the pair is going to test the nearest resistance at 1.4206, which could be a departure point for a decline in the direction of the next support at 1.4011.

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[B]USD/JPY Daily Analytics[/B]
12:46 29.01.2018

The pair has reached the lower “Window”, but the price remains below the middle of the last huge black candle. In this case, the market is likely going to test the next “Window” soon.

There’s a “Harami”, which has been formed on the 21 Moving Average. Therefore, the pair is likely going to continue moving down in the short term.

GOLD ANALYSIS: IT’S TIME FOR THE BULLS
19:00 28.01.2018

GBP/USD: “DOUBLE TOP” LED TO DECLINE
10:28 29.01.2018

The last “Double Top” pattern led to the current decline. The main intraday target is the 34 Moving Average. If a pullback from this line happens little later on, there’ll be an opportunity to have another bullish pice movement.

The price is consolidating between the 34 & 55 Moving Averages. It’s likely that the pair is going to test the nearest resistance at 1.4206, which could be a departure point for a decline in the direction of the next support at 1.4011.

GBP/USD: MAIN INTRADAY TARGET IS 55 MA
09:51 30.01.2018

We’ve got a “Double Top” pattern, which has been confirmed. The main intraday target is the 55 Moving Average. If a pullback from this line happens afterwards, there’ll be a moment to have another upward price movement.

All the Moving Averages have been broken, but there’s a “V-Bottom” pattern, so the pair is likely going to reach the nearest resistance at 1.4082. If we have a pullback from this level, bears will probably try to achieve the next support at 1.3915 - 1.3884.

EUR/USD: “DOUBLE TOP” PATTERN
09:48 30.01.2018

The main trend is still bullish, but there’s a “Double Top” pattern, which has been confirmed. So, the pair is likely going to test the nearest support at 1.2300 - 1.2272 in the short term. If a pullback from this area happens little later on, there’ll be a moment to have another bullish price movement.

The 89 Moving Average has acted as support, so the price is consolidating. Therefore, the market is likely going to achieve the closest resistance at 1.2398. This level could be a departure point for a decline towards the next support at 1.2300 - 1.2272.

EUR/JPY: BULLS KEEP ON PUSHING
07:23 01.02.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 136.25

SL 135.70

TP1 137.25 TP2 138.10

On the daily chart, EUR/JPY retested the upper border of the previous consolidation range of 131.50-134.30. This and the following formation of a pinbar will allow bulls to return initiative. The necessary condition to continue advance towards 127.2% of the AB=CD pattern is the confident test of resistance at 136.25.

On H1, EUR/JPY the inability of bears to lead the pair below 38.2% of the last bullish wave points at their weakness. A break of resistance at 136.25 will open the way to the upside.

USD/JPY: BULLS FOLLOW A SHARK
08:27 01.02.2018

Recommendations:

SELL 110.1 SL 110.65 TP 109.10 TP2 108.20

SELL 110.65 SL 111.2 TP1 109.65 TP2 108.65

On the daily chart, a natural pullback happened after USD/JPY reached 88.6% target of the “Bat” pattern. If bears manage to hold the pair within inside the downward trading channel, chances of a sharp decline’s continuation will increase substantially.

On the hour chart, a break of resistance at 109.50 will increase the risks of activation of the “Shark” pattern with a target of 88.6%. In an obvious bearish trend, rebounds from levels of 110.05-110.15 and 110,65 should be used for selling.

EUR/GBP: BULLS RETREAT, BUT DON’T GIVE UP
07:42 02.02.2018

Recommendation:

SELL 0.8875

SL 0.893

TP1 0.8775 TP2 0.8715 TP3 0.869

On the daily chart of EUR/GBP, bears failed with their attack on the support of the lower border of the medium-term consolidation range of 0.8690-0.9015. Sellers retain hopes for a break and formation of the AB=CD pattern.

On H1, a break above resistance levels at 0.8780 and 0.8810 will increase the risks of triggering Gartley pattern with a target at 78.6% of the wave XA. From this area (0.8870-0.8880), there is a high possibility of aggressive selling by large players.

IMPORTANT WEEK FOR GBP, AUD AND NZD // FOREX OUTLOOK FOR FEB. 5-9
11:03 05.02.2018

Last week the US dollar index managed to close at the positive territory for the first time since the start of December. USD rallied on Friday on upbeat US jobs data. American wages rose at the fastest pace since 2009. This fueled inflation expectations and made the market price in more rate hikes. As a result, this week the American currency has a chance to get a bit higher or at least to remain supported.

USD/JPY returned from 108.30 up to 110.00. If it manages to overcome resistance at 110.45, it may recover to 200-day MA at 111.70.

The advance of EUR/USD once again stopped at 1.2500. Support lies at 1.2350 and 1.2250. German political parties still didn’t manage to form a coalition. Yet, the region’s economy is strong and there will be few events to disturb the euro. It might be a good idea to buy the euro in crosses like EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/NZD and EUR/CAD.

