MrSpreadBetting DOW PA Method

Hi,

Now you maybe just getting to grips with my EUR/USD price action method on my other thread, but I thought I would also share my DOW PA method with you also.

Most of my trading methods are price action, but I’ am also a fan of divergence and do trade this also.

[B]A little bit more about me:[/B]

I traded for a private investment bank in South Africa during the late 90’s mostly dealing in SA stock and not FX. It wasn’t until 2001 until I headed home to Scotland where I still live today.

Now I trade from home with my own funds as well as trade a syndicate fund for a small group of investors/friends.

I have also had 2 top selling amazon training courses which sold over 15,000 copies combined and were at #1 in the financial books section on amazon for 3 months during 2008. [B](but these are no longer for sale)[/B] I also ran my own trading forum for 2 years and had over 3,000 members, but it became to much work and hassle to run so I closed it down early last year.

During the day I monitor a host of markets, ranging from Indices to shares, forex and commodities, my trading set up includes 12 monitors and 2 50" plasma screens which has become second nature to me to monitor now.

[B]Now on to the MrSpreadBetting Dow price action method:[/B]

I use this on the DOW daily cash contract offered at IG Index.

We trade the 16:15-16:30 15 minute candle.

If the candle is red at close we look to BUY if price drops more than 10 points from the candle open then comes back up to hit the 10 points distance, we use a 23 points stop and 23 points target.

If the candle is blue at close then we look to SHORT if price moves up more than 10 points from the CLOSE and then comes back down to the 10 points distance.

[B]NOTE: Red candle we take it from the open
Blue candle we take it from the close[/B]

For example, lets say the DOW 16:15-30 candle closes red and the open of that candle was 500, we would need price to drop more than 10 points to at least 489 or less then come back up to hit 490(10 points from the open of the 16:15-30 candle) if this happens we would enter LONG at 490 with our stop at 467 and a target set at 513. We close 50% of the postion if price hits 11.5 points profit and leave the stop where it is, creating a free trade.

Now if the 16:15/30 candle was Blue then we look for shorts.
Lets assume that the close of the blue candle was 500, we would need price to move up to at least 511 or more then come back to 510. We would then enter SHORT with our stop at 533 and target at 487. We would close 50% of the trade when price is in profit by 11.5 points.

Always factor in spread.

If trade has not triggered by 19:15 UK time then do not trade.

[B]You can modify this method if you wish or use it in combination with another method. The rules are not set in stone it can be changed or discretion can be used to improve results and performance![/B]

[B]Chart examples:[/B]

Blue lines is 16:15-16:30 candle open

Green lines are entry, 10 pips from open

Red lines are stop loss 23 ppoints from entry

Purple/pink line is target

10th Dec http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921479808061&print=1

9th Dec http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921482694699&print=1

8th Dec http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921483983178&print=1

7th Dec http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921486551740&print=1 [B](Came very close to being stopped)[/B]

6th Dec http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921488055908&print=1

3rd Dec http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921489050650&print=1

2nd Dec http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921506566065&print=1

1st Dec http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921502619626&print=1 [B] (Didn’t Trigger)[/B]

30th Nov http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921510095171&print=1 [B](Breakeven, first pink line 11.5 points hit)[/B]

29th Nov http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921511585949&print=1 [B](Losing Trade)[/B]

26th http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921512915506&print=1 [B](Breakeven, 11.5 points hit)[/B]

25th [B]Didn’t Trigger
[/B]
24th[B] NO TRADES 16:15 doji
[/B]
23rd http://t8.md.it-finance.com/MDV8/showimage.phtml?id=12921519754978&print=1

22nd Nov Didn’t Trigger

Above is an example of 15 trades.

8 Wins = 184 points

1 Loss = -23 points

6 no triggers OR breakevens

Net profit over 15 trading days = 161 points.

Everones charting OR broker has different data, but I trade what my charts print and today the 16:15-16:30 candle was a DOJI which is a non direction candle so no trading on the dow for me today.

even thow the body was red which means BUY and the trade would be going well, sticking to the rules of the method means stay out.

I dont trade doji’s.

My charts today for the DOW 16:15/16:30 candle close was a doji so there was no trading today for me on the DOW.

I don’t trade doji candles.

If the body was a little bit bigger then it would have been a BUY as it was red!

I have marked the 16:15-30 candle with a green arrow. If the trade was took it would be in profit using discretion. But based on stricked method rules:

1: Doji printed no trading

2: price didnt fall more than 10 pips from the 16:15 candle open and then move back up to the 10 pip distance.

But never the less you can see how powerfull this little PA method is at getting the direction correct.

Davie


I didn’t have time today to posting the DOW set up.

Following my method rules you would have made your 23 pips today.

Remember we wait for price to move more than 10 pips from the open of the candle if red or the close of the candle if blue/green, price must then come back so that it is back to the 10 pip gap from the open or the close price of the 16:15/16:30 candle.

a 23 pips stop is applied from entry and a 23 pip target is applied we remove 50% of position at +11.5 points to create a free trade.

Very interesting indeed.

Why the 16.15-30 candle? What is the relevance here?

Thanks mate…