GBP/USD was rejected down from 1.4280. Apart from the strong US figures, the pair was hurt by weak data from Britain’s construction sector. At the same time, traders are afraid to act ahead of the Bank of England’s meeting. There’s a spinning top candle on the weekly chart – a sign of the market’s uncertainty. Governor Mark Carney sounded upbeat recently, and some analysts think that the BoE will raise interest rates in May. If the central bank confirms such expectations, GBP.USD will get to 1.4370/1.44. A disappointment will lead the pair down to 1.3975 and 1.3830.

Apart from the BoE meeting on Thursday, the economic calendar for this week contains the meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australian on Tuesday and the New Zealand’s central bank on Wednesday.

As for NZD/USD, it strengthened since the last RBNZ meeting, although the economic data became worse. The pair looks vulnerable for a decline to 0.7240 and 0.7190.

AUD/USD: BEARS ACTED RIGHT OFF THE BAT
07:52 05.02.2018

Recommendations:

BUY 0.7975

SL 0.7920

TP1 0.8075 TP2 0.8125 TP3 0.8215

On the daily chart AUD/USD, an exit of the pair out of an upward trading channel and a break of support at 88.6% and 78.6% from the last wave showed a return of initiative to bears. They met an important area of 0.7885-0.7895 convergence, a continuation of a southern campaign is impossible without breaking below it.

On the hour chart, as the pair reached an intermediate target at 127.2% of the pattern “Crab”, the odds of a pullback increased. An update of the February low will allow counting on a realization of 161.8% target.

XAU/USD: GOLD ROSE TOO HIGH
07:08 06.02.2018

Recommendation:

SELL $1328

SL $1343

TP $1306 TP2 $1272 TP3 $1244

On the daily chart of XAU/USD, bulls managed to defend support at $1324-1328 an ounce. If bears succeed in another attempt to pulls the prices below this level, the risks of a pullback to $1306 and lower will increase. To continue rally towards 127.2% target of AB=CD, gold would need to rise above January high.

On H1, a break of the upper border of an uptrend will increase the odds of the pair going to 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern. A pullback, on the other hand, will create grounds for the formation of the “Head and Shoulders”.

USD/CAD: BEARS ARE RUNNING AWAY
07:30 06.02.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 1.2510

SL 1.2455

TP1 1.261 TP2 1.272 TP3 1.285

On the daily chart, USD/CAD bulls managed to rise above the upper border of the uptrend channel. As a result, the odds of an inverted “Shark” pattern with target at 88.6% have substantially increased.

On H1, the probability of USD/CAD pulling back to support levels at 1.2485-1.2510 and 1.2390-1.2410 increased after the pair reached 113% target of the junior “Shark” pattern. If USD/CAD renews February high, this will create grounds for going to 88.6% target of the senior “Shark” pattern.

GBP/USD IS WELCOMING A PINBAR
08:26 07.02.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 1.4005

SL 1.3950

TP1 1.4105 TP2 1.425 TP3 1.46

On the daily chart, GBP/USD bull managed to defend support at 1.3830-1.3835. As a result, the pair formed a pinbar. A successful test of its high will allow the pound to count on the uptrend’s resumption.

On H1, GBP/USD keeps forming 1-2-3 and “Spike with reversal and acceleration”. To break the uptrend, bears need to pull the pair out of the trading channel and reach 88.6% target of the “Bat”. The odds of this scenario are not high.

USD/CHF HAS LITTLE SPACE IN THE CORRIDOR
07:30 07.02.2018

Recommendations:

BUY 0.9395 SL 0.934 TP1 0.948 TP2 0.96

SELL 0.929 SL 0.9345 TP1 0.919 TP2 0.905

On the daily chart, USD/CHF reached the interim target at 113% of the “Crab” pattern: bulls are trying to counterattack. To develop correction, they need to overcome resistance at 0.9410 and 0.9485-0.9505.

On H1, a break of the upper border of the 0.929-0.9395 consolidation range will increase the odds of its getting to 88.6% of the inverted “Shark” pattern. On the other hand, a decline below the support at 0.9290 will lead to the resumption of the downtrend.

EUR/USD: BEARISH “THREE METHODS” PATTERN
11:51 08.02.2018

There’s a bearish “Three Methods” pattern, which has been formed under the Moving Averages. So, the market is likely going to continue moving down in the short term.

The upper “Window” has acted as resistance, so there’s a “Shooting Star” pattern. In this case, the pair is likely going to test the nearest support area pretty soon.

GBP/USD IS HEADING TOWARDS SUPPORT
11:22 08.02.2018

The price is testing the 89 Moving Average. The main intraday target is the nearest support at 1.3741. If a pullback from this level happens, we could have an upward price movement towards the 89 Moving Average.

There’s a “Pennant” pattern, so the market is likely going to achieve the closest support at 1.3804 - 1.3741. However, if a pullback from this area is on the table, bulls will probably try to reach the next resistance at 1.3834 - 1.3895.